Week 2 - Births, Deaths and Populations Flashcards
Why is a population census important?
- Population size –> can calculate rates
- Population structure –> service needs
- Data on the age and socio-economic makeup of the population enables the government to plan health and social services
- Indication of need for new housing
- Indicates employment levels: helping government and businesses plan jobs and training policies
- Data on transport: planning of roads and public transport
- Take account of needs of minority groups: unemployed, lone pensioners, single parents, certain ethnic groups;
Census
The simultaneous recording of demographic data by the government at a particular time pertaining to all the persons who live in a particular territory.
Crude birth rate
Number of live births per 1,000 population
General fertility rate
Number of live births per 1,000 females aged 15-44 years
Total period fertility rate
The average number of children that would be born to a hypothetical woman in her life.
Discuss the main determinants of fertility.
- Sexual activity: increased sexual activity leads to increased fertility
- Economic climate: increase leads to increased fertility
- Contraception: increase leads to reduced fertility
- Abortion: increase leads to reduced fertility
Describe the uses of measures of fertility.
- Crude birth rate: for describing impact of births on size of population
- General fertility rate: for comparing fertility of fertile female populations
- Total period fertility rate: for comparing fertility of fertile females without being influenced by age group structure
Describe the features of a population census.
- Run by the government
- Covers a defined area
- Personal enumeration (a person in each household completes Census form)
- Simultaneous throughout defined area
- Universal coverage
- Occurs at regular intervals (10 years in UK)
Crude death rate
Number of deaths per 1000 population
Age-specific death rate
Number of deaths per 1,000 in age group
Standardised mortality ratio
Compares ‘observed’ number of deaths with number ‘expected’ if age-sex distribution of populations were identical; it adjusts for age-sex distribution
Uses of mortality rates
- Classify causes of death
- Analyse patterns in mortality rates
- Identify health problems –> inform service needs
What variables affect population size and structure?
- Births - fertility rate determinants
- Deaths - mortality rate trends
- Migration - inward and outward migration
Population estimates
Apply what is known about births, deaths and migration to the present
Population Projections
Estimates that are future orientated and are based on additional assumptions about births, deaths and migrations in the future