Unit 7 - Investment Appraisal Flashcards
Investment appraisal
The process of analysing whether investment projects are worthwhile
Payback period
The time it takes for a project to repay its initial investment
Average rate of return
Looks at the total accounting return for a project to see if it meets the target return
Discounted cash flow (NPV)
Net present value calculates the monetary value now of the projects future cash flow
Duration time/ payback time equation
(HOW MUCH WE NEED TO GET TO CCF =0/ CASH FLOW NEXT YEAR) X TIME
Benefits of using payback period
- simple and easy to calculate and easy to understand results
- focuses on cash flow
- emphasises speed of return (good for markets which change rapidly)
- straight forward to compare competing projects
Drawbacks of using payback period
- ignores cash flows after payback has been reached
- takes no account of the “time value of money”
- encourages short term thinking
- ignores qualitative aspects of a decision
- doesn’t actually create a decision for the investment
Average (accounting) Rate of Return equation
1) AVERAGE PROFIT PER YEAR = TOTAL PROFIT/ YEARS TAKEN
2) (AVERAGE PROFIT PER YEAR / INITIAL INVESTMENT) X100
Benefits of ARR
- easy to understand
- easy to compare to other projects or investments
- considers all the profit for a project, not just pay back
Disadvantages of ARR
- only a prediction - incorrect data could lead to poor decisions
- ignores which years are more or less profitable
- ignores the order of profitability in years
Net present value
Calculates the current monetary value of a projects future cash flow
Discount factor
Measures the level of risk from an investment and is used to calculate how much the future moneys value will differ to its present value
Net present value equation
1) CASH FLOW X DISCOUNT RATE
2) ADD UP ALL PRESENT VALUES - INITIAL INVESTMENT
What does a high discount factor mean?
Higher risk of failure
E.g. the present value of money becomes less as there is a higher chance that future value won’t happen
Effects on the rate of inflows and outflows each year
- changes in exchange rates
- consumer tastes change
- inflation at home and abroad
- possibility of trade problems between countries
- after cost changes (e.g. labour and transport)
- probability of economic and political instability