2. Precipitation Flashcards
Measurement errors for point observations and magnitude:
- Wind induced error
- Losses from surface wetting
- Evaporation from collectors
10-20% for rainfall
about 25% for snow
Method for correction of the systematic error:
Richter method in Germany.
Internationally different approaches (e.g. Sevruk)
When do we have to correct the error?
Water balance and continuous modelling -> always required!
Extremes and event based modelling -> not mandatory.
Methods for areal precipitation:
- Aritmetic mean
- Thiessen-Polygon
- Inverse-Distance method
- Isohytal method
- Geostatistical methods
Methods for estimation of design rainfall
- Design storm approach: using single events
- Derived flood frequency approach: using continuous rainfall
Resulted graphs from statistics to derive design storms
Depth-Duration-Frequency curve (DDF)
Intensity-Duration-Frequency curve (IDF)
What are the most important advantages of recording gauges compared to non-recording gauges?
- Higher temporal resolution
- Remote transmission for digital recording gauges possible.
What is the time of concentration?
Time after the whole catchment contributes to the flood hydrograph.
Objectives of the precipitation models
Forecast: real-time, flood warning
Simulation: input for rainfall-runoff models (planning and design, impact analysis.
What are deterministic models and examples
Physically based weather prediction models
Focus on large scale weather, rainfall quite uncertain
Forecast: NWP - Numerical Weather Prediction Model
Simulation: GCM/ RCM – Global/ Regional climate models
what are stochastic models and examples
Based on statistical laws
Forecast: e.g. MOS – Model Output Statistics (correction of RCM)
Simulation: many methods, keeping most relevant statistical
properties of rainfall process according to wanted application
General classification of stochastic models
- Single site: for one station
- Multisite: for several stations
- Multidimensional: space-time
- Occurrence only; amount only;
occurrence and amount
Classification after the method of stochastic models:
I. Alternating-Renewal-Modelle (ARP)
II. Time series models: -Markov -chains (MC)
-Auto regression-Moving-Average-Models (ARMA)
III. Point process models
IV. Disaggregation models
V. Resampling models