2. the IMF and the EMU Flashcards

1
Q

what is monetary policy?

A

-determining the money supply in an economy.
-Usually managed by a central bank (e.g., the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank).
-Balances controlling inflation and promoting economic growth.
-Affects exchange rates, which influence international trade and investment.
-Central banks buy and sell currencies, impacting the foreign exchange market.

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2
Q

2 reason on why to cooperate on monetary policy

A

Stabilizing exchange rates → Reduces transaction costs for trade and investment.
Providing lending mechanisms (systems or structures through which financial institutions, such as central banks or international organizations, provide loans or financial assistance to countries facing economic difficulties) → Helps countries with balance of payments difficulties (especially when they lack foreign exchange reserves).

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3
Q

3 reasons why to cooperate through institutions in monetary policy?+ challenges every time

A

Weaker currency → Competitive Exports
A weaker currency (monaie) makes exports cheaper and more competitive in foreign markets.
But if countries devalue their currencies to compete, it leads to “beggar-thy-neighbor” policies (one country’s gain at the expense of others).

Crisis Lending & Moral Hazard: Institutions create lending mechanisms for countries in crisis.
However, this creates moral hazard:
If a country knows it will be bailed out, it might take riskier economic actions.
Example: A government might borrow excessively if it expects international financial support in a crisis.

How Institutions Help:
-Establish rules, monitoring, and enforcement mechanisms to ensure commitment.
-Promote long-term cooperation, predictability, and trust.
-Correct incentives to defect (e.g., currency manipulation, unsustainable borrowing) and ensure collective gain.

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4
Q

4 ways to cooperate on monetary affaires

A
  1. Minimal Approach: Coordination of Monetary Policy & Flexible Exchange Rates
    -> to avoid excessive exchange rate fluctuations: exchange rates remain flexible but within some stability framework.
  2. Fixed Exchange Rate System
    Central bank guarantees a fixed exchange rate for its currency (May allow some adjustments) -> reduces transaction costs but limits a country’s monetary policy freedom (since interest rates must support the fixed rate).
  3. Monetary Union (e.g., Eurozone)
    Irrevocably fixed exchange rates, meaning no devaluation or revaluation possible.
    -> Can lead to a single currency (e.g., the Euro).
    Pros: Eliminates exchange rate uncertainty, encourages trade.
    Cons: Loss of independent monetary policy (countries can’t adjust their currency to respond to economic shocks).
  4. Crisis Support Mechanisms: Simple agreements for mutual assistance.
    Institutions that act as “lenders of last resort” (e.g., IMF, European Stability Mechanism).
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5
Q

what are the 3 big steps of the origin of the IMF?

A

-Pre-WWI: Gold Standard
*countries followed the gold standard, meaning each currency had a fixed value in terms of gold.
*This system ensured stable exchange rates but limited governments’ ability to adjust monetary policies.
-1930s: Great Depression & Competitive Devaluations
*Many countries abandoned the gold standard and engaged in competitive devaluations.
*This led to currency instability and trade conflicts.
-1944: Bretton Woods Conference → Gold Exchange Standard
*To prevent future financial instability, world leaders created the Bretton Woods system
*Role of the IMF: Monitor and advise on exchange rate stability + Provide loans to countries facing balance of payments crises (functioning as a lender of last resort).

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6
Q

what is the gold exchange standard?

A

1944, Bretton Woods: To prevent future financial instability, world leaders created the Bretton Woods system:
..The US dollar was directly linked to gold ($35 per ounce).
..All other currencies were pegged to the US dollar (but could adjust within limits).
..Exchange rates were fixed at “par values,” but adjustable in exceptional cases.
=/ the gold standard, meaning each currency had a fixed value in terms of gold.

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7
Q

what is a lender of last resort

A

is a financial institution that provides emergency funding to banks or countries facing a liquidity crisis when no other lender is willing to do so. The goal is to prevent financial system collapse and restore market confidence.
ex: The IMF, Central Banks…

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8
Q

explain the 3 big steps of the Breakdown of Bretton Woods & the “Non-System”

A
  1. 1960s–1971: The Gold Exchange Standard under Strain (sous pression)
    *system faced increasing pressure due to US trade deficits and inflation.
    *Other countries accumulated large amounts of US dollars but began doubting whether the US had enough gold to back them.
  2. 1971: Nixon Ends Dollar Convertibility into Gold
    *suspension of the gold standard, meaning the dollar was no longer redeemable for gold.
    *This ended fixed exchange rates, leading to a system of floating exchange rates.
  3. 1976: Jamaica Agreement – “Non-System”
    *Countries were no longer required to peg their currency to gold or the dollar -> free to choose their exchange rate regime (floating, fixed, or managed).
    *The IMF’s new role:
    ..No longer enforcing fixed exchange rates.
    ..monitoring global macroeconomic policies (“surveillance”): monitor economic policies worldwide, analyzing risks like inflation, debt, and currency fluctuations..
    ..Providing technical assistance (“capacity development”) and loans:
    -Training for central banks (on managing inflation).
    -Advice on tax policies (to improve government revenue).
    -Support for financial regulations (to prevent banking crises).
    ..Acting as a debt restructuring coordinator in the wake of 1980s debt crises: stepped in to negotiate debt relief between debtor countries and private lenders, coordinate debt restructuring to prevent defaults, ensuring countries will repay over time
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9
Q

what is the role of IMF during recurring crises (in the “Non-System” Era)

