Topic 7: EQ3 Flashcards

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1
Q

What are most superpowers fuelled by?

A

Superpowers are fuelled by resources, and in the 21st century its Human Resources becoming increasingly important. This is due to innovation, skill and entrepreneurship being vital in maintaining technological, economic and military hegemony.

Old-fashion resources are still critical, however, and this includes fossil fuels, ores and minerals.

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2
Q

What are some reasons why resources would be contested?

A

-The land border between two countries could be in dispute (e.g with India and China).
-The ownership of a landmass is in dispute (such as Argentina claiming the UK-governments Falklands which may contain fossil fuels)
-The extent of a nation’s offshore economic zone is in dispute, or claimed by another nation.

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3
Q

What is an exclusive economic zone?

A

This is the area of ocean which extends 200 nautical miles beyond the coastline, of which the nation controls the sea and sub-sea resources.

EEZ borders are decided by the UN in the event of a dispute.

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4
Q

What is an example of resources being contested?

A

The Arctic’s oil and gas, where an estimated 30% of the world’s undiscovered gas, and 13% of the oil resources are said to be.

The tensions are only likely to rise further as global warming makes the Arctic, as well as its resources increasingly accessible.

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5
Q

What factors are causing the Arctic’s resources to become more desirable over time?

A

-Melting permafrost makes drilling less difficult and cheaper.
-Melting summer sea ice is now allowing ships to travel the North Sea Shipping route, cutting transport costs by 40%.
-As fossil fuels aren’t renewable, and other known reserves are already beginning to run out of their finite resources, the attraction to use the Arctic’s ≈30% of undiscovered oil is rising.

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6
Q

How are tensions arising over the Arctic’s contested resources?

A

-In 2007, a Russian submarine planted a Russian flag on the seabed below the North Pole, claiming access to its resources.
-Other nations have made similar claims, such as Denmark in 2014. They argue that much of the Arctic is their EEZ because Greenland (a self-governing part of Denmark) controls 900,000km^2 of the Arctic Ocean. The UN will north respond to any of these claims for at least another number of years.
-There is also tension over the ethics of the exploitation, with many arguing that the resources should/must remain untouched if the world is committed to limiting climate change to 2°C.

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7
Q

How have some nation’s responded with hard power in the Arctic?

A

-Canada have carried out military exercises in the Arctic
-Norway has expanded its Navy
-Russia has carried out Arctic Bomber patrols
-Denmark is creating an Arctic Military Command and Response force.

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8
Q

How have some countries responded to the Artic’s resources using soft power?

A

-Environmental groups have been at the forefront of protesting against exploitation (e.g 3million signed a petition against Project Willow)
-2015 UN Paris Climate Change agreement
-The Arctic council promotes co-operation in the Arctic’s regions.
-In 2015, the UK House of Lords called for an Arctic Ambassador.

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9
Q

What is Project Willow?

A

-US President Joe Biden has approved a major oil and gas drilling project in Alaska that faced strong opposition from environmental activists.
-Located on Alaska’s remote North Slope, it is the largest oil development in the region for decades and could produce up to 180,000 barrels of oil a day.
-The US energy giant, which is already Alaska’s largest crude oil producer, will enhance energy security, create good union jobs and provide benefits to Alaska Native communities

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10
Q

What are intellectual property rights?

A

Intellectual property refers to creations of the mind: inventions; literary and artistic works; and symbols, names and images used in commerce.

Intellectual property is divided into two categories: -Industrial Property (e.g patents for innovation). -Copyright covers literary works (such as novels, films, music etc)

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11
Q

What have caused intellectual property rights to become more important?

A

-They have become significantly more important due to globalisation since the 1990s, and the increased production of counterfeit goods in emerging economies.
-An estimated 5-10% of world trade is in counterfeit goods
-This is thought to cost hundreds of thousand of jobs each year in places such as the USA and EU, as well as billions lost in business revenue.

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12
Q

How has China been accused of counterfeit good production?

A

Chinese companies are well known for infringing IP by producing counterfeit products.

-Many western car companies such as BMW and Rolls Royce have seen Chinese companies create copies of their models.
-Fake apple products are also common. 22 fake apple stores were found in China in 2011 and
-In 2013 the UN estimated that 70% of all the world’s counterfeit goods came from China.

