Unit 16: Investment Flashcards
Investment
Expenditure by firms to increase productive capacity i.e. additional to capital stock with the expectation of generating future returns or income
Types of Investment
- Residential - spending by households/firms on residential property to be utilized or rented out to others
- Non-Residential - spending by households/firms on machinery, commercial real estate, tools, etc. to add to capital stock.
- Inventories - it represents a form of capital that businesses hold to support production and sales, it is an asset that contributes to the production process or can be sold to generate revenue making it a crucial part of business operations.
Paradox of Thrift
While saving is beneficial for the individual, an increase in overall saving in an economy can lead to negative outcomes such as lower income and economic contraction
Effects of Investment
- Long-term Economic Growth
- International Competitiveness
Long-term Economic Growth
Investments leads to an increase in the quality or quantity of capital, which is a factor of production, this shifts the PPC or the AS curve outwards, allowing AD to increase further without putting pressure on prices
International Competitiveness
Investments lead to an increase in the quantity or quality of capital, this reduces average costs for a firm leading to lower market prices. Lower market prices means that exports increase and imports increase as the prices of domestically produced goods are relatively cheaper compared to goods produced in other countries, this leads to the number of exports exceeding the number of imports, which creates a current account surplus in the economy.
Investment can also lead to non-price competitiveness as higher quality goods may be produced
The Multiplier
an initial injection (investment) in an economy, leads to overall greater increase in national income, national income will increase by a multiple of the increase in investment.
The multiplier (k) is the number of times by which the change in income exceeds the size of the initial expenditure/injection
K=change in Y/change in I
k = 1/MPS
a change in investment brings about a larger change in national income
Strengths of the multiplier
- it helps policy makers understand how fiscal interventions can stimulate economic growth
- it provides a basis for calculating the potential impact of public spending on GDP
Critique of the Multiplier
- Crowding out effect
- Inventories
- Fiscal Drag
Crowding out effect (critique of multiplier)
- Resource Crowing out - by increasing investment, the government would be taking away resources from the private sector, leading to a reduced investment from the private sector
- Financial crowding out - government sells bonds as a means to borrow money, to attract financing they increase interest rates, this diverts people’s savings from the private sector to the public sector
Inventories (critique of multiplier)
If aggregate demand increases, firms may initially meet this demand by drawing down inventories rather than ramping up production. this dampens the immediate impact of increased spending on output and employment,, reducing the size of the multiplier effect. Additionally if the increase in demand is perceived as temporary, then, firms see the demand as unsustainable and they may refrain from increasing production.
Fiscal Drag (critique of the multiplier)
the higher the income, the higher the tax rate, which will offset some of the expansion of income
Determinants of Investment
- Interest Rates
- Expected net rate of return (Present Value Approach)
- Marginal Efficiency of Capital
- Expectations
- Spare Capacity
- Technological innovations
- Availability of finance
- Stability
Interest Rates
a high interest rate means that it will be more costly for firms to borrow money in order to finance its investment projects. The firm may resort to internal financing (retained profits) to finance investment, an increased interest rate makes saving money more attractive (buy bonds or deposit money in bank)
Present Discount Approach
whether to invest or nit depends on the future earnings and cost of investment. The present value approach is a way of figuring out how much a future amount of money is worth today. since money today is more valuable than money in the future, we discount the future money to reflect its lower value today. When making a decision about investment we must calculate its future earnings and discount them to give them present valuation
NPV=PV-C
FV=PV(1+r) to the power of n
PV = sigma Rn/(1+r)n
Real r = nominal r - expected rate of inflation