Trade Flashcards
The growth of world trade
The share of word trade by country and region
Rapid growth I’ve past 60 years
- growth in exports share of GDP
- export growth more volatile than GDP growth
Rapid growth of exports of the BRICs countries (Brazil,Russia,India,china and South Africa)
Advantages of trade
The law of comparative advantage
Specialisation as the basis for trade
Absolute advantage
Comparative advantage
The guns from trade based on comparative advantage
Gains from trade also occur from : Decreasing costs Differences in demand Increased comp Trade as an engine of growth
Determinants of international specialisation
HO theory
Heckscher-ohlin theory of international trade.
- countries export goods that make intensive use of locally abundant factors
- and import goods that make intensive use of factors that are locally scarce
Problem
Most trade is between countries with similar factor endowments
New trade theory
Increasing returns to scale
Agglomeration effects
- role of demand and transport costs
- the role of history
Arguments for restricting trade
Strategic trade theory
- infant industry argument
- senile industry argument
To prevent establishment of a foreign based monopoly
Unfair competition
Dumping
Labour market and environmental regulations
To reduce reliance on goods with little dynamic potential
Porter diamond : four determinants of why countries have competitive advantage
Available resources
Demand conditions in the home market
Strategy,structure and rivalry of firms
Related and supporting industries
Comparative and absolute Advantage
Comparative is where a country can produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another country
Absolute advantage is where a country can produce a good at a lower cost per unit than another country
Other criticisms of trade
High mobility of capital, exporting of jobs, cross border supply chains
High levels of immigration,putting pressure on real wages
Highly uneven distribution of income within societies
White collar workers more likely to benefit from globalisation,blue collar more likely to lose
Mobility of labour
Exchange rates
Rate at which one currency trades for another not he foreign exchange market
Floating exchange rate
Set by the demand and supply for a currency at the equilibrium exchange rate
Up means appreciation down means depreciation
Causes of depreciation
Fall in interest rate Change in inflation rate Rise in AD Inward Investment less attractive Speculation against depreciation
Concluding thoughts on trade
Is protectionism a solution
?
No cant last long
Underlying causes of the anti globalisation movement need to be addressed
Income inequality
Labour and social mobility
Healthcare and social protection
Challenges
Demographics: baby boomers are bowing out
Automation, will put further pressure on unskilled labour
Inequality can encourage nationalism
National debt