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13
Q

What are the benefits of intellectual property rights?

A

-Intellectual Property is important because innovations and ideas can be stolen and used by others.
-This would be a disincentive to invent and innovate.
-The costs of developing new medicines or communications could not be recouped through selling products if others could simply copy the ideas.

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14
Q

What are the negatives of intellectual property rights?

A

-Intellectual Property requires uses or a product to pay royalties (fees) to the inventor, which is a cost to developing countries
-IP holders do not have a duty to make a new invention available, e.g. they could prevent a new medicine being made
-The system can create a monopoly where a patent holder can charge what they like for a new products, exploiting consumers.

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15
Q

What are the consequences of China’s (and other nations) counterfeit production?

A

-This can sour relationships between countries, especially the USA and China.
-TNCs might be reluctant to invest in China knowing the profits might be reduced by counterfeiting.
-Lack of action by the government means that they might be unlikely to cooperate in other ways.
-The possibility of trade agreements is limited if one side does not play by the rules.

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16
Q

What is a sphere of influence?

A

A sphere of influence is a physical region over which a country believes it has economic, military or political rights. Spheres of influence extend beyond the borders of the country and represent a region where the country believes it has a right to influence the policies of other countries outside of it’s nations borders.

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17
Q

What are two examples of political tensions over global influence being caused by spheres of influence?

A

-South and East China Seas
-Western Russia and Eastern Europe

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18
Q

Which nations are the main players in the China sea conflicts?

A

-China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia and Brunei all claim parts of the same territory in the South China Sea.
-This has occurred for centuries, but tensions have risen in recent years.

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19
Q

What is the reason for the political tension in the South and East China Sea?

A

-It is a dispute over territory and sovereignty over ocean areas, and the Paracels and the Spratlys - two island chains claimed in whole or in part by a number of countries.
-The sea is a major shipping route with huge economic efficiency potential
-Despite little explorative research, the seas are believed to have significant reserves of natural resources.
-They are also home to the fishing groups which sustain the livelihoods of so many across the region.

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20
Q

Why are the tensions in the South and East China Sea unlikely to come to a resolution?

A

-China has backed its expansive claims with island-building and naval patrols, as well as a 3km aircraft landing base on the Fiery Island.
-China prefers bilateral negotiations with the other parties. But many of its neighbours argue that China’s relative size gives it an unfair advantage. China also opposed coming to an agreement with the ASEAN.
- The US says it does not take sides in territorial disputes, but has sent military ships and planes near disputed islands, calling them “freedom of navigation” operations to ensure access to key shipping and air routes. Both sides have accused each other of “militarising” the South China Sea.

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21
Q

What are the issues with China’s territorial claims over the South and East China Seas?

A

-China claims by far the largest portion of territory - an area defined by the “nine-dash line”, showing the two island groups falling entirely within its territory, going back centuries to when the Paracel and Spratly island chains were regarded as integral parts of the Chinese nation, and in 1947 it issued a map detailing its claims.
-Vietnam hotly disputes China’s historical account, saying China had never claimed sovereignty over the islands before the 1940s.
-The other major claimant in the area is the Philippines, which invokes its geographical proximity to the Spratly Islands as the main basis of its claim for part of the grouping.
-Both the Philippines and China lay claim to the Scarborough Shoal (known as Huangyan Island in China) - a little more than 100 miles (160km) from the Philippines and 500 miles from China.

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22
Q

What has caused the political tension over global influence in West Russia/Eastern Europe?

A

-Following from the 1991 collapse of the USSR, many former Soviet republics have or have a serious consideration of joining the EU and NATO.
-However, Russia has reacted to a number of these moves, believing that these regions should remain under the influence of Russia.

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23
Q

How have the increased political tensions between Western Europe and Russia caused a number of implications for people and economics?

A

-The EU and US economic sanctions following the 2014 Ukraine invasion has isolated Russia economically, but also negatively impacted EU exporters.
-Many open conflicts and Russian invasions (e.g Ukraine and Georgia) has led to the forced displacement of 10s of thousands of people, as well as hundreds of deaths.

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24
Q

Has Russia lost all of its global influence as a result of the political tensions?

