10) Imperfect People Flashcards
Bounded rationality?
- if small costs of information, computation, attention, adjustment, then it is rational to behave in what seems irrational way
Salience of the present?
how people disproportionately value immediate costs and benefits over future ones
Predictions from salience of present?
1) procrastination
2)dynamic inconsistency
3)awareness of procrastination
Ways to fix salience of the present?
1) Sophistication, education and self-control
2)raise the price of doing it tomorrow (Rules)
What is paternalism?
-government intervention to counteract present bias
Difference between beta and delta?
-beta is how much you care about future TODAY
-delta is how you value present consumption over future periods (not just the present).
Alternative to paternalism ?
-nudges
What is nudges?
-nudge people by changing default
Why nudges rather than paternalism?
we do not know preferences, but with nudges you can choose if default is your optimum or not
Nudges used by firms?
-gym membership
How do we stop short-sightedness in politics?
-implement term limits and elections, which ensure turnover and accountability
What do elections lead to ?
-short sightedness
-using model of salience of present
Predictions of model for elections?
-polarization
-electoral uncertainty and fiscal adjustments
-fiscal rules
Polarization?
More radical or polarized governments will borrow more, increasing government debt
as they know this is their one chance
Electoral Uncertainty and Fiscal Adjustments?
As electoral uncertainty increases, governments delay necessary fiscal adjustments (e.g., tax increases or spending cuts)