3.3.2 Investment appraisal Flashcards
capital expenditure
- purchase of assets
- will stay in business for medium to long term
risk vs return/reward
- all investment have risk & opportunity costs
risks: demand change, damage env image, higher FC, yield return when (short termist, liquidity issues), non current asset depreciate
reward: cope demand (increase rev), USP, increase capacity utilisation, gain non current asset increase value of SOFP
6 Examples of Typical investment decisions business makes
- 1launch new product/development (R&D)
- 2change ownership
- 3new production technique
- 4expansion & new tech (purchase NC asset)
- 5marketing campaign
- 6readjust internal infrastructure
8 reasons why is investment important
1-increase value of capital 2-competitive (innovation) 3-grow = EOS 4-dominant in (market price) 5-useful asses ability to achieve corporate obj 6-viability 7-useful for investors 8-allows balance of risk vs future profitability
investment appraisal
-process of analysing finanical merits of a possible future investment
3 assumptions with investment appraisal
- costs and revenue can be easily forecasted
- key economic variables dont change (interest rates)
- seek to profit maximise (all business)
2 numerical success criteria with investment appraisal
- total future profit earnt
2. speed of cost recoupment
3 types of investment appraisal
- average accounting rate of return
- payback
- net present value
payback
-measures time period required for earnings from an investment to recoup its original cost
month of payback
income needed divided by (income over next yr divided by 12)
limitations to payback
- ignore profitability
- cannot tell inflows after payback period (later cash receipts)
- commitments (detract paying inv)
- no timings receipts within each year (steady?)
- encourage short termist
- no consideration of value of money
- ignore total return on investment and timing of return prior
5 things to consider with payback
- seasonality
- project lifespan
- cash inflows
- technical issues
- current cash flow situation
- set upper limit on time allowed otherwise rejected
- rank projects based on speed
quan: recoup investment earlier
qual: demand in area = growth, difference in investment (have capital), forecasted numbers (higher scope for growth), location of/in the area, competitors in the area
benefits of payback
- quick and simple (new business/small/ start ups)
- useful if investing in ICT & short plc as well as if using external SOF
- widely used minimise risk give weight to early cash inflows
- may be more accurate as ignores longer term forecasts which may be less accurate
- takes into account timing of cash flow
- useful for business with weak cash flow
average rate of return (ARR)
method used to calculate the percentage rate of return on each possible investment
- more complex tool (profitability)
- allows comparison of investment result with other possible investment (compare interest rates) opportunity cost
- commercial investment = risk (trade off = safest = bank)
- reject project without expected % ARR and rank projects
investment > interest
formulae for ARR
average annual profit divided by assets initial cost x100
average annual profit :
= total profit = rev - cost
= total profit divided by no of years