13 Flashcards
fundamental analysis
FA assesses industries and companies’ short/medium/long-term prospects to determine how associated securities prices will move. Studies CAUSES of price movements.
technical analysis
TA examines historical stock and market prices to find recurring/predictable price patterns to predict future price movements. Studies effects of SUPPLY&DEMAND (price and volume).
efficient market hypothesis
EMH - at any given time a stock’s price will fully reflect ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION and so is best estimate of stock’s true value. Marketplace reacts instantly to new information.
random walk theory
RWT - new information about a stock is disseminated randomly and so price changes are also random and not connected to previous price
rational expectations hypothesis
REH - investors are rational and have access to all necessary information and will make intelligent decisions
two most important fiscal policy tools
1) Government spending 2) Taxes. Fiscal policies can be limited by time lags, either getting legislation through or for fiscal actions to actually affect the economy
monetary policy - economic expansion
BOC will restrain rate of growth of money and credit availability which usually leads to higher interest rates
monetary policy - slowdown
BOC will increase money supply and credit availability which usually leads to lower interest rates
stock prices are affected by monetary policy how
1) interest rates 2) corporate profits
inverting yield curve
long-term bond yields fall while short-term rates rise
technician: bear market
volume should increase as prices decline while in a bull market.
technician: bearish reversal
When prices rise and volume does not increase, the market may be in the beginning stages of a potential bearish reversal (possible market top).
technician: bull market
volume should increase when prices rise while in a bull market.
technician: bullish reversal
When prices fall and volume does not increase, the market may be in the beginning stages of a potential bullish reversal (possible market bottom).
head and shoulders patterns
Reversal patterns are formations on charts that usually precede a sizeable advance or decline in stock prices. Although there are many types of reversal patterns, probably the most frequently observed pattern is the head-and-shoulders formation. This formation can occur at either a market top, where it is referred to as a head-and-shoulders top formation, or at a market bottom, where it is called either an inverse head-and-shoulders or a head-and-shoulders bottom formation.