Week 2 - Prices & Growth Flashcards
Inflation
a general increase in the prices of goods and services in an economy
Inflation rate
the rate of increase in prices over a given period of time
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
measures the average change in prices paid by consumers over a period of time for a basket of goods and services.
How to calculate the CPI
- Fix the basket
- Find the prices (the goods are weighted according to how much income is spent on each of them)
- Compute the baskets cost (inflation rate)
i. Same basket of goods
ii. Isolate the effects of price changes
Producer Price Index (PPI)
measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output (basket of goods)
What are the problems with CPI?
- Substitution bias
i. Prices do not change proportionately (some prices rise/fall more than others) and as a result consumers substitute toward a good that has become relatively less expensive. However, the index assumes a fixed basket of goods and overstates inflation - Introduction to new goods
i. Greater variety of goods makes the pound more valuable, therefore the cost of living declines, however the basket of goods in the index is updated only at a lag. - Unmeasured quality change
i. The index doesn’t adjust prices to reflect quality changes when a good becomes better, therefore its price has effectively fallen and the pound stretches further - Peoples spending patterns are not typical and may differ
i. This means that one person’s inflation rate may be higher/lower than the published, average CPI rate
Retail Price Index (RPI)
tracks changes in the cost of a fixed basket of goods over time, but includes council tax and mortgage interest payments which the CPI excludes
GDP deflator
a price index that shows how, on average, prices for all goods and services produced domestically in an economy change over time
GDP deflator formula
GDP deflator = ratio of nominal GDP to real GDP
GDP deflator vs CPI
- GDP deflator is a measure of all products and services of the country (including non-consumer goods and services), while the CPI uses only consumer goods.
- GDP deflator includes only domestic goods, while CPI includes anything bought by consumers, which includes non-domestic products (imported or foreign made).
- GDP deflator has a changing set of commodities (compares the price of currently produced goods/services to the price of the same goods/services in the base year) while the CPI compares a fixed basket of goods to the price of the basket in the base year, therefore unlike the deflator the basket of goods us not updated automatically over time
Economic growth
an increase in the production of goods/services in an economy
Long run/trend growth
the long term, sustainable and non-inflationary increase in the economy’s productive capacity due to an increase in the long-run aggregate supply
Short run/cyclical movements in the business cycle
when the economy uses spare capacity to increase the real output
Endogenous growth theory
investment in human capital is the key driver of growth
Productivity
measures how much output can be produced with a given set of inputs (measures the efficiency of the combination of labour and capital)