unit 3 module 6-financial forecasting Flashcards
financial forecasting
estimation of future financial outcome
cross sectional data
data collected by observing many subjects (such as individuals, firms or countries/regions) at the same point in time, or without regard to differences in time.
percentage of sales forecasting
it helps the firms determine how much additional funding will be necessary to support the forecasted change in sales.
Spontaneous accounts
an account on the income statement or balance sheet that changes as sales change.
- income statement accounts: revenues, COGS, operating expenses, depreciation, taxes.
- balance sheet account: accounts receivable inventory accounts payable
sustainable growth rate
the optimal growth from a financial perspective assuming a given strategy with clear defined financial frame conditions/ limitations.
sustainable growth rate
the company’s maximum growth rate where they don’t have to use additional debt or equity to finance future growth
Sustainable Growth Rate formula
SGR= ROE X (1-b) ROE= Dupont equation or, ROE= net income/ equity
Sales Growth rate
the sales growth rate is what’s is used to forecast that income statement and balance sheet using the percentage of sales method forecasting.
Sales growth rate formula
Sales Growth Rate= forecasts sales / last years sales - 1
Discretionary financing needed (DFN or AFN)
refers to the additional resources that will be needed for a company to expand its operations.
-a way of calculating how much new funding will be required, so that the firm can realistically look at whether or not they will be able to generate the additional funding and therefore be able to achieve the higher sales level.
Discretionary financing needed formula
DFN= assets - liabilities - equity
- if the number comes out positive DFN is needed.
capacity planning
the process of determining the production capacity needed by an organization to meet changing demands for its products.
4 ways of decreasing the need for DFN
- slow sales growth
- examine capacity constraints.
- lower dividend payout
- increase net margin
Pro forma statement
companies merging
- how much the company’s revenues will increase due to the merge.
- if the merged company will increase research and development
- how much the merged company’s income tax expense will increase