Y2 - Emerging and developing economies Flashcards
What are the measures of development?
HDI
- % access to clean water
- Energy consumption per person
- Degree of inequality
- Mobile phones per 1000 people
What are the advantages of HDI?
- Broader than GDP per capita
- According to UN = 3 most essential measurements
- Used for international comparison
- Shows development as a whole (not just social/economic)
Define HDI
A composite measure that consists of GDP per head (ppp), health (LE) and education (mean years of schooling at 25 and expected at 4)
What are the limitations of HDI?
- Too narrow = only 3 measures
- Only concerned with LT development outcomes
- Average measure = does not show development inequalities within a country
What are factors influencing growth and development?
- Savings gap
- Foreign currency gap
- Demographic factors/education/access to credit
- Debt
- Volatility of commodity prices/dependence on primary products
- Non-economic factors = poor governance/corruption etc
What are the issues with primary product dependency/volatile commodity prices?
- Price fluctuations (inelastic PED/PES) and revenue fluctuation
- Protectionism
- Shortage of domestic supply (all is exported)
- Falling terms of trade
- Finite supply of hard commodities
- Currency appreciation = demand for commodity = more demand for currency
What is the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis?
- Primary products have inelastic demand (more price fluctuation)
- Manufactured products have elastic demand (price rises with income faster than primary products)
= terms of trade for developing countries falls relative to developed countries
What is the evaluation of Prebisch-Singer hypothesis?
- Developing countries may have comparative advantage
- Real price of primary products might increase over time (more population/incomes)
- More FDI in primary product countries
What is the savings gap?
HARROD - FOMAR MODEL = shows how countries with low GDP has low savings ratio = difficult to finance investment = capital accumulation is limited = low output and low GDP
What is the evaluation of the savings gap?
- Only focusses on physical capital (not human)
- Assumes constant relationship between capital and output
- Savings gap could be filled by something else (such as FDI)
What is the foreign currency gap?
Shortage of foreign currency caused by:
- Dependency on primary products (low rev)
- Expensive to import oil/manufactured goods
- Interest payments on debt to foreign countries
- Capital flight (assets or money taken out of a country)
= insufficient foreign currency to buy imported capital goods needed to increase productive capacity
What is the evaluation on the foreign currency gap?
- LDCs could seek foreign aid/loans
- Other factors may be more important
How do demographic decrease development and growth?
- Thomas Malthus = famine inevitable because population grows geometrically but food grows arithmetically
- population grows > GDP
How does debt decrease development and growth?
CAUSES
- Dependant on primary products and falling terms of trade
- Developing countries borrow when low interest rates (cannot afford when interest rises)
- Currency depreciation (more burden)
How does credit/banking decrease development and growth?
Entrepreneurs need to borrow to start business = if not possible then growth is restricted