Voting behaviour stats

Question 1

Changes to how people vote by region (3):

Answer 1

-1997= Blair picked up a lot of seats in the south east and midlands which were Tory strongholds
-2015=SNP win 56/59 Scottish seats (previously a Labour stronghold)
-2019=breakdown of the red wall due to divides over Brexit (majorities of over 20k flipped)

Question 2

2019 vs 1964 voting by class

Answer 2

-2019=42% of AB vote conservative vs 78% in 1964
-2019=34% of DE vote labour vs 64% in 1964

Question 3

2015 voting by class

Answer 3

-75% turnout for AB and mostly Tory
-DE had 57% turnout and mostly labour
-C2, D and E have 18% swing to UKIP

Question 4

“Left behind voters” of 2015

Answer 4

Labour did badly with lower classes in 2015 due to alienation of issues concerning their welfare and tax and instead they voted UKIP

Question 5

2019 votes by gender

Answer 5

(More concerning class) but 15% of women aged 18-24 vote conservative vs 28% of men of the same age

Question 6

2019 crossover age

Answer 6

39 (down from 47 in 2017)
Every 10 years older someone is, the likelihood they’ll vote conservative increases by 9 points

Question 7

2015 votes by age

Answer 7

-47% of 65+ vote conservative vs 27% of 18-24
-23% of 65+ vote conservative vs 43% of 18-24
-65+ have a turnout of 78% vs 43% in 18-24

Question 8

Brexit referendum by education

Answer 8

75% of people without qualifications voted leave whilst 75% of degree holders or above voted remain

Question 9

2019 by education

Answer 9

-43% of degree or higher vote Labour, 17% Lib Dem and 29% cons
-58% of people with GCSEs only vote Cons

Question 10

2019 by ethnicity

Answer 10

-64% BAME vote LAbour and 20% cons

Question 11

2017 by ethnicity

Answer 11

-73% BAME labour vs 39% white
-0% BAME UKIP vs 2% white
-white turnout is 64% vs 53% BAME

Question 12

Issue voting example in 2019

Answer 12

74% of leave voters vote Tory

Question 13

Outcome of 1983 election

Answer 13

-cons get 144 seat majority
-cons have 42%
-Labour have 28% (3/182 seats not in London)
-SDP liberal alliance get 25%

Question 14

What did Tory support fall to in 1982 (pre fawklands)

Answer 14

27%

Question 15

What percentage of people were satisfied with the decisions to invade fawklands

Answer 15

84%

Question 16

Outcome of the 1997 election

Answer 16

-labour win 253 seat majority and 43% (and gain 19% with C1- class dealingment)
-cons lose 178 seats and get 30.7% (only 11 London seats)

Question 17

Outcome of 2017 election

Answer 17

-cons get 42%
-labour get 40% (biggest increase since 1945)
-labour pick up 54% of floating voters
-66% of 18-24 vote Labour
-69% 70+ vote cons

Question 18

Examples of Role of the media (1983-1997 inclusive)

Answer 18

-1992=shy tories in opinion polls
-1983=Thatchers TV presence doing common jobs and is presented as the “Iron lady” after Fawklands success, changes voice to sound more proper and strong vs Foots “donkey jacket”
-“its the sun wot won it” (1992)- also the fact they’ve backed every wining party
-Tory negative campings in 1997 “New labour, new danger”
-Murdoch acting as Blairs spin doctor “sun backs Blair”

Question 19

Examples of the role of the media post 97

Answer 19

-“Bliar” headline after Iraq
-2010 “save our bacon”
-2009 expenses scandal leaked by the daily telegraph
-2017 Corbyn debate that May doesn’t attend gets 3.5 mil views
-2017 Youthquake from Labour via celeb endorsement (stormzy) and stron media campaign
-2017 Labour spend £2k to get 10 mil online views but cons spend £1.2 mil on Facebook to get not nearly as much