UNIT 8: Probability distributions Flashcards
Probability Distribution
A probability distribution is a list of all possible outcomes and their probabilities
Binomial Distribution Notation
X~Bin(n,p)
n=number of trials
p= Probability of success
Conditions for a binomial
- Only two outcomes - success or failure
- All trials are independent (Fixed probability of success)
- Fixed number of trials
Mean for binomial distribution
n*p
Formula for binomial
n^ Cr p^(n-r) q^r
n^ Cr p^r q^(n-r)
Conditions for a Normal Distribution
- Continuous Data
- Symmetric distribution
- Mean =Mode=Median
Key percentage points for normal distribution
- 68% of population lies within 1 standard deviation of the mean
- 95% of population lies within 2 standard deviation of the mean
- 99.8% (almost all) of the population lies within 3 standard deviation of the mean
Notations for normal distribution
X~N (μ,σ^2 )
μ = mean
σ = standard deviation
σ^2 = standard variation
Standardised Score
standard deviation
Limits of standardised score
Usually between -3 and 3.
If it’s outside, it’s either really bad or good
Quality assurance
Quality assurance involves checking samples to ensure that the product of a manufacturing process
meets the required standards.
Sample means
The set of sample means will be more closely distributed than the individual values from the same population.
Control chart
A control chart is a time series chart that is used for quality assurance.
Warning limits
Warning limits are set so that 95% of the means of the samples should lie between them. Mean
sample mass is normally distributed, so 95% of the values lie within two standard deviations of the
mean.
Warning limits = 𝜇 ± 2σ
If a sample mean is between the warning limits the process is in control and the product is
acceptable.
Action limits
Action limits are set so that all the means should lie within them.
Action limits = 𝜇 ± 3𝜎
If a sample mean is between the warning and action limits another sample is taken immediately to see if there might be a problem.
If a sample mean is outside the action limits the process is stopped and the machinery is reset.