Week 4 - Confidence Intervals Flashcards

(47 cards)

1
Q

Most common CIs?

A

90%, 95% or 99%

(0% to 100% are possible, though not usually desirable)

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2
Q

Hypothesis testing involves generating an ____________ about the ___________ ____________.

A

hypothesis, population parameter

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3
Q

Confidence Interval (CI) estimate…

A

Range or interval of values for parameters with a level of confidence attached (95% confidence that the interval contains the parameter)

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4
Q

Why are confidence ‘intervals’ also called ‘confidence interval estimates’?

A

Because the method used to calculate confidence intervals is an estimation.

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5
Q

Why Confidence Interval Estimate vs. Point Estimate?

A

Generally, point estimates are not accurate enough to provide information about the parameter, or the variability within the parameter.

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6
Q

Estimation uses sample data to generate ________ in the population.

A

Parameters

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7
Q

Do the properties of CLT hold if the population is normally distributed and the population is > 30?

A

Yes

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8
Q

95% confidence interval means that

A

We are 95 % confident that interval contains mew

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9
Q

When Student’s t Distribution?

A
  1. Distribution not normal
  2. n < 30
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10
Q

What type of sample is used in confidence interval calculations?

A

Random sample is preferred.

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11
Q

Measurements of sample population are called _________.

A

Parameters.

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12
Q

What is Statistical Inference?

A

Process of reaching a conclusion about a population based on information from a sample of that population

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13
Q

What is mu1 - mu2?

A

Difference in means

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14
Q

In CI >= 30 formula, what are:

X bar,

Z,

s, and

n?

A

X bar = Point Estimate

Z = value from Z table

s = standard deviation

n = sample size

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15
Q

What is Sp?

A

Pooled Estimate of Common Standard Deviation

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16
Q

What is mud?

A

Mean difference

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17
Q

How do you calculate confidence interval?

A

CI = point estimate +- margin of error

Point Estimate = X bar

Margin of Error = (Z*(s/(square root of ‘n’)))

therefore,

CI = X bar +- (Z*(s/(square root of ‘n’)))

*Z or t value, based on sample size*

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18
Q

When do you use the CI estimation for mud?

A
  1. When you have a continuous outcome, and
  2. When you have two matched/paired samples,
  3. Unit of analysis is a pair
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19
Q

When do you use the CI estimation for mu?

A
  1. When you have a continuous outcome, and
  2. When you have a single sample, and
  3. When you want to estimate for the population mean for that sample.
20
Q

Do the properties of CLT hold true if sample is < 30 and normally distributed?

21
Q

What is formula for CI for mud?

A

Xbard = Σ(x1 - x2)/n

22
Q

In confidence interval estimates, _____________ gives the range of values above and below the ___________.

A

margin of error

point estimate

23
Q

Can you use t distribution for large n?

A

Yes, because when n is large, t is approximately equal to standard normal distribution (Z).

24
Q

The words ______ and ______ clues that we’re calculating Mean Difference.

A

before, after

pre, post

25
To get a smaller interval, do what?
Either lower level of confidence or increase n.
26
Measurements of sample data are called \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_.
Statistics
27
Types of Stastical Inference
1. Estimation 2. Hypothesis Testing
28
Confidence Interval (formula)
CI = Point Estimate ± Margin of Error
29
Disadvantages of using t-distribution to calculate confidence intervals:
1. Wider intervals 2. Must be able to assume that the underlying distribution is normal.
30
Why Student's t Distribution?
1. n \< 30 2. Cannot use z distribution b/c CLT does not hold 3. Sample point estimates may not be reliable estimate of true population values
31
32
Is the point estimate representative of the entire population?
No. It is based on one sample and does not consider the variability within the parameter.
33
Explain mean difference.
Mean difference computes the mean (average) of differences between pre and post values. Measurements are dependent. Mean difference = Σ(Xa - Xb)/n Ex. BMI study...pre BMI (X1a), post BMI (X1b), sum of differences divided by n
34
Mu, which represents the mean of the population is a \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_. Parameter or Stastic
Parameter
35
Estimation determines
likely values for an unknown population parameter.
36
What is best single estimator for parameter (e.g., mean)?
Point estimate
37
In CI \< 30 formula, what are: X bar, t, s, n?
X bar = Point Estimate t = value from t table s = standard deviation n = sample size
38
True or False: There will always be some degree of uncertainty when you caculate point estimates based on your sample.
True
39
Sample statistics are analyzed to...
support or reject the hypothesis about the parameter.
40
Which is better? Confidence Interval or Point Estimate. Why?
Confidence Interval Estimates Generally, point estimates are not accurate enough to provide information about the parameter, or the variability within the parameter.
41
Do the properties of CLT hold if the population is not normally distributed and \< 30?
No.
42
What can be said about the sample drawn from the population in both estimation _and_ hypothesis testing?
The sample is random
43
When estimating _difference in means_, what is formula for Point Estimate?
mu1 - mu2
44
Explain difference of means.
Mean of all pre measurements - Mean of all post measurements Measurements are independent. Ex. Pre BMI (X1a), Post BMI (X1b) (Xbara - Xbarb)
45
Key Points (3) of Student's t Distribution?
1. It is a *set* of distributions, not a single distribution. Collectively, these sets assume the shape of a bell shaped curve. 2. Uses the parameter, degrees of freedom (df) df = n-1 3. If n is sufficiently large, student's distribution (t) is approximately equal to standard distribution (z)
46
X bar, represents the sample mean of a \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_. Parameter or Stastic
Statistic
47
Do the properties of CLT hold true if the population \< 30 and normally distributed?
Yes.