Y1 - Economic growth Flashcards
Define actual economic growth
An increase in real GDP
Define potential economic growth
An increase in the productive capacity of the economy
What are the boom/recession/slowdown criteria?
BOOM = real GDP increases fast RECESSION = falls for at least two consecutive quarters SLOWDOWN = may be rising but will be below the trend rate
Define export led growth
Economic growth caused by rises in net exports
- Has benign (positive) effect of stimulating the domestic economy while improving trade balance
- E.g. China = v dependant = vulnerable when external shocks (2008)
What are constraints on growth?
- Absence of efficient capital markets (LDCs) = asymmetric info (high interest rate)
- Government instability = cannot attract FDI and unstable currency (also fiscal deficit)
- Labour market problems = shortage of skilled labour, size of workforce (out migration)
- External constraints = tariffs = less trade
Define output gap
The difference between actual and potential GDP or growth in GDP
- Yfe - Y1
- can be positive or negative
Define positive output gap
When economy is growing faster than trend
- economy overheats and interest rates rise
Define negative output gap
When the economy is growing below trend (spare capacity)
- Interest rates may fall = less inflation pressure
What are the benefits of economic growth on consumers?
- Incomes and wealth rise = more saving
- also more job security = more consumption
- more job opportunities = potential wage rise
What are the benefits of economic growth on firms?
- More profit from more spending
- Revenue and profit rises = employ more workers and increase investment = increase future growth prospects and LR increase in productive efficiency
What are the benefits of economic growth on governments?
More tax revenue and less JSA = health fiscal position
What are the benefits of economic growth on SoL?
- Total incomes rise = SoL rise = employment rise = poverty down
- Governments can also afford to invest in public facilities
What are all the costs of economic growth?
- Income inequality (rich get richer)
- Environment = depletion of natural resources, more pollution (but might be cleaned up from increased gov rev)
- BoP current account = income up, exports down and domestic firms export less (not true if export led growth)
- Bottlenecks = little spare capacity (more monopoly power)
- Social = inequality, potential unemployment
- Rapid growth = short run price spikes = hard if country not planned for it