A

No, some Russian bordering nations such as Belarus are influenced by Russia in many ways:
-Economy (trade and energy suppliers)
-Culture (similar language and customs)
-Politics (similar political systems)

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25
Q

How have existing superpowers such as the USA and EU been accused of having unfair relationships with developing countries?

A

-Neo-colonialism: Superpowers pull the economic and political strings of developing countries
-Unfair trade: cheap commodity exports for the developing world set against expensive manufactured imports from the developed nations.
-Brain drain of skilled workers from developing countries to boost developed-world economies
-Local wealthy elites, who control imports and exports in developing countries, benefitting from the neo-colonial relationship but having no interest in changing it.

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26
Q

What is an example of an emerging nation having influence on a developing region?

A

China’s FDI into Africa.

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27
Q

How has China become a source of FDI to Africa?

A

-Since 2000, Africa has slowly become an increasingly major trade partner for China.
-China’s annual FDI increased to $3billion in 2015
-China does also provide economic and development aid to Africa (between $2-3billion each year)
-China had built 2250km of railways and 3350km of roads in Africa by 2015.

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28
Q

How has China’s involvement in Africa increased interdependence?

A

-China relies on African oil from Angola, Nigeria and Sudan.
-China relies on Zambian copper, as well as biofuels grown in Africa.
-Africa now increasingly imports Chinese-manufactured goods, and relies on Chinese investment in Infrastructure like roads, rail and ports.

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29
Q

What evidence is there that China’s role in Africa is creating a neo-colonial rule?

A

-The jobs created in Mozambique have often been low pay, had poor rights and reports of human rights abuse.
-Infrastructure investments ensure China can export raw materials cheaply and efficiently
-Skilled and technical jobs are often filled by Chinese migrants workers (over 1million now live in Africa)
-Cheap Chinese imports have undercut local producers.
-Chinese funding has helped support regimes with poor human rights records (e.g Mugabe in Zimbabwe) as well as land grabs.
-Much of the FDI brings temporary construction jobs, little are long-term (e,g mines and oil fields)

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30
Q

What evidence is there that China’s role in Africa is allowing Africa to develop?

A

-China has made heavy investment into roads, railways and ports (which Africans can use).
-Vital jobs are created in industry and energy, which helps modernise the economy
-Chinese investment brings modern innovation to Africa
-China has funded 17 major HEP projects since 2000, and between 2011-18, over US$4billion was invested to Ethiopia’s energy sector.
-Investment deals are often accompanied by aid.

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31
Q

What are the environmental impacts of Chinese investment and resource exploitation in Africa?

A

-Chinese imports of timber has been linked to widespread illegal deforestation in Mozambique
-Oil spills linked to Chinese-funded oil wells have been reported in Chad and Sudan.
-Extraction of the metallic ore Coltan in DRC has led to widespread forest loss and river pollution.

These environmental issues are not all due to China, but also western TNCs such as Shell in the Niger Delta.

32
Q

How has China invested into Mozambique?

A

-After a 17 year civil war ended in 1993, the country lacked the capital investment to extract its natural resources, with a GDP (PPP) of $8.1billion in 2000, but FDI caused this to grow to $59.2billion in 2020. Other TNCs had fail to bring Mozambique benefits from recourse exploitation, due to high taxes and complicated government legislation.
-China created a SEZ in Beira, as well as buying stocks in an Indian company exploring natural gas supplies.
-They formed a railway from Beira to the nation’s coal-mining region, but this also opened other economic activities such as hotels, banks and airports.

33
Q

Which global regions has been the most troublesome in the last 50 years?

A

The Middle East, it has a number of factors which cause it’s tension and conflict (Religion, Oil, Water, Population, History, Governance), and the 2011 Arab Spring uprisings have arguably added to the region’s instability.

34
Q

What is the 2011 Arab Spring?

A

This is a series of pro-democracy, pro-human rights civil uprisings that affected Syria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Bahrain and Iran.

Also some governments were overthrown, most cases only resulted in instability following the uprisings.

35
Q

How does religion cause tensions in the Middle East?

A

-Most of the region is Muslim but Sunni and Shia sects are in conflict with each other both in and between countries.
-55.9% Sunni Muslim, 35.6% Shia Muslim.
-Despite rarely causing conflicts by themselves, they often help cause political relationships to further deteriorate, and fuel conflict overtime.

