Unit 13.1 to 13.5 Flashcards
What are the two types of demand side policies
Monetary and fiscal
What are two categories of supply side policies
market based- which relies on the workings of the market
interventionist- which relies on government intervention
The aims of monetary policy
Governments have different economic tools they can use to target their macroeconomic objectives:
Sustainable economic growth
Low unemployment
External balance on the current account balance of payments
Low inflation or price stability
How does a monetary policy work
Monetary policy is where the government uses interest rates and the supply of money to achieve its macroeconomic objectives. For example, the central bank of a country uses interest rates and the supply of money to manage the rate of inflation.
Importance of the central bank
The central bank in an economy is the key institution the government uses to apply monetary policy. It is independant from the government so that it is not hindered in the decision making. The central bank applies monetary policy by using the following tools:
Base interest (discount) rates
Quantitative easing
Open market operations
Goals of monetary policy
Low and stable rate of inflation:
Aiming to keep inflation predictable to foster economic decision-making and maintain purchasing power.
Utilizing inflation targeting to manage inflation expectations and guide monetary policy actions.
Low unemployment:
Striving for full employment to maximize economic output and individual welfare.
Balancing inflation and employment goals, often facing trade-offs between them.
Reduction of business cycle fluctuations:
Smoothing out the peaks and troughs of the business cycle to avoid extreme economic volatility.
Implementing monetary policy to mitigate the effects of recessions and overheating in the economy.
Promotion of a stable economic environment for long-term growth:
Creating conditions conducive to investment and productivity, which are key to sustained economic growth.
Ensuring that the macroeconomic environment supports innovation and development.
External balance:
Managing the country’s exports and imports over time to prevent large deficits or surpluses.
Influencing the exchange rate through monetary policy to maintain a competitive balance in international trade.
What is and how does an expansionary monetary policy work
Expansionary Monetary Policy:
The central bank lowers interest rates, making borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, which can stimulate spending and investment.
Increasing the money supply encourages more economic activity, boosting aggregate demand and potentially reducing unemployment.
How the Policy Achieves Economic Goals:
Reduced interest rates decrease the cost of borrowing and increase disposable income for consumers, leading to higher consumption.
With more investment by firms due to lower borrowing costs, production can increase, contributing to economic growth and job creation.
Strengths of expansionary monetary policy
Quick implementation allows central banks to promptly address economic downturns or rising unemployment by lowering base rates.
The policy’s incremental nature enables fine-tuning in response to ongoing economic changes, allowing for targeted adjustments to interest rates.
Central bank autonomy minimizes political influence, preventing the misuse of monetary policy for short-term economic gains before elections. This independence helps maintain credibility and focus on long-term economic stability rather than short-term political pressures.
Weaknesses of expansionary monetary policy
Inflation Risk:
Expansionary monetary policy can potentially lead to an inflationary gap, raising the average price level if aggregate demand exceeds productive capacity.
In extreme cases, too much demand can lead to significant inflation, as depicted in economic models like diagram 3.41.
Limited Scope at Low Interest Rates:
Near-zero interest rates limit the central bank’s ability to use rate cuts as a tool to stimulate the economy further.
This scenario, often referred to as a liquidity trap, restricts monetary policy effectiveness.
Commercial Banks’ Response:
There’s no guarantee that commercial banks will pass on the benefits of reduced rates to consumers or businesses.
Banks might choose to increase profits instead, by maintaining higher rates for borrowers despite the central bank’s cuts.
Consumer and Business Confidence:
In a recession, low confidence can negate the intended effects of lowered interest rates as firms and households might still restrict spending.
This reluctance can particularly affect large-scale investments and expensive consumer purchases.
Time Lags:
The impact of interest rate changes can take up to 18 months to fully materialize in the economy, complicating timely policy adjustments.
Misjudgment in the timing of policy changes can result in overstimulation and lead to inflation.
Exchange Rate Impact:
Lower interest rates can cause the domestic currency to depreciate, making imports more costly and contributing to inflation.
Currency devaluation through monetary expansion can lead to adverse inflationary pressures.
What is and how does an contractionary monetary policy work?
Contractionary Monetary Policy:
Governments and central banks utilize contractionary monetary policy by increasing interest rates and reducing the money supply to combat inflation.
How the Policy Achieves Economic Goals:
Increased Interest Rates: The central bank raises its base rate, leading to higher interest rates across the economy. This makes borrowing more expensive for consumers and businesses.
Reduced Money Supply: By reducing the amount of money in circulation, the central bank aims to decrease spending and investment.
Impact on Consumption and Investment: Higher borrowing costs lead to reduced consumption and investment, lowering aggregate demand in the economy.
Reducing Inflation: As aggregate demand decreases, the pressure on prices eases, leading to a reduction in inflation. This process helps stabilize the economy by bringing inflation to a target level.
Strengths of contractionary monetary policy
Contractionary monetary policy can be applied quickly which gives it flexibility as a policy. If the rate of inflation rises the central bank can react almost immediately to increase interest rates to reduce aggregate demand and inflation.
Contractionary monetary policy can be applied incrementally so it can be adjusted to changes in the inflation rate. If the inflation rate is rising month by month, interest rates can be continuously increased to tackle the problem.
Because central banks are independent of governments in most countries they have some freedom to apply contractionary monetary without political influence. For example, a rise in inflation might need a rise in interest rates but the government might not want to do this for political reasons, but an independent central bank can still increase the rate of interest to reduce inflation.
No budget deficits or debt: It does not lead to budget deficits or increased levels of debt as fiscal policy does in the case of expansionary policy
Interest rates changes are reversible: Interest rate changes can also be easily reversed if necessary. An expansionary policy can easily be reversed into a contractionary policy and vice versa.
Monetary policy is flexible: Interest rates can be changed often according to needs.
Weaknesses of contractionary monetary policy
Risk of Slower Economic Growth: The policy can decrease aggregate demand, potentially slowing economic growth and triggering recession, increasing unemployment.
Impact on Lending: Commercial banks may not fully pass on higher interest rates set by the central bank due to competitive lending markets, which can undermine the policy’s effectiveness.
Time Lags: It can take around 18 months for the full effects of an interest rate increase to permeate the macroeconomy, leading to potential policy missteps.
Exchange Rate Appreciation: Higher domestic interest rates may attract foreign investment, strengthening the domestic currency, which can make exports more expensive, imports cheaper, and potentially worsen the current account deficit.
What is a fiscal policy?
Fiscal policy refers to manipulations by the government of its own expenditures and taxes to influence the level of aggregate demand (like C+G+I)
what are the sources of government revenue?
Direct taxation on household incomes in the form of income tax and tax on business profits in the form of corporation tax.
Indirect taxation such as VAT and specific duties on goods and services.
Profit from the operations of state-run organisations. Many governments own organisations in the transport and energy sectors and make a profit from them.
Asset sales when governments privatise industries. When governments sell the assets of state-owned enterprises it leads to an inflow of funds to the state.
What are the three types of government expenditure
Current expenditure: on the day-to-day running of the government sector such as paying the wages of teachers, doctors and military personnel.
Capital expenditure: on investment projects financed by the government such as building roads, bridges and schools.
Transfer expenditure: on welfare payments such as unemployment and housing benefits.