valuation questions and answers (400 + red book) Flashcards

1
Q

3 major v aluationn methods

A
  1. trading comps, precedent transactions, Discounted cash flow
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2
Q

rank 3 valuation methods in terms of value?

A

Doesnt always follow the rule
1. precedent transaction: due to control premium
2. DCF - can vary depending on assumptions, DCF model can be very prone and sensitive to assumptions put in, often more bullish
3. Comparable companies

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3
Q

when wouldn you not use DCF in valuation?

A
  1. unstable or unpredicted cash flows (tech or biotech startup)
  2. when debt and working capital are used for different role (banks and FIGs dont re-invest debt)
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4
Q

what other valuation methodology

A
  1. Liquidation valuation - a company which needs to be liquidated. To value a companies assets and liabilities to see if they sold off assets and paid off liabiloities, how much capital they can return to equity investors
  2. LBO: how much a PE firm pays for a leverage buyout, to hit the IRR
  3. sum of parts: for big conglomerates where they value each division separately and add them at the end
  4. future share price analysis: projecting a company’s share price based on P/E of public comps and discounting it back to present value
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5
Q

most common multiples to use and why

A
  1. split into Enterprise based or equity based
  2. EV/Rev, EV/EBIT, EV/EBITDA = for all capitals, capital neutral (both debt and equity investors), generally higher due to EV being generally bigger than equity value
  3. P/B, P/E - equity investor only
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6
Q

how do you compare equity/revenue, vs EV/revenue

A
  1. used for FIGs with big cash balances, so negative EV, hence can only use equity value/revenue
  2. generally use EV when possible
  3. EV/Rev would generally be greater than Equity/Rev bcuz Ev > equity V, unless for FIGs where equity is bigger
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7
Q

why would we never use Equity/EBITDA

A
  • EBITDA includes before interest, which would mean interest is included in EBITDA, and hence applies to debt and equity investors
  • Equity Value only applies to equity shareholders, and numerator and denominator dont include the same things, hence no
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8
Q

would EV based multiple generally be larger than equity based

A
  1. generally EV based would be larger bcuz EV> equity
  2. but also depends, cuz sometimes EV is smaller than equity value
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9
Q

how to select comparable companies/precedent transactions

A
  1. time
  2. industry clasficiation
  3. financial criteria: revenue, EBITDA
  4. Geography
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10
Q

how do you aply 3 valuation methods to get an actual value

A
  1. after getting multiples for comps or precedents, you multiply it with the relevant metric to get EV
  2. use a football field to illustrate the different methodologies values in 25th and 75th percentile, and produce a range of values
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11
Q

where do you actually use valuations for?

A
  1. pitch books during when pitching for a deal
  2. client presentations
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12
Q

why would 2 companies w similar growths and profitability and similar financials have different comps

A
  1. good news/bad news for a specific company
  2. one company had more bidders/more competitive biddings
  3. one had intangiblen assets like IP which isnt shown in financials
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13
Q

flaws w public comps

A
  1. not always 100% the same
  2. smaller companies which dont have a lot of traded stocks may not show its fully value
  3. market is volatile and sensitive to macroeconomic changes
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14
Q

how to take into account a companies competitive advantage in a valuation?

A
  1. 75th percentile or higher multiples rather than median
  2. add in a premium
  3. use more aggressive projections
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15
Q

Do you ALWAYS use the median multiple of a set of public company comparables or precedent transactions?

A
  1. No, it depends on whether if u think company is performing well
  2. if you dont, u can chose to look at 25th or below
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16
Q

You mentioned that Precedent Transactions usually produce a higher value than Comparable Companies – can you think of a situation where this is not the case?

A
  1. if only small private deals recently
  2. if good market news in industry atm
17
Q

What are some flaws with precedent transactions?

A
  1. not 100% exactly comparable
  2. data on private M&As are harder to find
18
Q

why does warren buffet prefer EBIT to EBITDA

A
  1. so for industries like industrials or oil and gas, with big CapEx, ignoring D&A can cover up how much is spent on capex
  2. can end uo w good EBITDA but on the brink of bankrupting because D&A is so huge
  3. so using EBIT for capex heavy industries can be better for comparing, see how much they spend on capex
19
Q

If you were buying a vending machine business, would you pay a higher multiple for a business where you owned the machines and they depreciated normally, or one in which you leased the machines? The cost of depreciation and lease are the same dollar amounts and everything else is held constant.

