Week 4 - Market research Flashcards
How do developers use market research
to identify potential buyers
determine marketing strategies
identify key design characteristics
foccast adequate demand
anticipate leasing sales
make adjustments to prices
estimate profits
market research involves
macroeconomic market study
markability study
investment analysis
feasibility analysis
difference between primary and secondary source research documents
primary = document or physical object which was written or created during the time under study
secondary = Source interprets and analyses a primary source, thus more steps removed from the event
types of market research
strategic analysis - used by developers to review a current strategy or evaluate moving in a new direction. keeps developers informed of emerging and future trends in tenant, development an investment markets
Site specific analysis - used by developers to review the upcoming market conditions for potential risks and opportunities
Forecasting - used by developers to manager risk by making predictions of future market conditions in areas such as rent, yield returns and capital
Portfolio analysis - used by developers to review the comparative risk and return performance of
property as a whole agasint other investment types
an individual property type against other land users
macroeconomics market sutdy
provide a broad picture of supply and demand for a specific property type or specific area
Markability study
analyses how a particular property will be absorbed, sold or leased based on market conditions
investment analysis
Determines how a specific property meets the risk and return criteria of an investor
Feasibility study
determines whether a project or development will fulfil the objective of the investor
What are the ‘market research process’
- product definition
- market delineation
- demand analysis
- supply analysis
- supply and demand interaction
- capture analysis
- finance modelling
explain step 1 product definition
analysis of the legal, physical and locational attributes of the subject dwelling
The better you know the subject of your research, the better your decision making will be.
Get to know your … product’s key features, the area/location, zones, local linkages (transport), potential uses (or limitations) , distinguishing features of the site, etc.
explain step 2 market delineation
determine the characteristics of likely buyers/users
who they are?
determine likely catchment area
geo boundaries
Consider: income levels, purchasing power, age, families, level of finishes (quality), technology, cost/value ratio, etc.
Explain step 3 remain analysis
analyse and forcsast anticipated market demand for the site/property given the suitable potential uses
(consider important residential demand factors e.g. income population geo financial market local amenities)
What is the (level of) desire or need for your development?
Consider potential changes over the time-span of the development. (Think mining-boom housing.)
Is a new road or railway planned?
How is local employment?
How long are properties on the market for(Days on the market)?
Explain supply analysis step 4
Analyses and forecast existing and anticipated supply of the specific site/property type under construction
Look at existing, recently completed, in progress and approved (proposed competition)
Supply = how much stock is on the market. It’s stock inventory.–> Particularly of “comparable stock”.
Quantity and quality need to be comprehensively considered together.
Developable land availability
Cost of construction
Conversion to alternative uses
Construction loan availability
Change of zoning ordinances (or other regulations)
explain supply and demand interaction
investigate the interaction of supply and demand to determine when the site / property type under construction will be sought after
explain capture analysis step 6
compare the subject property to comparable competitors to determine the likely capture of market share
Give due consideration to market conditions, demand and competitive supply
This follows on from steps 2 and 5, so may not be needed for all developments.This concept is for larger developers/developments.(Eg: multi-story apartments, and may involve a costing element also.)
Capture rate and absorption period (Risk Management)
Capture analysis can be done by undertaking a)Inferred methods and b)fundamental capture methods.