Week 5 Flashcards
What is probability
the probability of the occurrence of an event is the
proportion of times that event would (or does) occur in a
large number of repeated trials.
Values ranges from 0(never happen) to 1 (always happen)
probability = proportion
How to calculate risk?
D/N
How to calculate risk difference?
risk difference = risk in exposed - risk in non exposed
Risk ratio interpretation
RR = 1 occurs when there is no association between exposure
and disorder.
RR > 1 occurs when the risk is higher among the exposed
RR < 1 occurs when the risk is lower among the expose
The further the RR is from 1, the stronger the association
between exposure and disorder
nb a RR is always a positive number
Can you estimate risk in case-control studies?
No, because, in case-control studies, the cases are an unknown
fraction of the population, it is not possible to estimate risk.
Instead, you can estimate odds of exposure by disorder.
Interpretation of Odds Ratio
OR = 1 occurs when there is no association between exposure
and disorder.
OR > 1 occurs when the risk is higher among the exposed.
OR < 1 occurs when the risk is lower among the exposed.
The further the OR is from 1, the stronger the association
between exposure and disorder.
nb an OR is always a positive number
Why use odds ratios?
common mistake is to interpret the odds ratio as if it were a
risk ratio
• this is ok for a rare outcome (i.e., probability of event not
occurring is close to 1), when the odds ratio approximates the
risk ratio (as the odds approximate the risk)