UK Politics

Question 1

1997 Lib Dems take votes from Tories

Answer 1

-Lib Dem went from 18 seats to 46
-Many were Tory strongholds
-Kingston was Tory since 1885 but went LD
-Richmond was Tory since 1918 but went LD

Question 2

1997 Middleclass to Labour

Answer 2

-Putney
-St Albans

-Kept core voters: 62% of Northern votes
-70% of non-white voters voted Lab

Question 3

2017 Red Wall to Tory

Answer 3

-Tory gained 6 seats in Midlands and North
-Stoke on Trent South

Question 4

Redwall go Tory in 2019

Answer 4

-Some Red Wall seats would have gone Tory even without vote share increase due to collapse of Lab support
-Sedgefield (Blair’s constituency)
-Ashfield (70.5% voted leave)
- Blyth Valley (59.8% voted leave)
-Bolsover (70.2% voted leave) - Dennis skinner constituency

Question 5

Current polling of Red Wall (11-12 May 2024)

Answer 5

-Lab lead Tory 25% in Red Wall
-43% who voted Tory in 2019 would vote Tory again
-24% of 2019 Tory voters said they would vote Reform

Question 6

Blue Wall

Answer 6

-Canterbury (55% Remain, Tory since 1918, Lab in 2017 and 2019)
-Chesham and Amersham (55% Remain, Tory since 1974, Lib Dem 2021 By-election)
-Putney (73% Remain, Lab in 1997, Lab in 2019)
-St Albans (3% Remain, Lab in 1997, Lib Dem in 2019)

Question 7

Expected Blue Wall

Answer 7

Guilford reduced Tory majority in 2019 (5.7% from 41% in 2015, op polls say Lib Dem next election)

Question 8

Scotland (class)

Answer 8

-2010 - Lab held 41 Scot seats
-2015 - SNP won 56 including many working class (Inverclyde) and middle class (Stirling)
-2017 - Tory won 13 with 29% of Scot vote. Best since 1979
-Labour projected to have most seats (Lab 28, SNP 19, Tory 5, Lib Dem 5)

Question 9

Wales (class)

Answer 9

-2019 - Tory got 36.1% of vote. Largest ever (1997 it was 19.6%)