1.6 Practical Significance + Statistical Power Flashcards
if the null is true, then…
the hypothesised distribution is the same as the actual distribution and nothing is happening
type 1 error (alpha)
we reject the null when it’s actually true (we’re too liberal and think something is happening but it isn’t)
type 2 error (beta)
we retain the null when it’s actually false (we’re too conservative and don’t recognise that something is happening)
power
- sensitivity
- PROBABILITY OF AVOIDING A TYPE 2 ERROR (likelihood that a significance test will detect an effect when one truly exists)
things that affect power
- sample size (larger samples increase power)
- effect size (stronger effects easier to detect)
- significance level (usually set at 0.05)
- variability of effect (more variability = lower power)
statistical significance
- proclaimed when p-value < 0.05
practical significance
- determined by size of effect and its application
- does it matter in the REAL WORLD??
appeal to ignorance
argument from ignorance
* thrusting an assertion into a region of uncertainty
* assertion that a claim is true simply because it has not been proven false - rely on absence of evidence as if it were compelling evidence itself
- you can’t prove I’m wrong, so I must be right
false dichotomy
logical fallacy when someone falsely asserts there are only two possible options or outcomes, ignoring other potential choices
* situation: want to be able to attack other side w/o establishing own case
- modern: denialism