12.3 Expected Value and Sensitivity Analysis Flashcards
A widely used approach that managers use to recognize uncertainty about individual items and to obtain an immediate financial estimate of the consequences of possible prediction errors is
Sensitivity Analysis
After a problem has been formulated into any mathematical model, it may be subjected to sensitivity analysis, which examines how the model’s outcomes change as the parameters change.
Difference between the expected profit under certainty and the expected monetary value of the best act under uncertainty is
the expected value of perfect information
In decision making under conditions of uncertainty, expected value refers to the
weighted average of probable outcomes of an action
Sum of the conditional profit (loss) for each event times the probability of each event’s occurence.
Expected monetary value
A widely used approach that managers use to recognize uncertainty about individual items and to obtain an immediate financial estimate of the consequences of possible prediction errors is
sensitivity analysis
After a problem has been formulated into any mathematical model, it may be subjected to
sensitivity analysis
__________ examines how the model’s outcomes change as the parameters change.
The probabilistically weighted average of the outcome of an action
expected value