Week 10 - Mergers, corporate governance & control Flashcards
5 valid sources of value for M&A
- Necessary restructuring
- Market power
- Synergies and economies of scale (higher cash flows, ie. increase revenue, lower costs)
- Reduction in taxes
- interest tax shields (advantage of debt, not merger however) - Realign managements’ incentives
- replace bad managers to get rid of agency costs
4 dubious sources of value for M&A
- Increase financial slack, ie. get cash
- however, essentially spending a pound to buy a pound - Diversification at firm level
- cheaper for investors to diversify at personal level by holding a portfolio - Buy a low price target to boost EPS?
- Note that a change in EPS is an UNRELIABLE indicator of whether the NPV of an acquisition is +ve or -ve; whether shareholders are better off from M&A
- E/P ratio determined risk of firm & PVGO. Hence why target firm might have LOWER E/P ratio (ie. riskier and/or lower PV of growth opportunities) or HIGHER EPS
- Bottom line: there must be a reason why target firm has a higher EPS to begin with - Overconfidence of CEO’s
- overestimate benefits of M&A or underestimate costs. They might think M&A is a +ve NPV project.
Due to asymmetric information, optimistic managers prefer to finance mergers with CASH. Why?
- If finance a merger with shares, it is essentially a SHARE ISSUANCE to target shareholders.
- This means giving away money to target shareholders if shares are underpriced (pecking order theory)
- or Managers of acquiring firm could be overconfident if think co. is underpriced & giving away underpriced shares
Formulae for…
1. Gain from merger
2. Cost of cash-financed merger
3. NPV of acquisition
4. Cost if merger is financed by ACQUIRER’S STOCK
*Cost represents the acquisition premium
- Gain = V_AT - (VA + VT)
- Cost = cash paid - VT
- NPV = gain - cost
- Cost = (N x P_AT) - VT
» or (% stake of sellers’ stock in merged company x V_AT) - VT
Change in EPS, eg. - target has half your EPS but trading for more than half your value
Are shareholders any better or worse off? (from PS10)
Stated another way, TargetCo’s P/E ratio is 12.5 (= 25/2) vs. your company’s 10 (= 40/4).
- This is possible if TargetCo’s earnings are LESS RISKY or if they are EXPECTED to GROW MORE in the future.
- Thus, although your shareholders end-up with lower EPS after the transaction, they have paid a FAIR PRICE, exchanging their £4 per share before the transaction for either lower, but safer EPS after the transaction, or lower EPS that are expected to grow more in the future.
- Either way, focusing on EPS alone CANNOT TELL you whether shareholders are better or worse off.