W10: 16. Payout Policy (dividend policy) Flashcards
How do corporations payout to their shareholders?
- Paying dividends
2. stock repurchase - buying back some of their shares
why would a firm buy back shares?
to invest in growth or to ‘survive’ during hard times. (stock repurchases have become increasingly common)
main ways that firms pay dividends
- stock dividend
- stock splits
- cash dividend
stock dividend
Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders, you receive more shares but your wealth remains the same.
Firms retain profits but give stocks to shareholders. (Stock-holders own more shares but wealth hasn’t increased, unless firm value changes, if share price/market cap changes it doesn’t matter, not really increasing personal wealth). But firm growth could cause firm value to increase (in future). At the present, when you receive stocks, it doesn’t change your wealth.
stock splits
Issue of additional shares to firm’s stockholders
(company divides its existing shares into multiple shares to boost the liquidity (& achieve greater flexibility of the shares & lower trading price of stock to a range deemed comfortable by most investors. Although the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, the total dollar value of the shares remains the same compared to pre-split amounts, because the split does not add any real value. The most common split ratios are 2-for-1 or 3-for-1, which means that the stockholder will have two or three shares, respectively, for every share held earlier.)
- The price of the shares adjusts automatically in the markets.
share price of firm has increased so much that liquidity of firm starts to decrease, not many people trade the share. The transaction costs and spread increases, makes it hard to achieve an even distribution of ownership. Usually just institutions that can own this stock (highly skewed ownership). So firm’s manager splits stock, causing the stock to become liquid to reduce spread/transaction costs.
- Eg, google shares went up to $1000, performed stock split, which then increased share-prices as it was good news. (but may not be good news for smaller firms)
cash dividend
Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders
- Regular (steady dividend payments, consistent payout ratio overtime, whilst it increases overtime due to earnings increase, but no sudden changes)
- Special (for large firms it signals to investors they have been highly profitable. Small firms, however, may use this as a way of pleasing shareholders by turning assets into cash, when the firm is struggling
timeline for ASX dividend payments
- declaration date (if you purchase after this date you’re not registered to recieve a dividend)
- ex-dividend date (shareprice drops on this date in proportion to the dividend paid out)
- record date (ownership of dividend value occurs on day after ex-dividend date)
- payment date
why does the shareprice drop on the ex-dividend date
Stock’s on this day are trading w/o the value of the next div payment.
If you’ve bought the share after the ex-dividend date you’ve actually lost the value of the dividend in the stock, means that stock should be cheaper.
The drop is usually about 80% of the dividend paid. Always less of a drop than the actual dividend
This is due to tax and the imputation tax system. You don’t lose the 28c, since the 30% you get back.
Some of the stockholders could be foreign, you don’t get back the franking credit (ie 30c of corporate tax that’s paid out of the $1)
• So because domestic owners are reimbursed the price doesn’t fully drop by dividend
why is the drop in the share price not equal to 100% of the dividend and instead usually only 80%?
This is due to tax and the imputation tax system. You don’t lose the complete div value, since the 30% you get back.
Some of the stockholders could be foreign, you don’t get back the franking credit (ie 30c of corporate tax that’s paid out of the $1)
So because domestic owners are reimbursed the price doesn’t fully drop by dividend
why would a firm choose stock repurchases over dividend payments?
in times of financial distress, or to invest in future growth, firm’s by back the stocks to sell them and receive capital gains.
you can delay capital gains, but not dividend payments. Thus, can control when to drive capital gains for tax purposes.
o Eg, If you have stocks with -ve capital gains, sell +ve capital gains stocks to pay less tax in same financial year.
o Or if you hold a no. stocks where capital gains are always positive and want to avoid paying tax on capital gains, they delay capital gains, to delay taxation into other years. you control the decision.
