Unit 5 Flashcards
1
Q
Probability
A
If I do (this) many times, (this thing will happen) about (%) of the time
2
Q
Sample space
A
set of all possible outcomes or “events”
3
Q
Golden Rule
A
*Use if all outcomes are equally likely
of possible successes/# of possible outcomes
For EX: getting a 3 on a fair die, 1/6
4
Q
0-1 Rule
A
- “Any probability is a number between 0 and 1”
- 0 -> never occurs
- 1 -> always occurs
5
Q
100% Rule
A
- “The sum of the probability of all possible outcomes must equal 1”
6
Q
Complement Rule
A
- Probability that A does NOT occur is 1 - P(A), “complement” of A
- “At least” “more than”
- 1 - (don’t want)
7
Q
Addition Rule
A
- A OR B -> Sum of probabilities - overlap
- OR = +
8
Q
Multiplication Rule
A
- A AND B -> product of probability of A and B, GIVEN THAT A HAS ALREADY HAPPENED
- So… P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B | A)
- When not given “and then” you have to do it twice, switch order
–> If independent: P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)
9
Q
Independent
A
The two events are independent if whether one occurs does NOT change the probability of the other occuring:
P(A) = P(A | B) –> Both(and)/B
- If it doesn’t change = independent, if it DOES change = NOT independent
10
Q
Disjoint
A
Two events are disjoint (“mutually exclusive” if they have no outcomes in common
EX:
Disjoint - drawing a jack OR a queen
Not disjoint - Drawing a jack and a queen
** Use a brief sentence