W1 Flashcards
Macroeconomics
the study of structure and performance of national economies and government policies that affect economic performance.
Two main sources of Economic growth
Population growth; and
Increases in average labor productivity (output produced per employed worker
Business cycles, upward and downward trend
Business cycle: Short-run contractions and expansions in economic activity.
Downward phase is called a recession/upward phase is called a boom.
Unemployment
the number of people who are available for work and actively seeking work but cannot find jobs. Recessions cause unemployment rate to rise
Inflation rate
the percentage increase in the level of prices.
Deflation
when prices of most goods and services decline.
Hyperinflation
an extremely high rate of inflation.
Open economy
has extensive trading and financial relationships with other national economies.
Closed economy
an economy that does not interact economically with the rest of the world.
Trade surplus and deficit
Trade surplus: exports exceed imports.
Trade deficit: imports exceed exports.
Fiscal policy
government spending and taxation
Monetary policy
growth of money supply; IR-targeting
Macro forecasting
Relatively few economists make forecasts.
Forecasting is very difficult.
Macro analysis
Private and public sector economistsโanalyse current conditions.
Public sector employs many macroeconomic analysts who provide policy advice.
Macro research goal
to make general statements about how the economy works.
Theoretical and empirical research necessary for forecasting and economic analysis (2)
Economic theory: a set of ideas about the economy, organized in a logical framework.
Economic model: a simplified description of some aspect of the economy.
Usefulness of (2)
Depends on
- reasonableness of assumptions
- possibility of being applied to real problems
- empirically testable implications
- theoretical results consistent with real-world data.
5 Steps for Developing and Testing an Economic Theory
Step 1: State the research question.
Step 2: Make provisional assumptions.
Step 3: Work out the implications of the theory.
Step 4: Conduct an empirical analysis to compare the implications of the theory with the data.
Step 5: Evaluate the results of your comparisons.
2 Disagreements
Classicals vs. Keynesians.
classical approach (invisible hand, wages + prices, result)
- The โinvisible handโ: the idea that if there are free markets and individuals conduct their economic affairs in their own best interests, the overall economy will work well.
- Wages and prices adjust rapidly to get to equilibrium.
Changes in wages and prices are signals that coordinate peopleโs actions. - Result: Government should have only a limited role in the economy.
The Keynesian approach
Keynes: Persistent unemployment occurs because wages and prices adjust slowly, so markets remain out of equilibrium for long periods.
Therefore, Government should intervene to restore full employment.
The evolution of the classicalโKeynesian debate
- Keynesians dominated from WWII to 1970.
- Stagflation led to a classical comeback in the 1970s.
- Last 30 years: excellent research with both approaches.