2.2 + 2.3 Flashcards
Problems with sales forecasting?
- Volatile customer tastes and preferences
- Subjective expert opinions - many forecasts supported by opinions and experience of a manager within the business
- Fluctuations in economic variables - unforeseen external shocks such as changing commodity prices
- The data used - the quality of the data a business uses may vary considerably
- Volatile markets - some markets are more volatile and unpredictable than others
Uses of break even analysis?
- Decide whether a business idea is profitable and viable
- Identify the level of output and sales necessary to generate a profit
- Assess changes in the level of production
- Assess the effects of costing and pricing decisions
Benefits of break even analysis?
- Can be used to analyse impact of varying customers, prices and costs on a business’s profit
- Simple and easy to use
- Useful guidance to help business make decisions
Drawbacks of break even analysis?
- Simplifies what can be a very complex process - most businesses sell multiple products, which makes BEP more difficult
- Costs rarely constant - presumes that costs stay the same over the various levels of output
- Break even focuses on output - presumes the business will sell all of its output at the same price
Drawbacks of budgets?
- A budget is only as accurate as the data on which it is based
- Past trends can be a poor indicator of what is likely to happen in the future. Therefore, it can be very difficult to forecast sales
- New decisions taken by governments and public bodies can affect budgets e.g. interest rate changes and employment legislation
- Unexpected changes in process e.g. commodity prices, can impact budgets
- When a budget is unrealistic it loses all value as a motivational tool
What can we find out from a statement of comprehensive income?
- changes in sales revenue
- changes in the direct costs of sales
- how well a business is managing it’s operating costs
- the profitability of a business
- unusual incomes/expenses during the year
Ways to increase revenue?
- increase prices
- reduce process (dependent on PED)
- create awareness and desire through marketing
- add value to the product - increase benefits and features
Why businesses are unprofitable?
- no demand for product
- selling at wrong price
- low contribution per unit
- poor management of costs
- expansion of the business - profit retained and not available to return to return to shareholders
Ways to reduce costs?
- reduce production costs
- improve efficiency
- use capacity more fully
- eliminate unprofitable processes such as unprofitable product lines
- reduce variable costs - negotiate better deals with suppliers
- lower overheads - move to a cheaper location
Ways to improve profit?
Increased revenue
Decrease costs
What is liquidity?
The ability of a business to pay it’s debts and liabilities in cash when they fall due
What does working capital take into account?
Takes into account current assets e.g. stocks and debtors
These cannot be easily used to pay expenses
Shows why cash is most important asset when assessing the liquidity of a business
Ways to improve liquidity?
- use an overdraft facility
- delay payments
- take out credit agreements with suppliers
- sell off current assets (stock)
- encourage early settlement of debts
- encourage cash sales
- negotiate additional short-term loans
Internal forces of business failure?
- poor planning
- cash flow
- marketing
- lack of skills
External forces of business failure?
- Competition → new competition or a crowded market can lead to a shortage of demand and falling sales
- Legislation → new legislation can often mean increased costs as a business adjusts it’s products and processes to comply
- Market conditions → for example, changes in commodity prices or consumer tastes
- Economic conditions → recession, inflation, unemployment e.t.c.