WEEK 4 - Economic Growth I (Basic Solow model) Flashcards

1
Q

What is the importance of growth for poor countries?

A

-Standard of living
(Daily caloric intake 1/3 lower than in richest fifth)
-the infant mortality rate is 200 per 1000 births, compared to 4 per 1000 births in the richest fifth

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2
Q

What does the Solow Model look at?

A

The determinants of econ growth and standards of living in LR

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3
Q

What are some elements of Solow’s model that differ from traditional growth models?

A
  1. K no longer fixed
    (Depreciation shrinks it, Investment causes it to grow)
  2. L no longer fixed
    (Pop growth causes it to grow)
  3. Consumption function simpler
  4. No G or T
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4
Q

What is the basic Solow production function?

A

Y = F(K,L)

Where:
y = Y/L = Output per worker
k = K/L = Capital per worker

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5
Q

How do we derive a production function that expresses output per worker as a function of capital pr worker?

A
  1. Assume constant returns to scale (noted as z):
    zY = F(zK,zL) for any z>0
  2. Put z = 1/L then,
    Y/L = F(K/L, 1)
    y = F (k,1)
    y = f (k) (per worker production function)

SEE GRAPH IN NOTES

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6
Q

What is the national income identity in the Solow Model?

A

Y = C+I

In per worker terms:
y = c + i

Where:
c = C/L and i = I/L

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7
Q

How do we define the savings rate?

A

As the fraction of income that’s saved (s)

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8
Q

What is the Solow Consumption function (per worker)?

A

c = (1 - s)y

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9
Q

How do we find the savings and investment function for the Solow Model?

A
  1. Savings (per worker) = y - c
    = y - (1-s)y
    = sy
  2. National income identity is y = c + i
    Rearrange to get: i = y - c = sy

Which gives us:
i = sy = sf(k)

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10
Q

Output, Consumption and Investment graph

A

SEE IN NOTES

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11
Q

How do we identify depreciation?

A

δ = The rate of depreciation
= The fraction of the capital stock that wears out each period

(capital stock = Physical Capital Stock)

SEE GRAPH IN NOTES

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12
Q

What alters the level of capital stock?

A

Investment increases it

Depreciation decreases it

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13
Q

How do you identify the change in capital stock /capital accumulation?

A

ΔK = i - δ
(Change in capital stock = investment - depreciation)

Since i = sf(k) this becomes,
ΔK = sf(k) - δk

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14
Q

What is known as the law of motion of k (central equation of Solow)?

A

ΔK = sf(k) - δk
(Determines behaviour of capital over time)
So, it determines behaviour of all other endogenous variables because they all depend on k

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15
Q

What is known as the steady state?

A

ΔK = sf(k) - δk

If investment is just enough to cover depreciation
(sf(k) = δk) then capital per worker will remain constant

SEE GRAPH IN NOTES

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16
Q

What do we denote the steady state by?

A

k* - called the steady state capital stock

17
Q

How does an economy move towards the steady state?

A

SEE NOTES

18
Q

What is the overall statement about moving towards the steady state?

A

As long as k

19
Q

How do you numerically identify the steady state?

A
  1. Production function (aggergate):
    Y = F(K,L) = Sq root of KxL = K1/2 L1/2
  2. To derive per worker production function, divide through by L:
    Y/L = K1/2 L1/2 / L = (K/L)1/2
  3. Then sub y=Y/L and k = K/L to get:
    y = f(k) = k 1/2
20
Q

How do you calculate for the steady state?

A

Use equation of motion (ΔK = sf(k) - δk )
e.g. s = 0.3 δ = 0.1 y= k1/2

  1. Set ΔK to 0
    leaving us with just sf(k) - δk
  2. Using assumed values
    0.3 Sq root K = 0.1k
    3 = k/Sq root K = Sq root of k

Giving us k* = 9 and y* = Sq root k* = 3

Finally, c=(1-s)y = 0.7 x 3 = 2.1

21
Q

What does an increase in the savings rate do?

A

Raises investment since in the model all that isn’t consumed is saved and what is saved is then invested.

Causing k to grow toward a new steady state

22
Q

What does the Solow Model predict?

A

Higher s = Higher k*
and since y = f(k)
higher k* = Higher y*

Thus, solow model predicts that countries with higher rates of saving and investment will have higher lvls of capital and income per worker in LR

23
Q

What is the golden rule of capital stock?

A

The steady state value of k that maximises consumption

24
Q

How do we find the golden rule of capital stock?

A

K*gold

  1. Express c* in terms of k*

c* = y* - i*
= f(k) - i
= f(k) - δk

Because in general i = ΔK + δk
In steady state i* = δk because ΔK = 0

SEE GRAPH IN NOTES

25
Q

What are some important elements about the Golden rule steady state?

A

It is not a tendency for the economy to move to the golden rule steady state
- Achieving golden rule requires that policymakers adjust s

26
Q

What must happen to an economy if they have more or less capital than the golden rule level?

A
  • More capital than golden rule lvl (k* > kgold):
    Increasing c
    requires fall in s

(Golden rule, consumption higher at all points in time)

  • Less capital than golden rule (k< kgold):
    Increasing c* requires increase in s (savings)

(Future generations enjoy higher consumption, but the current one experiences an initial drop in consumption.)

27
Q

How do we calculate population growth?

A

ΔL/L = n

n is rate of population growth

28
Q

What is break even investment?

A

Amount of investment necessary to keep k constant

29
Q

How do you calculate break even investment?

A

(δ+n)k

30
Q

What does break even investment include?

A

δk to replace capital as it wears out
nk to equip new workers with capital (otherwise k would fall as existing capital stock would be spread more thinly over larger population of workers)

31
Q

What is the law of motion for k considering population growth? (per worker terms)

A

Δk = sf(k) - (δ+n)k
(Actual Investment - Break even investment)

SEE DIAGRAM IN NOTES

32
Q

What is the impact of population growth?

A

Increase in n causes increase in break even investment leading to a lower steady state lvl of k

SEE GRAPH IN NOTES

33
Q

What is the logic behind increased population growth?

A

Higher n = Lower k*
And since y = f(k),
lower k* = lower y*

Thus, the Solow model predicts that in the long run countries with higher population growth rates will have lower levels of capital and income per worker

34
Q

What is the golden rule with population growth?

A

To find Golden rule capital stock again express c* in terms of k:
c
= y* - i*
= f(k) - (δ+n)k

Therefore,c* maximised when:
MPK = δ +n
or equivalently,
MPK - δ = n

35
Q

What is the Malthusian Model to population growth?

A

Predicts population growth will outstrip the Earth’s ability to produce food, leading to the impoverishment of humanity.

Since Malthus, world population has increased sixfold, yet living standards are higher than ever.
Malthus neglected the effects of technological progress.

36
Q

What is the Kremerian Model to population growth?

A

Posits that population growth contributes to economic growth.
More people = more geniuses, scientists & engineers, so faster technological progress.