36
Q

How does oil (and wealth) cause tensions in the Middle East?

A

-The Middle East produces about a third of the world’s oil, but the reserves are not distributed uniformly.
-Nearly 99% of the region’s proven reserves are in 6 countries: Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, U.A.E., and Qatar.
-Qatar, a small peninsula in the oil-rich Gulf, has a GDP per capita of $97,518, the highest in the world. Just 350 miles south of Qatar lies Yemen, whose GDP per capita of $1,408 is the lowest in the Middle East.

37
Q

How was water caused tensions in the Middle East?

A

-Despite being rich in fossil fuels, the region is short of both water and farmland, which means territorial conflict over resources is more likely, especially with the growing pressures of climate change.
-The UAE uses 4,297% of renewable water resources available in their country.

38
Q

How has historic control caused tensions and conflicts in the Middle East?

A

-Many borders in region are arbitrary and drawn by colonial powers, do not reflect actual geographical or cultural groups, so superpowers are now dealing with fallout.
-The combined territory of Israel and Palestine measures only about 8,000 square miles, yet, the fight over how the land should be divided is a divisive conflict involving nearly the entire world. The U.S. favours Israel, whereas most majority Muslim countries favour Palestine.

39
Q

How is governance causing conflict and tension in the Middle East?

A

-As the majority of states are relatively new states (at least in their current form), democracy is either weak or nonexistent.
-This becomes a significant issue because religious and ethnic allegiances are often stronger than national identities.

40
Q

What are some examples of how global current and emerging superpowers are involved in the Middle East tensions and Conflict?

A

-The contrast of alliances between USA, Israel, some EU member states and their Middle Eastern allies opposes the loss alliance of Iran, Syria, China and Russia (proxy wars). This ranges from overt military support to direct supply of arms.
-Isreal-Palestine conflict
-Destabilisation of terrorist groups such as the Taliban In Afghanistan
-The refugee crisis caused by IS in Syria and Iraq, where up to 2 million Syrians have had to flee to neighbouring countries such as Turkey, which can strain national resources.

41
Q

What is the issue with alliances and priorities changing between Superpowers and the Middle East over time?

A

USA, Russia, China and some EU nations have a long history in their involvement with the Middle East. Although alliances and priorities change overtime, weapons do remain, and will end up in the hands of the likes of IS and al-Qaeda. This causes superpowers to face weapons they had supplies decades ago.

42
Q

How is population changes causing issues in the Middle East?

A

Average ages of the very youthful middle eastern population is rising, and more people are now in the working ages. Over the last 40 years, literacy rates have also increased by over 60%, which is causing unemployment and poverty issues.

43
Q

How have complex Middle Eastern politics and ethnic differences led to dangerous situations involving superpowers?

A

-Turkey has had a low level civil war against the Kurds who want their own state. But the Kurds are also a leading group fighting IS, which Turkey supports due to its position in NATO.
-Despite the EU and USA initially supporting the Arab Spring uprising against President Assad, tgey were then involved in bombings against IS in Syria in 2015, essentially supporting Assad’s forces.
-While US, UK and France opposed Russia in their Ukraine 2014 invasion, their air-bombing campaign against IS in Syria saw them acting with Russia (who support Assad).
-Some funding for terrorist groups such as IS originates from the countries which oppose them (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey etc), which strains relations between allies.

44
Q

What are the costs of the Middle East situation on superpowers?

A

It has proved costly both economically (military costs), and in terms of humans (military and terrorist casualties in the region).

This is made even more significant by the fact that many nations like the USA, UK, Germany and France having large Muslim populations with families who still live in the Middle East, as well as cultural ties to the region.

45
Q

Who are IS (ISIS)?

A

A jihadist terrorist organisation that rose to prominence in 2013 during the Syrian civil war. They occupy parts of the Middle East and carry out terrors attacks worldwide.

Islamic terrorism is fought on the extremist belief that war should be thought against all non-Muslims, as well as many fighting against what they see as long term interference in the Middle East by the west, causing poverty, unemployment and a lack of opportunity.

46
Q

How have Middle Eastern resources caused issues for superpowers?

