Voting Behaviour Flashcards
what were the crutcial turning points in postwar politics?
1979 1997 2010
All critical turning points in postwar politics
key election dates during the postwar consensus (period of one nation conservatism, etc)
1945 labour under Clement Attlee
1951 Conservatives on the Winston Churchill
1955 and 1959 Conservative
1964 Labour and Harold Wilson
1966 labour
1970 Conservatives
1974 labour
key election dates after the postwar consensus (1979 onwards)
1979 Conservatives under Margaret Thatcher shift to neoliberalism
1983 and 1987 Conservatives under Thatcher
1992 Conservatives under John Major
1997, 2001 and 2005 — labour under Blair new labour
2010 Conservatives and Lib Dems coalition under David Cameron
2015 Conservatives under Cameron
2017 Conservative and DUP confidence and supply agreement under Theresa May
why do people vote the way they do?
Age — e.g. younger people tend to vote labour (2017 ‘youthquake’)
Class — Wealth, financial situation, education et cetera
Region and location
Tactical voting — i.e. not voting for who they actually want, instead voting for someone who is likely to prevent someone they do not want being elected
Dislike for party leader / Public image of Party leader — e.g. Cameron and the EU referendum
Economic situation
Ethnicity
Manifesto and policies of the parties
Morals and values
How their constituency votes
Election campaign techniques
Job
Media representation
Family and friends
social and demographic factors affecting voting behaviour
Region ethnicity age gender class
class-based voting: is class still an important factor in determining voting behaviour?
Class still remains a factor in determining voting habits but its influence has declined
A lower percentage of people vote based on class
For example upper classes are still more likely to vote Conservative but the percentage doing so has decreased
class-based voting: how is class categorised? (modern class categories)
A = higher managerial and professional workers, such as judges and business owners
B = Upper middle class (home owners, degrees, teachers, lawyers et cetera), Middle managers and professionals, such as store managers, teachers and lawyers
C1 = Unskilled middle-class, office/clerical, white-collar, Clerical workers such as office clerks and secretaries
C2 = Skilled working-class, have training, builders and electricians, Skilled manual workers such as builders electricians and plumbers
D = Semiskilled, factory workers/miners, no apprentice training, Semi skilled and unskilled workers such as day labourers and factory workers
E = Funding from state, unemployed, students, pensioners et cetera, The unemployed pensioners and those unable to work
class-based voting: which class traditionally votes for Conservatives?
A, B + C1 = traditionally vote for conservatives
1979 election — 59% voted Conservative 24% voted labour
2010 election — 39% voted Conservative 27% voted labour
class-based voting: what class traditionally votes for Labour?
C2, D + E = traditionally vote for labour
1979 election — 49% voted labour 34% voted Conservative
2010 — 40% voted labour 31% voted Conservative
(Examples of the DE group)
what is class dealignment?
People are less likely to vote based on their class
For example the working class will not necessarily vote labour
This is because individuals no longer identify themselves with a certain class so do not vote for the party they are expected to given their background
how does region affect voting behaviour?
There is strong regional bias to voting patterns, linked to class differences
North England tend to vote labour in 20 15 43% voted labour and in 20 17 53% voted labour, possibly because these are industrial and urban areas tend to be poor areas of the country
South England tend to vote Conservative with the notable exception of London in 2015 nearly 46% voted Conservative and in 20 17 54% voted Conservative, possibly because This area contains the most prosperous areas with highest levels of employment and home ownership
London is mostly labour
There are a wide variations in voting patterns Between regions there are electoral Heartlines the south is mainly Conservative whereas cities and the north are mainly labour
how does ethnicity affect voting behaviour?
BME tend to vote for labour over Conservatives in 19 9770% voted labour and only 18% voted Conservative in 20 and10 60% voted labour 16% voted Conservative
This may be because Labour has focused more strongly on promoting a multicultural and antidiscrimination agenda, it also links to class as minorities tend to be employed in lower wage jobs
One exception is that those of Asian descent are more likely to vote Conservative and voters of African descent possibly because the Conservatives are more focused and traditionally emphasise small businesses
Ethnicity is quite a significant factor however a weakening factor more established groups vote Conservative ethnic minorities tend to vote labour
how does age affect voting behaviour?
Younger people (18 to 24) tend to vote labour while older people vote Conservative
The average age when people begin voting Conservative is 47
Older people may be more likely to vote Conservative because they are more likely to own property so will vote Conservative as they will be most likely to protect their interests, these people may also be shaped by experience and will remember the perceived incompetencies of past Labour governments potentially influencing them to vote Conservative
Older people are also less likely to vote idealistically or with the aspiration of changing society where as young people are older people are more concerned with their own interests
In 20 1044% of 65+ age-group voted Conservative well only 30% of 18 to 24-year-olds did
As a result of their support from older voters the Conservatives refused to cut pensioner benefits
Age is a key factor older voters favour Conservative significantly younger voters favour labour
how does class affect voting behaviour?
