UK application Flashcards
GDP
£2.8 trillion
Growth
2024 - 0.8%
OBR projected growth
2025 - 1%
2026 - 1.8%
2027 - 1.7%
CPI inflation
3%
Unemployment
4.4%
Economically inactive
25%
400k rise since 2020
CA balance
-2.8% GDP
$53bn
Budget balance
-4.5% GDP
Debt
98% GDP
Base rate
4.5%
Exchange rate
$1:£0.77
Gini
0.35
Sectoral distribution
Agriculture - 1%
Industry - 18%
Services - 80%
Poverty
8 million working-age adults
4 million children (30%)
22%
- most vulnerable groups include larger families, minority groups, disabled people, informal carers
UK median income is £35k, relative poverty line is £22k
Inflation
High of 11.1% in Oct/22 due to Russia-Ukraine war increasing energy prices
Dropped to 2% in May/24 due to:
- drops in gas prices
- monetary policy
- slowdown in global economic growth
Unemployment
Increase of 0.3% in 2024
- October budget announced min. wage rises and ↑ in national insurance contributions
↑ integration of AI and automation
Decrease in business confidence due to trade tensions
Trade and CA
UK runs a consistent CA deficit:
- overvalued currency
- strong domestic demand
- stagnation in productivity growth
2016-23 - ↑ £289bn exports
4th largest importer in the world
Exports
USA - 22.3%
Germany
Netherlands
Imports
USA - 13.2%
Germany
China
Top exports
Financial services - $75bn
Travel
Telecoms
Cars
Supply-side weaknesses
R+D spending is 1.7% of GDP
Low public and private sector investment
Regional disparities
Labour market issues:
- skills shortages - Brexit
- gig economy
- geographical/occupational immobility
Demand-side policies
GFC
Temporary VAT cut from 17.5% - 15% to boost consumption
575% - 0.5% interest rates in 2 years - ineffective due to low availability of credit
- quantitative easing to ↑ money supply and consumption
Supply-side policies
Spring statement:7Freeze health-related universal credit for existing claimants T £397 per week until 2029
Stricter eligibility checks for PIP - estimated to push 250k people into relative poverty
Plans to force councils to build more homes - OBR projects ↑ 170k above average in houses in 5 years
£625mil to be spent in England to boost existing schemes to train workers in the construction sector
Trade deal
Joined CPTPP and now has access to tariff-free trade with many pacific rim nations, such as NZ, Australia, Vietnam
Trade deficit in goods
2024 - $53bil