valuation Flashcards
what is the efficient market hypothesis
market price incorporates all currently available information
- incorporates: quickly and without bias
- currently available information: past prices, public domain, both private and public
what is an implication of the EMH
market efficiency suggests that prices are unbiased relative to publicly available information and will react quickly to new or revised information
how does value relevance work
- investors have prior beliefs about future performance
- release of accounting income number is a potential information source, causing belief revision
- resulting investment decisions -> increased trading volume, share price movement
what are the 2 assumptions of the value relevance approach
- stock market efficiency in the semi-strong form
- if acct info does not have info content, no revision of beliefs on receipt, no triggering of buy/sell decisions
how to test value relevance
empirically model the r/s between unexpected (abnormal) earnings and abnormal share returns in relation a certain event
how ball and brown supports value relevance
the narrow window results remain -> support value relevance of accounting information
how ball and brown does not support value relevance
most information in net income was anticipated prior to month 0 -> around 85%-90% of information already built into share price by the time actual earnings were announced