•
Why aren’t repurchases fully equivalent to dividends?
there’s a bias. There’s more implied wealth back to shareholder through stock repurchases, due to the added flexibility (like having value in an option)
methods of share repurchasing
- buy shares on the market
- tender offer to shareholders (- option to submit, or tender, a portion of or all of their shares within a certain timeframe and at a premium to the current market price (no. shares decreases, due to share concentration increase, expect share-price to increase))
- dutch auction (- specifies a price range within which the shares will ultimately be purchased)
- Private negotiation (green mail)
- Buy shares on the market
a. Firm may need to absorb price impact, ie if firm announces stock repurchase, individuals will start to buy the stock, people want to buy the stock (It’s legal, people are free to go into the market before the stock repurchase) because they know there will be a +ve price impact in the future (meaning firms actually lose some money because of this impact)
b. Firm’s have to overpay due to the price impact (that people have already pre-purchased)
- Tender offer to shareholders - option to submit, or tender, a portion of or all of their shares within a certain timeframe and at a premium to the current market price (no. shares decreases, due to share concentration increase, expect share-price to increase)
a. Shareholders receive letter and can submit choices across a range of stock prices that they’re willing to sell stock back to the firm for.
b. Firm receives all the letters, complies an average and then calculates whether they can return this value back to the shareholders, ie what amount should they sell the shares for? They calculate the ultimate amount to shareholders, so capital gains exactly = amount of dividends that they’re willing to give back to the shareholder
- Dutch auction - specifies a price range within which the shares will ultimately be purchased
a. Those willing to accept this price, will sell it back to the firm.
b. Once market clears for that price, firm will work from lowest price and work upwards.
c. Eventually they hit a ceiling,
d. This is acceptable to shareholders
- Private negotiation (Green Mail)
a. Firm goes to certain shareholders and state that they’re willing to buy back shares, usually to institutions,
b. Reduces price impact, private negotiations, usually go to original owners of the firm
c. Quick and effortless, much faster than announcing to market and having price impact
i. It’s a private transaction, shares more concentrated, price goes up and everyone receives benefit of share repurchase
- Private negotiation (Green Mail)
a. Firm goes to certain shareholders and state that they’re willing to buy back shares, usually to institutions,
b. Reduces price impact, private negotiations, usually go to original owners of the firm
c. Quick and effortless, much faster than announcing to market and having price impact
i. It’s a private transaction, shares more concentrated, price goes up and everyone receives benefit of share repurchase
How are dividends determined? Manager treatment of dividends + the signals they give
- Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that might have to be reversed
- Managers “smooth” dividends and hate to cut them. Dividends changes follow shifts in long-run, sustainable levels of earnings. (Slow increases in payout ratio, ie each year by 2%, want to do it slowly as they want to ensure their increase is backed up. )
- Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels
Why are managers reluctant to make dividend changes that could be reversed?
- People are interested in the growth of dividend payouts
- Growth formula (d1/(r-g) if growth goes down in future it has perpetual effect on share-price (observed in market)
- g goes down, denominator goes up, so share-price goes down
- big fall in stock price if dividends aren’t backed up in the future growth goes down, people don’t see value in buying stock so they sell it
why do managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels?
- This is because changes are so sensitive.
- Eg, dividend changing from 80c to $1.40 has significance, but the % change means more, because this actually sends signals to the market.
- If dividend changed from 1c to 2c, it’s a 100% jump.
- The smaller the firm, the proportion of the dividend to firm value is far higher
- the changes are what matters
there’s a high sensitivity of information signals sent to market for payout policy, this is why managers avoid large changes to policy, any large changes are done slowly by ‘smoothing’
what does a dividend increase mean for small and large firms?
- Large firm good news, you think firm will back it up
- Small firm could be bad news
these differences reflects the asymmetric information that’s conveyed (different interpretations)
for small firms dividend increases could mean …. but for large firms
could mean overpriced stock for small firms (so stock price goes down, so firm will do dividend payment or stock repurchase) or increased future profits for large firms
dividend signals vary based
on prior info about the company
Dividend theories
- Dividend does not affect value
- Dividends increase value – rightists
- Leftist theory with some reality thrown in
- Residual Dividend Policy