Unit 9 - Inference on Proportions Flashcards
What is a confidence interval?
A range of numbers that are used to estimate a parameter.
A higher confidence level produces a _______ confidence interval.
Wider
A lower confidence level produces a _________ confidence interval
Smaller (skinnier)
Interpret this 95% confidence interval: (.40, .46)
We are 95% confident that the true proportion of _______ is between .40 and .46.
Interpret the 95% confidence level of this interval: (.40,.46)
95% of the intervals we construct in this way will contain the true proportion of ______.
What are the 4 steps when conducting an interval or a statistical test?
- Define Parameters (& name test)
- Conditions
- Calculations
- Conclusion
How do you know when to reject the null hypothesis?
If the p-value is low, reject the Ho. (p-value is lower than alpha)
What is alpha ?
The significance level AND the probability of a Type I error
What is beta (ß)?
The probability of a Type II error
What is a Type I error?
The null hypothesis is true, but we think it’s not.
What is a Type II error?
The alternative hypothesis is true, but we think it’s not.
What is power?
The probability of rejecting a false null hypothesis
What are two ways to increase power?
- Increase alpha
- Increase sample size (n)
If you want to decrease the size of your confidence interval, what are two methods?
- Decrease confidence level
- Increase sample size (n)
What are the 3 conditions for a 1 proportion z interval or test?
- We have a random sample
- We assume the population > 10n
- The sampling distribution is approx normal because np and nq >10