A
  • These oil and gas pipelines have long been fought over and some suspect this is the reason for the involvement of existing superpowers.
  • Superpowers rely on energy security and conflict threatens this
47
Q

What are the two main reasons which have caused the USA to be in a stronger position than the EU despite both their uncertainties?

A

1) The USA does have 50 different states, which all have their own rights and laws, but the differences between the states are minor. In the EU, however, the 27 members have have very different laws and policies.
2) The USA is not ageing as fast as the EU, with a fertility rate of 1.9 rather than the EU’s 1.6, so it’s population will remain youthful for longer.

48
Q

What economic challenges are faced by the EU?

A

-Eurozone debt was €9.7trillion in 2016, and in the Uk £1.6trillion (90% of GDP).
-This debt causes a drag on economic growth due to austerity, and was not helped by the 2008 financial recession.
-EU unemployment was close to 10% in 2016, representing a cost to taxpayers an underused economic capacity.

49
Q

What are the demographic challenges for the EU?

A

-The EU is ageing quickly, by 2025 20% of EU citizens will be over 65.
-The EUs workforce will drop by 14% by 2030, which will place an increasing burden on those in work to fund pensions and healthcare, causing taxes to rise.
-After 2035, the EU’s population is likely to be falling.

50
Q

What political challenges does the EU face?

A

-The EU’s 27 nations do not necessarily all want the same outcomes and plans.
-Some nations want a deeper Union (e,g France and Germany), where as others want less.
-The UK leaving the EU has led to some political instability
-Immigration policies are causing disagreements, and relationships with Russia are strained.

51
Q

How do resources cause issues for the EU?

A

Energy security is a key issue for the EU, with many nations relying heavily on imported oil and gas, often from Russia.

52
Q

What social challenges does the EU face?

A

-Youth unemployment in the EU was 22% in 2015, and over 45% in Greece.
-Long-term youth unemployment risks increasing inequality, political dissatisfaction and also a ‘lost generation’.

53
Q

What economic challenges does the USA face?

A

-In 2024, national debt was $19trillion.
-However, the dollar’s status as the global currency makes it less vulnerable to shocks.
-The USA also has the benefit of being the host country of many global TNCs, such as Apple and Google.

54
Q

What demographic challenges does the USA face?

A

-The USA is ageing less fast than the EU and social costs tend to fall on the individual rather than the government.
-Total population is expected to keep growing to 415million in 2060.

55
Q

What political challenges does the USA face?

A

-There is often a political deadlock between the democrats and the republicans.
-Trumps populism approach with protectionism May strain future growth, as well as cause global relations to deteriorate.
-However, the US benefits from the fact that it’s values are fairly universal, and spread to a global audience.

56
Q

How do resources cause a challenge for the USA?

A

-The USA is increasingly energy secure as a result of oil and gas fracking.
-However, in the southwest water insecurity is becoming an increasingly large issue (e.g in California).

57
Q

What social challenges does the USA face?

A

-Health spending swallows 17% of the USA’s annual GDP and is a huge cost to families and governments.
-74% of American adults are overweight, which causes a significant addition to healthcare costs.

58
Q

How has economic restructuring caused challenges in both the EU and USA?

A

-This is the shift from primary to secondary industry towards tertiary and quaternary industry as a result of deindustrialisation.
-It has large social and economic costs, especially in areas such as Detroit, Sheffield, and Hull, who now have to cope with rising unemployment.

59
Q

Why do many nations have their maintenance of global military power challenged?

A

-For many European countries, the policy of austerity while also continuing to expand the military power is controversial.
-The cost of military technology is extremely high, due to the constant upgrades and investment required.
-Largest military spending increases have come from China and India, with spending falling in Europe.
-The USA remains the biggest overall military spender, with the UK only spending ≈10% their budget ($56billion).

60
Q

What is the significance of Navy military spending, and is it justified?

A

-Aircraft carriers are seen as vital for projecting power, but are increasingly vulnerable to land based technology.
-The UK has reduced its aircraft carrier capability to 2 ships, but over a 3 year period this will still cost £6billion.
-There is a debate in the UK if it is better to have strength in numbers with many smaller, low-cost ships, or a smaller number of large, high-tech ships for anti piracy, and delivering humanitarian assistance.

61
Q

What is the significance on Nuclear deterrent in the military, and is its spending justified?

