9. CAPM Flashcards
What is this topic all about?
Here, we’re using topic 7 (risk & return) to look at theories linking risk and return in a competitive economy & how to use them to estimate the returns required by investors in dif. stock market investments. (HOW TO CHOOSE THE OPTIMUM PORTFOLIO)
Most prominent theory is (CAPM) theory
the distribution of a security’s returns follows a normal distribution
what does this mean?
only need to look at expected return & standard deviation,
basic principle of portfolio selection
investors try to increase E(r) on their portfolios & reduce stdev of that return.
—> efficient portfolio: gives highest E(r) for given st dev or, lowest st dev for a given E(r).
To distinguish btw portfolios, must be able to state the E(r) & st dev of each stock + degree of correlation btw each pair of stocks.
investors restricted to common stocks should choose efficient portfolios that suit their attitudes to risk.
For an investor who has only same opportunities (ie info) as everyone else they should invest
in the a mix of the market portfolio and a risk free loan (borrowing/lending).
A stocks marginal contribution to portfolio risk is measured by
its sensitivity to changes in the portfolio’s value (beta)
what is the fundamental idea of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
holds that the securities expected risk premium should increase in proportion to beta:(ie =beta* market risk premium).
Diversification allows for a lower s.d. for every
level of return, and higher level of return for every level of s.d.
how to choose an optimum portfolio
- choose a Feasible portfolio with 2. minimum variance (offers the lowest risk at each level of E(R)) 3. which is efficient (offers the highest return for each level of risk)
and 4. assume that rational investors hold efficient portfolios
conclusion about portfolio theory
∟ Investors should only be facing market risk
∟ If investors are getting a higher return for higher risk, this extra risk incurred should
only be market risk
∟ Therefore: Higher market risk (not higher total risk) gives higher return
sharpe ratio
Ratio of the risk premium:
(return on the portfolio – risk-free rate)/portfolio s.d
–> the min extra return required for taking on a higher risk
what does the sharpe ratio measure
the level of return per unit risks but doesn’t tell us the optimum level of risk
investors have 2 jobs:
1) selecting the best portfolio of common stocks (at tangency point)
2) blending the portfolio with borrowing or lending to obtain an exposure to risk that suits the particular investor’s taste.
CAPM is derived from
Markowitz’s portfolio theory, not the same (labels on x axis differ)
why is CAPM effective?
- ease of use
- assumes people will invest in a diversified portfolio similar to market portfolio
- CAPM takes into account systematic risk (beta)
disadvantages of CAPM
- it’s only a 1 factor model, relying purely on the sensitivity of stock to market
- Fama & french’s research indicated that stock size was a considerable factor (found that smaller firmsgave higher returns and bigger firms
gave lower returns, a size and return relationship not explored by the CAPM)