17.2 Analysis & Interpretation of FS - Investor Ratios Flashcards
What are the shareholders investment ratios
- Earnings per share (EPS)
- Price earnings (P/E) ratio
- Earnings yield
- Dividend per share (DPS)
- Dividend cover
- Dividend yield
- Return on equity (ROE)
o Most often used for PLCs not LTDs
What is earnings per share
EPS = Profit attributable to the ordinary shareholders / Weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue
- Profit attributed to the ordinary shareholders should be:
o After the deduction of preference dividends
These are treated almost like debt
o Exclude the profit from discontinued operations - Only ratio that has to feature on FS
What are the limitations of earnings per share
- Does not consider the impact of inflation on earnings
- Based on historical earnings, which are not necessarily a reliable indicator of future growth
- Affected by changes in capital structure
- Affected by choices in capital structure
How can EPS be manipulated
- Changing number of shares
o Reverse share splits - Changing earnings
o Accruals or depreciation
What is the price earnings ratio
P/E = Market price per ordinary share / EPS
- Ratio of company’s current share price to EPS
- The higher the better or viewed more favourably
o Judge the cost of the share to the return it produces
o Represented in pence - Represents the markets view of the companies growth potential, it’s dividend policy and degree of investment risk
- A high P/E indicates the market expects rapid growth of EPS
- Shows the number of years earnings at the current rate to recover the price paid for the share
What is earnings yield
Earnings yield = (Earnings per share / Market value of share) × 100
- Reciprocal of P/E ratio
o Earnings as a % of market price - More useful in trend analysis than P/E
What is dividend per share
DPS = Total dividend paid / Total number of ordinary shares
- Expressed in pence
- Of interest to shareholders
o Shows the amount they receive per share held
o Can indicate how profitable the company is - Compared to EPS which is maximum return this is the amount that is actually received. Can compare to see amount that is being retained
What is dividend yield
Dividend yield = DPS / Market price per ordinary share
- Expressed as a %
o Good for comparison - Shows the current level of dividend return on the investment
- The lower the dividend yield, the more the market is expecting future dividend growth, and vice versa
- Dividend yield is an important component when considering overall performance of a share
How can dividend yield be interpreted
- The dividend yield is a market base ratio that needs to be interpreted with great care
- A high DY can arise from
o High levels of dividend payment
Can be a good thing, if sustainable
o Low market price for shares
Not a desirable situation - The clientele effect results in companies being reluctant to reduce dividend payments for fear an adverse market reaction in terms of share price
o This can contribute to high apparent dividend yields that may not be an indicator of good corporate performance
What is dividend cover
Dividend cover = PAT / Dividend = x times
Or = (Earnings per share / Dividend per share × 100 = x%
- Measure of the proportion of profits distributed and retained in the business
o Dividend cover of 2 times, 50% of RE distributed and 50% kept - When it increases, higher proportion of PAT is retained
- The higher the dividend cover, the more likely the current dividend police is sustainable
- How many times could the dividend be paid out from profit after tax
How are dividends paid out
- The legality of a dividend payment usually depends on cumulative profits (RE) rather than profits for the year
o Also must have the cash in hand not just profit on the books - However, I’d a company repeatedly pays dividends that are in excess of annual profits then this clearly unsustainable in the long run
- Shareholder sentiment to the ratio varies:
o Some will react positively to a high dividend cover as it implies that the dividends may be sustainable even in the face of declining profitability
o Others will view a high cover as an indicator of an excessively low dividend payment
What is the dividend pay out ratio
Dividend pay out ratio = (Dividends paid / Net profit) = x%
- An alternative measure to dividend cover
- Expressed as a percentage
What is the return on equity
- Covered in the profitability lecture
o But also regarded as an investor ratio - The difference between ROE and ROCE will derive from the financial impact of leverage
- Ideally the shareholders benefit from improved returns on equity due to returns on borrowed funds that exceed the cost of those borrowings
- Nonetheless, investors will need to consider limitations of the borrowing capacity of the company, and increase in risk associated with increases in borrowing
What are some bankruptcy prediction ratios
- Investors and other users of financial statements are likely to be concerned about the risk the company will go bankrupt
- Z scores, H scores and A scores all try to predict the likelihood of bankruptcy
o Will not have to calculate these
o And they are only an indicator - There are also a number of professional risk assessors that provide credit rating services
o Standard and Poor, Moody’s
How do investor ratios interlink with other ratios
- While trade receivable days is not directly an investor ratio
- If it is high it can indicate liquidity issues
- That can affect dividends and long term going concern