Unit 5 Flashcards

1
Q

Probability

A

If I do (this) many times, (this thing will happen) about (%) of the time

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2
Q

Sample space

A

set of all possible outcomes or “events”

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3
Q

Golden Rule

A

*Use if all outcomes are equally likely

of possible successes/# of possible outcomes

For EX: getting a 3 on a fair die, 1/6

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4
Q

0-1 Rule

A
  • “Any probability is a number between 0 and 1”
  • 0 -> never occurs
  • 1 -> always occurs
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5
Q

100% Rule

A
  • “The sum of the probability of all possible outcomes must equal 1”
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6
Q

Complement Rule

A
  • Probability that A does NOT occur is 1 - P(A), “complement” of A
  • “At least” “more than”
  • 1 - (don’t want)
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7
Q

Addition Rule

A
  • A OR B -> Sum of probabilities - overlap
  • OR = +
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8
Q

Multiplication Rule

A
  • A AND B -> product of probability of A and B, GIVEN THAT A HAS ALREADY HAPPENED
  • So… P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B | A)
  • When not given “and then” you have to do it twice, switch order
    –> If independent: P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)
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9
Q

Independent

A

The two events are independent if whether one occurs does NOT change the probability of the other occuring:

P(A) = P(A | B) –> Both(and)/B

  • If it doesn’t change = independent, if it DOES change = NOT independent
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10
Q

Disjoint

A

Two events are disjoint (“mutually exclusive” if they have no outcomes in common

EX:
Disjoint - drawing a jack OR a queen
Not disjoint - Drawing a jack and a queen

** Use a brief sentence

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