Week 2 Flashcards
How many people face problems with hunger?
Between 691 and 783 million people faced hunger in 2022 – around 9% of the world population
What drives food insecurity?
Major drivers of food insecurity: conflict, climate extremes and rising prices of food, agricultural inputs and energy
How will food insecurity increase?
Exposure to more complex, frequent and intense climate extremes is threatening to erode and reverse gains made in ending hunger and malnutrition
How has global hunger changed overtime as % population undernourished?
2005 to 2009 (12% decrease to 8.6%)
2009 to 2019 (8.6% to 7.9%)
2020 to 2022 (8.9% to 9.2%)
What is the distrubution of the prevalence of undernourishment in 2022?
Global - 9.2%
Africa - 19.7%
Asia - 8.5%
How much water does farming use?
Farming uses 70% of the world’s fresh water
What is the distrubution of the prevalence of undernourishment in 2015?
Global - 7.9%
Africa - 15.8%
Asia - 8%
What are the food challenges of the future?
An expanding population - 7 billion growing to 9 billion by 2050
Climate change/climate extremes/soil erosion/loss of biodiversity
Finite resources - Land availability/fertilisers /energy/water
Conflict
What are the predictions for how climate will change in two different scenarios?
RCP = Representative Concentration Pathway
RCP2.6: radiative forcing 2.6 W m-2 in 2100, CO2 ~400 ppm, 1.5 oC temperature rise
RCP8.5: radiative forcing 8.5 W m-2 in 2100, CO2 >900 ppm, 4.9 C temperature rise
What are the predictions for agricultural requirements?
100% increase in production required by 2050 (based on 2.4% yield increase per year based on data from 1989-2008
What was the past and future needs for cereal production for sustaining human population?
Global cereal production rose from 877 million metric tons in 1961 to 2351 million metric tons in 2007
To meet future demands this will need to rise to 4000 million+ metric tons p.a. by 2050 (70% increase compared to 2007).
What is the observed trend for global preciptation?
Areas like USA and North Europe will see an increase but areas with high farmland will see decrease so new crop varieties will need to be more efficient in their use of water
What is the breakdown of energy demand in agriculture?
29% - Fertilisers
Diesel - 24%
Electricity - 17%
Natural gas - 9%
Pesticide - 9%
Other - 12%
What are 2050 yield predictions based on currently used agricultural land?
Maize – 67%
Rice – 42%
Wheat – 38%
Soybean – 55%
What was the green revolution?
Research technology transfer initiatives in the 1950-1960s that increased agricultural production in parts of the world
What research was included in the green revolution?
High yielding crops, dwarf varieties
Use of fertilizers
Irrigation
mechanisation
What is an overview of wheat yields?
There are many areas with wheat yields as high as 10 metric tons/ha.
But the he majority of land cropped to wheat delivers yields below 3 metric tons/ha.
What areas have the lowest wheat yields?
These larger areas of low-yielding land/low-yielding environments (primarily in developing countries) offer the greatest opportunity for substantial increases in global food production
How will low income areas have substatial increase in food production?
The most gain will come from delivering these technologies in developing countries, but the new technologies will have to be economically accessible and readily disseminated.
What is the predicted wheat production in 2050?
Developing countries - 1750 millon tonnes
Industrial countries - 900 million tonnes
How will RCP 8.5 impact Maize yields?
2050 - global slight decrease averaging around 20%
2090 - Middle east + North Africa 30% increase but deacrease in europe ie France 30%
How will RCP 8.5 impact rice yields?
2050 - Global decrease by 20% eg Russia
2090 - Severe decrease 50% in Russia and europe but India decreasing by 20%
How will RCP 4.5 impact Maize yields?
Both 2050 and 2090 mostly unchanged though slight decrease in europe by 10% though Sahel africa increase by 10%
How will RCP 4.5 impact rice yields?
Both seeing a global decrease of approximately 20%