A
  1. intervention during recurring crises:
    *Since the 1980s, the global economy has faced repeated debt and financial crises, such as:1980s Latin American debt crisis; 1990s Asian financial crisis;,2008 Global Financial Crisis
    *IMF response:
    ..Increased loan volumes over time.
    ..Applied greater conditionality (requiring economic reforms in exchange for financial aid).
    ..Promoted the Washington Consensus in the 1980s–90s, advocating for free markets, deregulation, and privatization.
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10
Q

what are nowadays the different IMF loans?

A
  1. Concessional loans for low-income countries (low-interest, long-term).
  2. Credit facilities for developed economies, often with fewer conditions.
  3. Expanded funding sources: IMF increased quotas and borrowed from member states to meet rising demand.
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11
Q

what are the recent challenges of the iMF

A

Rising Global Debt & IMF Lending Constraints:
1. High global debt levels (e.g., post-COVID economic strains).
2. IMF’s lending capacity is being tested as more countries seek financial support.
3. Debate on whether the IMF has enough funds to handle future crises

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12
Q

what is an Exchange Rate Regime?

A

the way a country manages its currency in relation to other currencies. There are three main types:
1.Floating Exchange Rate: Currency value is determined by supply and demand in foreign exchange markets (no government or central bank control).
Ex: US dollar, Euro
2.Fixed Exchange Rate (Pegged System): A currency is tied to another currency or a commodity (e.g., gold) at a set rate.
3. Managed Float: hybrid system where the currency is mostly floating, but central banks occasionally intervene to prevent extreme fluctuations.

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13
Q

what is the differences bwn Bretton Wood and Washington consensus ideologies?

A

Bretton Woods = fixed exchange rates, government-led economic policies.
Washington Consensus = free markets, privatization, deregulation.

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14
Q

what are the 2 main differences btwn IMF and WB?

A

IMF = short-term financial stability & crisis management.
World Bank = long-term development & poverty reduction.

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15
Q

how is the decision-Making in the IMF

A
  1. Similar to the World Bank, the IMF has:
    *Managing Director (traditionally European).
    *Board of Governors & Board of Directors (representing member governments).
  2. Voting System: Weighted Votes
    *Voting power depends on capital contributions (“quotas”).
    *85% majority is required for major decisions (e.g., reforms, quota reviews).
    ..US has a de facto veto (16.51% of votes).
    ..EU countries collectively hold about 33% of votes.
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16
Q

what are the pb of the governance structure of the IMF?

A

Power Imbalance & Underrepresentation:
*Developing countries have less influence, despite their economic importance.
*Advanced economies, especially the US and EU, have outsized power in shaping IMF policies.
*IMF conditionality and policy prescriptions often reflect Western economic ideologies.

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17
Q

what is the response of the IMF to the critics of its governance structure?

A

2010 Reforms: Attempt to Address Inequality
*Total quotas were doubled, increasing the weight of developing and emerging economies.
*The US Congress only ratified the reforms in 2015, delaying their implementation.

18
Q

what is the eu Economic and Monetary Union (EMU)

A

-the framework for economic and monetary integration among European Union (EU) member states
-It includes a single currency (the Euro)
-and a coordinated monetary policy led by the European Central Bank (ECB).

19
Q

what is the first step towards monetary unification in Europe (early foundations of the EMU)

A

Treaty of Rome (1957)
*established the European Economic Community (EEC), laying the foundation for economic integration.
*Article 2 states that the goal was to create a common market and approximate economic policies to ensure:
..Balanced economic growth
..Stability
..Higher living standards
..Stronger cooperation between member states

20
Q

what are the early plan for the EMU

A

The Werner Report (1970)
*Proposed by the 1969 Hague Summit
*report outlined a plan for full economic and monetary integration by 1980.
*Key features:
..Fixed and irrevocable exchange rates
..Full capital mobility: free movement of capital, across borders within the European Economic Community (EEC)
..Possible single currency
..A unified system for central banks
*proposed role of the Economic Union:
..Harmonization of economic policies
..Common economic policy decision-making center, accountable to the European Parliament (EP)
*Problem: The plan failed due to economic crises in the 1970s, including the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and oil shocks.

