Week 11: Financial Analysis / Profiling - Undermine Defences Flashcards
Financial Analysis: What are the 4 main profiling methods
- Full net worth method
- Source and Application of funds (expenditures method).
- Bank analysis
- Unit & volume analysis
Financial Profiling - Net worth analysis
- used for mid to high value targets with tangible assets (houses etc.)
- any increase (or decrease) in net worth from year to year must be as a result of some income (or loss)
1. Assets - (less) Liabilities = net worth
2. Net worth - prior year net worth = net worth increase / decrease
3. Plus living expenses = expenditure (required income)
4. Minus funds from known sources
= Funds from unknown sources
Financial profiling - Expenditures Method (source & application of funds)
- Used for: Targets with low assets, high lifestyle
- focuses on the target’s spending rather than assets.
- spending vs. all known sources of income.
- Look at what the target has spend in a given time period. Look at their known income in that period. If their spending is greater than their known income then the difference is funds of unknown source.
Financial Profiling - Bank Depositis Analysis
- targets who make extensive use of banking. Can be useful for companies
- check all incomes from all accounts (ignore transfers within), add cash expenditures. This results in total income
- it is based on records that are third party (bank) & reliable.
Financial Profiling - Unit & Volume Analysis
- Businesses - estimation of sales proceeds (incl drugs)
- Estimate sales based on known purchases of consumables or other info.
- Using towel usage as a means to estimate the number of customers at a restaurant
What are the 4 main defences used by criminals?
- Cash on Hand story (cash accumulated over time and hoarded)
- False loan, inheritance, gifts or windfall stories
- it’s not mine I’m looking after it (or car is insured in my name but belongs to someone else)
- husband / wife defence (yes it’s in both our names but he / she bought it)
Cash on Hand Defence - How to dismantle it
- where did it come from? from who and where?
- where was it stored?
- why not in bank?
- who saw it / knows about it
False loan / inheritance / gifts / windfall stories - how to dismantle
- investigate the sources, are they capable of making such a gift / loan etc
- records and paperwork?
- did it go through a solicitor?
- is the actual transfer of the ‘gift etc’ documented? STRs?
- If cash why? How?
It’s not mine I’m just looking after it (or I’m insured to drive it, but it doesn’t belong to me) - how to dismantle
CAR
* who is the BENFICIAL OWNER
* who pays for runnning costs etc?
* who uses most - traffic stops ANPR camera etc
CASH
* who are you looking after it for?
* why?
* for how long?
* evidence of agreement on phone etc
Jointly held by husband wife - how to dismantle
- trace funds used to pay for the asset
- examine transfer documentation e.g. if asset is house a conveyance file may show source of funds on settling house purchase.
- consider doing regressive net worth analysis on spouse around time of purchase (i.e go back a year and look at increase of assests)