Week 17 - Labour Market Flashcards
What has been the trend in real wage growth in industrialised countries?
Industrialised countries experienced significant real wage growth throughout the 20th century.
Real earnings (adjusted for inflation) have increased steadily due to improvements in productivity, technology, and economic expansion.
In the U.S., 2018 real earnings were:
Twice the real earnings of 1960.
Five times the real earnings of 1929.
What factors contributed to real wage growth in the 20th century?
Technological advancements increased worker productivity.
Education improvements led to a more skilled workforce.
Industrialisation and urbanisation created higher-paying jobs.
Economic policies (such as labor protections and minimum wage laws) supported higher wages.
Global trade and economic expansion provided access to new markets and resources.
Why did U.S. real earnings in 2018 double compared to 1960?
Productivity growth – More output per worker due to better technology and automation.
Increased capital investment – More machines, tools, and infrastructure improved efficiency.
Economic expansion – Higher GDP and rising industries created higher-paying jobs.
Strong labor markets – Unions, labor laws, and demand for skilled workers contributed to wage increases.
Why were U.S. real earnings in 2018 five times higher than in 1929?
The Great Depression (1929-1939) caused extreme wage stagnation and high unemployment.
Post-WWII economic boom (1945-1970) led to massive wage growth and middle-class expansion.
Innovation and automation boosted industrial and service-sector wages.
Globalisation opened new markets, increasing job opportunities and income levels.
What challenges might slow real wage growth in the future?
Automation and AI replacing traditional jobs.
Wage stagnation due to outsourcing and gig economy growth.
Inflation and cost of living increases reducing purchasing power.
Weaker labor protections in some economies, leading to income inequality.
While wages have grown historically, future trends depend on technological, economic, and policy changes.
What are the 5 trends?
- Real wage growth in industrialised countries
- Real wage growth stagnation since 1973
- Increased wage inequality in US
- The number of people with jobs has grown in the past 50 years
- Western Europe has suffered higher unemployment than the U.S.
What happened to real wage growth after 1973?
Real wage growth stagnated after 1973, slowing compared to earlier decades.
Fastest growth occurred in the 1960s and early 1970s.
Despite stagnation, the number of employed people and the percentage of the population employed increased.
How did real wage growth rates change over different periods?
Real wage growth slowed significantly after 1973:
1960 – 1973 → 2.5% per year (strong growth).
1973 – 1995 → 0.9% per year (slowdown begins).
1996 – 2007 → 1.8% per year (moderate recovery).
2007 – 2016 → 0.7% per year (stagnation continues).
1970 – 2012 → 1.1% per year (long-term trend).
Why did real wage growth slow after 1973?
Oil shocks (1973, 1979) → Higher energy costs slowed economic growth.
Decline of manufacturing → Shift to lower-wage service jobs.
Globalisation → Increased competition from low-wage countries.
Decline of unions → Weaker bargaining power for workers.
Technology & automation → Replaced many middle-class jobs.
Rising income inequality → Wage growth benefited high earners more than average workers.
Why did employment increase despite wage stagnation?
More women entering the workforce increased total employment.
Shift to service jobs created more job opportunities.
Population growth naturally expanded the labor force.
More part-time and gig work provided flexible but often lower-paying jobs.
Even though wages grew slowly, the total number of employed people increased.
What factors helped real wage growth recover between 1996–2007?
Technology boom (1990s) increased productivity.
Strong economic expansion before the 2008 financial crisis.
Global trade expansion helped high-skill industries.
Increased education levels improved workforce skills.
Despite some recovery, wage growth slowed again after 2007.
What are the challenges to increasing real wage growth in the future?
Automation & AI may replace more jobs.
Weak labor protections could limit wage bargaining power.
Inflation vs. wages – If inflation rises faster than wages, purchasing power declines.
Cost of living (housing, healthcare) continues to outpace wage growth.
Economic uncertainty (recessions, pandemics) affects wage stability.
Future wage growth depends on policy decisions, technology, and economic conditions.
What happened to average real weekly earnings of low-income workers in the U.S. between the 1970s and 2018?
The average real weekly earnings of workers at the low end of the income distribution decreased.
What happened to the real wages of the best-educated, highest-skilled workers between the 1970s and 2018?
Real wages for the best-educated, highest-skilled workers increased during this period.
How much more income do workers with an advanced college degree make compared to high school graduates?
Workers with an advanced college degree make twice the income of high school graduates.
How much more income do workers with an advanced college degree make compared to those who did not graduate from high school?
Workers with an advanced college degree make three times the income of workers who did not graduate from high school.
What are some factors contributing to wage inequality in the U.S. from the 1970s to 2018?
Factors include technological advancements, globalization, and shifts in labor market demand for high-skilled workers, as well as changes in labor policies and the decline of unions.
How did globalisation contribute to wage inequality in the U.S.?
Globalisation led to outsourcing of lower-wage manufacturing jobs to countries with cheaper labor, contributing to wage stagnation for low-skilled workers in the U.S.
How did technological advancements impact wage inequality in the U.S.?
Technological advancements increased the demand for skilled labor in fields like tech and finance, raising wages for high-skilled workers while reducing demand for lower-skilled jobs.
What role did the decline of unions play in wage inequality in the U.S.?
The decline of unions weakened workers’ bargaining power, contributing to slower wage growth for low- and middle-wage workers compared to high-wage workers.
What has happened to the number of people with jobs in the U.S. over the past 50 years?
The number of people with jobs has grown in the past 50 years, but the rate of job growth has slowed recently.
What was the employment rate for people over 16 in 1970?
In 1970, about 57% of people over 16 had jobs.
What was the employment rate for people over 16 in 2000?
By 2000, the employment rate for people over 16 had increased to 64%.
What was the employment rate for people over 16 in 2019?
In 2019, the employment rate for people over 16 was 61%.