A

-Often causes political and cultural debate, and in 2016 80% of MPs voted to renew the UK’s Trident.
-Some argue that the significantly high costs of these deterrents are unnecessary, as proven by their lack of use during the Cold War.
-However, others argue that it is due to the threat of nuclear weapons that the Cold War didn’t develop into something more sinister.
-Many nations around the world, including emerging superpowers, now have nuclear capability.

62
Q

How is air power significant in militaries, and is its spending justified?

A

-Many fighter jets are being replaced, with the intro of drones being cheaper, more agile and precise.
-The increasing threat from Russian and Chinese military modernisation is causing NATO to increase spending in air power.
-They have also proven critical in situations where geopolitical tensions have arisen, e.g Libya in 2011.

63
Q

What is the significance of military spending on intelligence, and is it justified?

A

-The necessity of artificial intelligence is seen as important as it reduces the cost of human spies.
-With technology becoming more advanced it is argued that security is becoming increasingly important, due to the theft of intelligence material which can threat undercover MI6 and FBI agents.
-It has also played a crucial role in preventing some planned terrorist attacks, and the need for the war on terror became a larger focus following on from 9/11.

64
Q

Can military spending on space programmes be justified?

A

-By 2013, the US had spent $38billion on space exploration.
-The Russian and US space programmes are the most significant globally, with Russia putting a man in space in 1961, and USA on the moon in 1969.
-The need for a developed space programme has been seen as increasingly necessary for superpowers since WW2, as a way of expressing technological advancement.
-India and China have also now joined the space race, with India sending a spacecraft to Mars in 2014.
-Many argue that this is a poor way for governments to spend money, especially with bigger issues like poverty and unemployment unsolved.

65
Q

What is the space race?

A

The Space Race was considered important because it showed the world which country had the best science, technology, and economic system. After World War II both the United States and the Soviet Union realized how important rocket research would be to the military.

66
Q

What are some of the alternative superpower futures predicted for 2030?

A

-US hegemony (uni-polar)
-Regional mosaic (multi-polar)
-New Cold War (bi-polar)
-Asian Century (uni-polar)

67
Q

What is the future superpower idea of the US Hegemony?

A

-This would involve US dominance, and economic and military alliances, continue in a unipolar world.
-It assumes China will face an economic crisis, similar to Japan’s in the 1990s, which will cause growth to cease,

68
Q

What is the regional mosaic alternative superpower concept?

A

-Emerging powers will continue to grow while the EU and USA will decline in relative terms, this will create a multi-polar world of broadly equal powers with regional but not global influence.

69
Q

What is the new-cold war future superpower idea?

A

-This assumes that China will rise to become an equal power to the USA, and many nations will align themselves with one of the two opposing ideologies, which will create a bipolar period similar to the 1945-1990 Cold War.

70
Q

What is the Asian Century future superpower concept?

A

-Economic, social and political problems all reduce the power of the EU and the USA.
-Economic and political power shifts to the emerging powers in Asia, led by China.

71
Q

What are the implications of the future superpower ideas on stability?

A

-‘Regional mosaic’ will likely cause issues as broadly equal nations will make complex and competing alliances, with no clear ‘global police’.
-‘New Cold War’ could lead to large tensions.

72
Q

What are the implications of the future superpower ideas on resources?

A

-The ‘Asian Century’ scenario would see strong economic and population growth in Asia, but only add to the western demand for resources.
-The expanding Asian Middle class would likely cause a 35% increase in food demand, 40% for water and 50% for energy by 2030.

73
Q

What are the implications of the future superpower ideas on military?

A

-A new arms race would be a possibility of an outcome of the Cold War scenario.
-As China expands global reach with air power and navy, the USA and allies would have to divert spending towards guns and ships.

74
Q

What are the implications of the future superpower ideas on economics?

A

-The Asian century scenario would cause a fundamental shift in the world’s economy; global economic well-being would depend on the health of NICs (newly industrialised countries) in Asia rather than the economies of Europe and North America.

75
Q

Can we project who will hold superpower status in 2050 and beyond?

A

-No, this would be virtually impossible.
-An uncapped amount on unforeseen events could occur between now and then, including wars, pandemics, natural disasters and economic crises.