Unit 6: Basic Economic Concepts Flashcards
Business Cycle
Expansion, Peak, Contraction, Trough
Expansion
Increasing demand for goods and services
increasing: employment, inflation, and values
Peaks
GDP/employment growth slow down, but inflation increases
Contraction
increasing: Defaults, Unemployment, inventories
decreasing: inflation, GDP
Trough
GDP turns positive
OT/temp workers/consumer demand start to increase
moderate inflation rate
Stages of industry
intro, growth, maturity, decline
Cyclical industries
follow the business cycle
perform best during expansion
yield curve
normal curve slopes up
inverted slopes down
higher yield spread means
worsening economic conditions
Fiscal policy
Govt use of spending and taxation to influence economy
Monetary policy
Central bank determining quantity of money and credit in the economy
-increase in money supply is expansionary policy, decrease is contractionary
Federal Reserve tools
- Reserve requirement- multiplier effect
- Discount Rate- lending to banks
- Open Market Operations- buying treasuries from banks
Overnight rate
banks charge this to each other
not determined by Fed, but highly influenced.
Prime rate
determined by commercial banks
Trade debits
imports, US spending/lending/investing abroad, US foreign aid
Trade credits
exports, foreign spending/investing in US
Import
Money flows out of US. GDP decreases
Export
Money flows in to US. GDP increases
Inflation
general increase in prices, has lagging effect
GDP
Total US production, not profit
Leading indicators
Money supply, building permits, unemployment claims, consumer expectations, manufacturing orders, stock prices
Current indicators
non-ag employment, personal income, industrial production, manufacturing/trade sales
Lagging indicator
Avg duration of unemployment, credit income ratio, prime rate, change in CPI, outstanding loans
Core CPI
CPI without food/energy due to short term volatility
Devalued currency caused by
trade deficit, import > export
Annual budget submitted by
president, to congress
Durable goods are considered
sensitive to the business cycle.
Inertial Inflation
Inflation is not expected to change until an economic event shocks the system