Class is now less important but still remain significant arguably education is now more important
what is the general trend in turn out?
Upward trend in turn out possibly signalling the end of the participation crisis
how does gender affect voting behaviour?
Gender — Virtually no difference, slight tendency for women to vote labour
Historically women favourite Conservative And showed a strong preference than men, but as times changed they favour labour
Previously favoured a stable society and responded to the Conservative emphasis on family as they tended to be the main carers in families
However women may have begun to side with labour especially in the Blair era because women were as likely as men to have a job outside the home they also could have been responding to labours more family friendly policies such as free childcare provisions
Older women are more likely to vote Conservative Compared to younger women in 20 1030% of women aged 18 to 24 voted Conservative yet this was 42% for women over 55
differences in turn out: Age groups in the Scottish referendum EU referendum and 2017 general election
Scottish referendum 75% of 16 to 17-year-olds voted 54% of 18 to 24-year-olds voted
EU referendum 64% of 18 to 24-year-olds voted
2017 general election 54% of 18 to 24-year-olds voted
differences in turnout: age groups
Low turnout in young people difficult for radical parties and labour to get more votes young people are more likely to feel alienate it from a political system that they feel is not making a difference to their lives this may be the same with ethic minorities and poorer people
The 65+ age-group has a high turnout gives an advantage to Conservatives and you kip, Possibly because they have acquired the habit of voting and are more likely to believe the outcome of elections will impact their lives
in 20 1076% of those over 65 voted well only 44% of 18 to 24s did
differences in turn out: class
Turn out tends to be higher in AB Classes which gives a large advantage to Conservatives
differences in turn out: gender
There is virtually no difference in turnout between men and women also strikingly similar if they are in the same social class
20 1066% of men voted 64% of women voted
differences in turn out: region
Participation in Northern Ireland has fallen because the political situation has stabilised and turn out tended to be higher when there was conflict possibly because voters were more concerned on the outcome of elections
South England approximately 68% North West England 62%
differences in turn out: ethnicity
67% of white people voted in 2010 only 51% of ethnic minorities did disadvantage to labour
define social class
A way of categorising people based on their status in society usually by occupation or income
SOCIAL CLASS:
traditionally British society was divided into three classes based on wealth and how money was earned; upper class (Landowners/the nobility), middle class (property owners) and working class (labourers)
As British society has evolved the class system has developed into a more diverse set of groups e.g. A, B, C1, C2, D, E
SOCIAL CLASS:
until the 1980s, voters were strongly influenced by their social class background And class often determined how a person would vote (this is known as class voting)
Working-class people have the tendency to vote for labour because it was closely linked to the trade union movement and looked after the interests of those who worked in the cold steel textiles et cetera industries and those who owned a living from manual labour, Classes C2, D and to a large extent E would be described as working-class and tended to vote labour
The middle classes usually business white-collar workers and property owners voted for Conservative, Classes a, B and C1 would usually be described as middle-class and tended to vote Conservative
SOCIAL CLASS:
This was known as class voting which was voting in line with the party to best protect and serve the interests of your particular class
class determined how a person would vote
SOCIAL CLASS:
However towards the late 20th century class has begun to lose its importance in determining voting behaviour and this is a process known as class D alignment which is where individuals no longer identify themselves as belonging to a certain class and so no longer vote based on this
They fail to make a connection between their class and voting choice
less likely to vote based on class
SOCIAL CLASS:
There was never a clear-cut social divide between Labour and Conservative
Labour also had support from some of the middle class especially those who worked in the state sector such as teachers as well as university intellectuals
Conservatives also appealed to patriotic working-class voters who valued established institutions such as the monarchy
SOCIAL CLASS:
The link between class and voting has become a lot less important and significant now because society has become more wealthy in general and working-class people have aspired to a middle-class way of life
The difference is that separated classes have shrunk and become less visible
SOCIAL CLASS:
The difference is that separated classes have shrunk and become less visible
This was promoted by the sale of council houses to the tenants under the Thatcher government which allowed the lower classes to become homeowners
Old heavy industries declined which reduced trade union power while the service sector was less unionised and expanded
Many industries were privatised which reduced the size of the public sector traditionally a source of support for the Labour Party
SOCIAL CLASS:
Tony Blair’s victory in 1997 was a result of his ability to broaden the appeal of the party to middle-class voters as well as keeping the support of the working class this was mainly done by dropping its commitment to the nationalisation of industries in 1995
The creation of new labour was a recognition of the trends above