A
  1. lease them
  2. because lease goes under SG&A and is included in EBITDA, making EBITDA lower and EV/EBITDA higher
  3. whereas D&A is not included in EBITDA and will make EBITDQA higher, and multiples lower
20
Q

What does EV/EBITDA actually mean

A
  1. EV essentially is what the market or investors think the company is worth
  2. and EBITDA is its earnings
  3. so EV/EBITDA, is a way to show expectation for rising EBITDA, high EBITDA stands for higher growth potentials
21
Q

what does P/E actually mean

A
  1. price/Earnings per share, essentially it looks at share price to how much earnings can be made per share
  2. is P/E is high, that means investors expect high earnings for this company. has a lot of potential to increase its earnings.
22
Q

How do you value a private company using public comps?

A
  1. add a 10% illiquid discount, bcuz private companies values are not as liquid as public comps, you can just sell/buy the shares on the market
  2. high transaction costs and time
23
Q

how to use DCF to value private company

A
  1. more difficult, need to use trading comps to value beta and market cap
24
Q

why do we not add illiquid discount when using precedent transactions for private companies?

A
  1. because when you acquire it, no matter if its public or private, the shares become immediately illiquid anyways
25
Q

How do you value banks and financial institutions differently from other companies?

A
  1. how do you value banks and financial institutions differently from other companies
  2. use P/E and P/BV, dont use EV/EBITDA because we want to exclude debt
  3. banks have spoecific metrics like NAV, and screen comps and precedent transactions using these instead
  4. can use DCF,
  5. use a dividend discount model, similar to DF but based on company dividends instead of FCF
26
Q

how would you calendarize companhy financials to show TTM and not fiscal year

A

TTM = recent fiscal year + new quarter - old quarter

27
Q

I have one company with a 40% EBITDA margin trading at 8x EBITDA, and another company with a 10% EBITDA margin trading at 16x EBITDA. What’s the problem with comparing these two valuations directly?

A
  1. 40% EBITDA margin would normally have a lower multiple anyways due to maths
  2. dont nromalize
  3. just use a different valuation
28
Q

Walk me through how we might value an oil & gas company and how it’s different from a “standard” company.

A
  1. look at industry specific multiples like P/NAV (net asset value)
  2. project commodity prices and also the reserves of company to determine company revenue and FCF
  3. dont use DCF, use NAV, similar but everything flows based on companies reserves rather than simple revenue growth, or EBITDA margin projections
29
Q

What are the two main approaches to valuation?

A
  1. intrinsic = valuing business by looking at the fundamental operations of business, and its ability to generate cash flow. DCF
  2. relative = looking at the market value or markets perspective of the company/industry, based on trading comps or precedent transaactions, where you compare their multiples
30
Q

What does free cash flow (FCF) mean? not the euqation

A
  1. the discretionary cash flow - the cash flow remaining after accounting for recurring expenditures to contoinue operations
31
Q

Why are periodic acquisitions excluded from the calculation of FCF?

A
  1. periodic acquisitions are not for operational and one time
  2. whereas capex is a recurring operations
32
Q

Why would a company issue equity vs. debt (and vice versa)?
The optimal capital structure is the D/E mix that minimizes the cost of capital, while maximizing the firm value.

A
  1. Equity - no required payments, dividend magnitude can be decided, access to vast investor base. Problem - dilutes ownership, and cost of equity is high! COST OF EQUITY&raquo_space;> debt, can lose control of company
  2. Debt - interest expense is tax deductible, no dilution of ownership. Problem - interest and principal payments
33
Q

What are share buybacks and under which circumstances would they be most appropriate?

A
  1. when company thinks the market is undervaluing its shares
  2. leads to immediately higher EPS and higher P/E
34
Q

what is the impact of share repurchase on financials?

A
  1. theoretically no change in share price, Equity V = share number * price, hence share price = Equity V/share count
  2. because although share count (denominator) decreases, the equity value also decreases because company decreases in cash to buy shares. so cancel out
  3. but buybacks can have + or negative effect on share price depending on market perception.

Accounting impact: decrease in share count (decrease in shareholders equity), decrease in cash (decrease in shareholders activity), no impact on NI

35
Q

What is CAGR and how do you calculate it?

A

CAGR is required rate of return
- CAGR = (ending value/ begining value)^ (1/t -1)