21
Q

what is the EMS

A

In 1979, to address monetary instability, the EMS was introduced. It included:
*Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM)
*Allowed fixed but adjustable exchange rates between European currencies to reduce volatility.
*Mutual Credit Facilities: provided financial assistance to defend exchange rate stability.
*European Currency Unit (ECU): A basket currency used for accounting, paving the way for the Euro.
-> Success: The EMS helped stabilize exchange rates and formed the basis for deeper monetary integration.

22
Q

how/ when is born the EMU?

A

*The Treaty of Maastricht (92) formally established the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU).
*Key goals:
..Creation of a common market
..Economic and social progress
..A single currency (the Euro)
*The Maastricht Treaty also set convergence criteria (inflation, budget deficit, debt, interest rates) that countries had to meet before adopting the Euro.

23
Q

what are the 3 theories explaining the EMU dvlpmt?

A
  1. Intergovernmentalist Perspective (State-Centric)
  2. Neo-Functionalist Perspective
  3. “Failing Forward” Theory (Jones, Kelemen, Meunier, 2016)
24
Q

what is the Intergovernmentalist Perspective (State-Centric) as a theory explaining the EMU devlopment?

A

EMU was driven by state interests:
*Countries preferred fixed exchange rates for economic stability.
*But divisions over monetary policy caused delays—until economic convergence in the 1980s made the EMU more feasible.

