Unit 16: Investment Flashcards

1
Q

Investment

A

Expenditure by firms to increase productive capacity i.e. additional to capital stock with the expectation of generating future returns or income

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2
Q

Types of Investment

A
  1. Residential - spending by households/firms on residential property to be utilized or rented out to others
  2. Non-Residential - spending by households/firms on machinery, commercial real estate, tools, etc. to add to capital stock.
  3. Inventories - it represents a form of capital that businesses hold to support production and sales, it is an asset that contributes to the production process or can be sold to generate revenue making it a crucial part of business operations.
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3
Q

Paradox of Thrift

A

While saving is beneficial for the individual, an increase in overall saving in an economy can lead to negative outcomes such as lower income and economic contraction

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4
Q

Effects of Investment

A
  1. Long-term Economic Growth
  2. International Competitiveness
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5
Q

Long-term Economic Growth

A

Investments leads to an increase in the quality or quantity of capital, which is a factor of production, this shifts the PPC or the AS curve outwards, allowing AD to increase further without putting pressure on prices

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6
Q

International Competitiveness

A

Investments lead to an increase in the quantity or quality of capital, this reduces average costs for a firm leading to lower market prices. Lower market prices means that exports increase and imports increase as the prices of domestically produced goods are relatively cheaper compared to goods produced in other countries, this leads to the number of exports exceeding the number of imports, which creates a current account surplus in the economy.

Investment can also lead to non-price competitiveness as higher quality goods may be produced

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7
Q

The Multiplier

A

an initial injection (investment) in an economy, leads to overall greater increase in national income, national income will increase by a multiple of the increase in investment.
The multiplier (k) is the number of times by which the change in income exceeds the size of the initial expenditure/injection

K=change in Y/change in I
k = 1/MPS

a change in investment brings about a larger change in national income

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8
Q

Strengths of the multiplier

A
  1. it helps policy makers understand how fiscal interventions can stimulate economic growth
  2. it provides a basis for calculating the potential impact of public spending on GDP
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9
Q

Critique of the Multiplier

A
  1. Crowding out effect
  2. Inventories
  3. Fiscal Drag
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10
Q

Crowding out effect (critique of multiplier)

A
  1. Resource Crowing out - by increasing investment, the government would be taking away resources from the private sector, leading to a reduced investment from the private sector
  2. Financial crowding out - government sells bonds as a means to borrow money, to attract financing they increase interest rates, this diverts people’s savings from the private sector to the public sector
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11
Q

Inventories (critique of multiplier)

A

If aggregate demand increases, firms may initially meet this demand by drawing down inventories rather than ramping up production. this dampens the immediate impact of increased spending on output and employment,, reducing the size of the multiplier effect. Additionally if the increase in demand is perceived as temporary, then, firms see the demand as unsustainable and they may refrain from increasing production.

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12
Q

Fiscal Drag (critique of the multiplier)

A

the higher the income, the higher the tax rate, which will offset some of the expansion of income

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13
Q

Determinants of Investment

A
  1. Interest Rates
  2. Expected net rate of return (Present Value Approach)
  3. Marginal Efficiency of Capital
  4. Expectations
  5. Spare Capacity
  6. Technological innovations
  7. Availability of finance
  8. Stability
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14
Q

Interest Rates

A

a high interest rate means that it will be more costly for firms to borrow money in order to finance its investment projects. The firm may resort to internal financing (retained profits) to finance investment, an increased interest rate makes saving money more attractive (buy bonds or deposit money in bank)

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15
Q

Present Discount Approach

A

whether to invest or nit depends on the future earnings and cost of investment. The present value approach is a way of figuring out how much a future amount of money is worth today. since money today is more valuable than money in the future, we discount the future money to reflect its lower value today. When making a decision about investment we must calculate its future earnings and discount them to give them present valuation

NPV=PV-C
FV=PV(1+r) to the power of n
PV = sigma Rn/(1+r)n
Real r = nominal r - expected rate of inflation

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16
Q

Marginal Efficiency of Capital

A

the rate at which future earnings must be discounted in order to make their present value equal to the current cost of capital i.e. supply price
if MEC>r, Investment will generate a profit
if MEC<r, Investment will incur a loss

C=sigma Rn/(1+MEC)n

17
Q

Diminishing Marginal Returns of Capital

A

Marginal efficiency of capital falls with higher investment, a rational consumer will invest up until I=r

18
Q

Why is Investment so Volatile?

A

Accelerator Theory

19
Q

Accelerator Theory

A

a change in income exerts a powerful effect on the level of income, investment by firms is influenced by changes in demand for commodities. When demand for commodities increases, firms are likely to increase their investment to meet that demand

alpha = induced investment/changes in income

assumes constant capital-to-output ratio

20
Q

Replacement Investment

A

refers to the spending that businesses make to replace or maintain their existing capital stock e.g. machinery, equipment, etc. This type of investment is necessary to keep the company’s production capacity at its current level.

21
Q

Induced Investment

A

refers to the type of investment that occurs as a direct result of changes in demand for commodities in an economy. when demand for a firm’s commodities rises, firms are likely to increase their investment capital to meet higher demand

22
Q

Growth rate of national income and accelerator theory

A

If growth rate of national income increases, then, investment increases

If growth rate of national income increases at a diminishing rate, investment falls

if growth rate of national income increases at a constant rate, investment remains the same

23
Q

Advantages of Accelerator Theory

A
  1. it explains why investments fluctuate in response to changes in economic output
  2. policy makers use the theory to anticipate investment needs based on economic growth trends
24
Q

Critique of Accelerator Theory

A
  1. Inventories
  2. Perception of future AD
    3.Long time to plan investment
  3. Technology can change the capital-to-output ratio
25
Q

Inventories (critique of accelerator theory)

A

The theory, assumes that firms will immediately adjust their investment levels in response to changes in national income. However, businesses often rely on their inventory levels as a buffer against short-term fluctuations in demand. If a firm is able to maintain as sufficient inventory, it might nit need to increase investment even if there is a rise in national income. this can cause a lag in investment response.

26
Q

Perception of future AD (critique of accelerator theory)

A

if firms perceive that the increase in national income is temporary, they may choose to delay investment despite current growth.

27
Q

Long time to plan investment (critique of accelerator theory)

A

capital investments often take time to plan and execute. Even when national income rises, firms may take time to make decisions and deploy investments. The theory’s assumption of an immediate response is therefore realistic

28
Q

Technology changes capital-to-output ratio (critique of accelerator theory)

A

technological advancements can significantly change the efficiency with which capital is used. New technology can lower the need for additional capital investment relative to the output produced, leading to changes in the capital-to-output ratio.