3.3.2 investment appraisal Flashcards
payback concept links
cash flow
investment
risk and return
NPV
ARR
define investment appraisal
process of analysing whether investment projects are worthwhile
main methods of investment appraisal
payback period
average rate of return
discounted cash flow NPV
payback period
time it takes for a project to repay its initial investment
average rate of return
looks at the total accounting return for a project to see if it meets the target return
discounted cash flow NPV
calculates the monetary value now of the projects future cash flows
define payback period
the time it takes for a project to repay its initial investment
calculating payback
identify the net cash flows for each period - year
keep a running total of the cash flows
initial investment = an outflow
when does the running total move from negative to positive?
when the total net cash flow becomes positive, payback period ends
calculating precise payback period
example:
3 years + part of the 4th year when payback was achieved.
3 + £75,000 / £150,000 = 3.5 years
benefits of payback period
simple and easy to calculate.
easy to understand the results.
focuses on cash flows.
emphasis speed of return.
straightforward to compare competing projects
drawbacks of payback period
ignores cash flows after payback has been reached.
takes no account of the time value of money.
may encourage short term thinking.
ignores qualitative aspects of a decision.
does not actually create a decision for the investment
define annual average return
the annual percentage return on an investment project based on average returns earned by the projects
how to calculate ARR
calculate the average annual profit from the investment project.
divide the average annual profit by the initial investment.
compare with the target percentage return
benefits of using ARR
simple to understand and easy to calculate.
focuses on the overall profitability of an investment project.
easy to compare ARR with other key target rates of return to help make a decision.
uses all the returns generated by a project.
drawbacks of using ARR
ignores the timing of returns
focuses on profits rather than cash flows.
does not adjust for the time-value of money
define net present value
calculates the monetary value now of a projects future cash flows
define discounting
the method used to reduce the future value of cash flows to reflect the risk that they may not happen
the time value of money
better to receive cash now rather than in the future.
future cash flows are worth less.
use discount factors to bring cash flows back to their present value.
relevant discount factor determined by required rate of return.
calculating the present value of a future cash flow
cash flow x discount factor = present value
the npv decision
accept the project = positive npv
reject the project = negative npv
benefits of using npv
considers all future cash flows.
reflects the risks that future cash flows will not be as expected.
different levels of risk can be accounted for by adjusting the discount rate.
creates a straightforward decision - positive npv suggests project should go ahead
drawbacks of using npv
the most complicated method compared with payback and ARR.
choosing the discount rate is hard, particularly for long projects.
result can be influenced / manipulated using the discount rate