25
what is the Neo-Functionalist Perspective as a theory explaining the EMU devlopment?
primarily a political process, rather than just an economic one: focus on supernational dynamics: *The European Commission played a central role in setting the agenda. *"Spill-over effect": Economic integration led to further political integration. *EMU was a natural extension of the Common Market.
26
what is the “Failing Forward” Theory (Jones, Kelemen, Meunier, 2016) as a theory explaining the EMU development?
European integration progresses through crises: *Incomplete policies → lead to crises → partial fixes (corrections partielles) → deeper integration over time. *Ex: The Eurozone crisis (2010s) led to greater fiscal coordination between EU countries.
27
what is the heart of the EMU today
the eu central Bank
28
what is the eu central bank (ECB)
*core activities: ..manages monetary policy for the Eurozone ..ensures price stability (inflation below but close to 2%) *structure: ..Executive Board: President (currently Christine Lagarde)+ 5 other members ..Governing Council: 6 Executive Board members + Central bank governors of Eurozone countries (voting on a rotating basis) ..General Council: includes also central bank governors from non-Eurozone EU members to ensure coordination. *independence: ..The ECB is fully independent from EU governments. ..National central banks implement ECB policy but cannot set their own monetary policy.
29
summarize with the stage, key dvlpmnt and outcome; the devlopment of the EMU
*1957, Treaty of Rome, Common Market created *1970, Werner Report, Early plan for monetary union (failed) *1979, European Monetary System (EMS), Stabilized exchange rates *1986, Single European Act, Strengthened goal of EMU *1992, Maastricht Treaty, Established EMU & Euro criteria *1999, Euro introduced, 11 countries adopted the Euro *2002, Euro banknotes/coins, Physical currency launched *2010s, Eurozone crisis, Led to deeper fiscal cooperation
30
what are the 2 main sys in the structure of central banking in the EU
1. ESCB (European System of Central Banks) *Includes all EU member states, regardless of whether they use the Euro. *Consists of: ..European Central Bank (ECB) ..National central banks (NCBs) of all EU countries 2. Eurosystem (MS follow ECB policy) *Only includes Eurozone countries (countries using the Euro). *Managed by: ..ECB Governing Council (sets monetary policy). ..Executive Board (implements ECB policies). National Central Banks (NCBs) of Eurozone members (execute policy). Croatia was moved to the Eurozone group (adopted the Euro in 2023). Denmark, Sweden, Poland, etc., are still outside the Eurozone but part of the ESCB. UK (crossed out) → Left the EU due to Brexit (2020).
31
what are the Key Challenges to the EMU Today:
1. Diverse Economic Conditions:MS have different levels of economic development, making it hard to implement a one-size-fits-all monetary policy. 2. Lack of a Fiscal Union: Without full fiscal integration, individual countries can struggle to manage their debts, creating instability in the region. 3. Financial Crises: Events like the European Sovereign Debt Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic have exposed vulnerabilities in the EMU, particularly its lack of crisis management tools. 4. Debate on Further Integration: There’s ongoing debate on whether to deepen integration with mechanisms like a European Monetary Fund or to maintain the status quo, preserving national control over fiscal policy.
32
What do Jones, Kelemen and Meunier mean by “failing forward”
“Failing forward”= describe the pattern of decision-making and crisis in Europe: incomplete governance structures-> crises -> further but still incomplete integration. ==>European integration is incomplete by nature. When a crisis happen, national authorities only focus on saving the euro, and few reform of the EMU. However, these reforms are incomplete and are defectives. -> 3 stages of the cycle: 1. lowest common denominator (agree on the lowest solution that makes everyone happy but is not ideal, not best for everyone bcs national interests…) 2. crisis as cause of these minimum decisions 3. again negociation on a solution (but same mistake again: lowest common denominator)
33
what is "failing forward" due to? the two theorical underpinning of "failing forward"
Jones, Kelemen and Meunier intergovernmental bargaining; as well as two main way of thinking integration: 1. liberal intergovernementalism= EU integration is driven by national governments, who negotiate based on domestic economic interests. The most powerful states (block deeper integration when it conflicts with their national interests ->explain next crisis 2. Neofunctionalism= Integration causes functional spillovers that create pressures for further integration. Supranational actors (e.g., the ECB, the European Commission) and economic interdependence push the EU toward deeper integration. -> Explains why each crisis leads to further, though incomplete, reforms.
34
apply the 2 theorical underpinnings of "failing forward" to euro crisis
Jones, Kelemen and Meunier: 1st step: Flaws in EMU since Maastricht treaty 1992= monetary union (missing: fiscal union)→ partial integration 2nd step: crisis 3rd: temporary fixes but not long-term (ex: eu stability supervision) but still lower common denominator => idea of the authors: it will have crisis again in like 10 years
35
give the name of 2 other organisations, which function with "failing forward"
-IMF: 2010 (US allow dvlpng countries to have a bigger voting part)= china said otherwise it will create its own IMF and that is a crisis -UN: resolutions are taken to answer to an imminent or already in progress crisis. Furthermore, long term planning is almost impossible with the veto of the permanent members, that prioritize their national interests.
36
what is SCO?
Shanghai Cooperation Organisation: *Objectives: promoting peaceful development, Security cooperation (anti-drug trafficking, counterterrorism), economic integration (trade facilitation), and military exercises (not a military alliance). *Challenges: Managing diverse political interests, balancing security vs. economic priorities *one of the largest regional security organizations
37
what is NAFTA
North American Free Trade Agreement: * US, Canada, and Mexico to eliminate trade barriers. *Objectives: Free trade, economic growth, labor/environmental protections. *Challenges: Loss of market share to the EU, rise of China as a manufacturing hub → led to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) under Trump (2017-18) with revised terms. *USMCA= shift toward managed trade and domestic economic protectionism (avantage more US and Canada)
38
what is AU
African Union: *History: Successor of the OAU, formed in 2001 to promote African unity. *Objectives: Political unity, economic integration, peacekeeping (African Standby Force), human rights (African Charter), and sovereignty protection. *Challenges: Limited enforcement power, funding constraints, internal political instability. *Unlike other regional organizations, the AU has an explicit peacekeeping mandate
39
what is Mercosur?
*History: 1991 by Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay; Venezuela suspended in 2016. *Objectives: Economic integration, trade bloc development, regional cooperation. *Challenges: Incomplete economic goals, internal political disputes, EU-MERCOSUR trade deal delays, lack of enforcement mechanisms * Latin America’s most ambitious regional economic integration project
40
what is AIIB
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) *History: Founded in 2016 by China with 57 members, now has 103 members *Objectives: Infrastructure financing (green projects, regional connectivity, private capital mobilization). *Challenges: US opposition, balancing geopolitical influence, ensuring sustainability in financed projects. *opposed to WB (competition with the US since China has the idea)
41
what is ASEAN
Association of South East Asian Nations: *History:1967 by 10 Southeast Asian countries. *Objectives: Economic growth, regional stability, security cooperation, ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) & ASEAN Economic Community (AEC)=rise flow of good and free trade. *Challenges: Political differences, economic inequalities, balancing relations with global powers (China, US). *operates on the principle of non-interference in domestic affairs, making it more flexible but also limiting its ability to enforce policies.
42
the four primary pursuits that Weiss and Wilkinson argue should guide investigations into global governance
1. Move Beyond the Late 20th Century Lens Don’t see global governance only through the post-Cold War or late 20th-century perspective. Instead, treat it as a long-term historical process. 2. Understand the Structure of Global Authority: Authority in global governance is spread out across many levels—global, regional, national—and it works through negotiation and influence, not just control and command 3. Analyze the Exercise of Power: Power isn’t just about states—it involves companies, networks, expert communities, and ideologies. Power shows up in agenda-setting, rule-making, and norm-shaping. 4. Examine Change in the System: Global governance is constantly changing due to things like economic trends, tech innovation, and new global problems. These drivers reshape institutions and priorities.