Topic 6 - Risk and return for individual assets and portfolios Flashcards
The risk premium is
the added return (over and above the risk-free rate) resulting from bearing risk
Risk statistics
- There is no universally agreed-upon definition of risk
- The measures of risk that we discuss are variance and standard deviation
The standard deviation is the standard statistical measure of the spread of a sample, and it will be the measure we use most of this time. Its interpretation is facilitated by a discussion of the normal distribution.
More on Average Returns
- Arithmetic average – return earned in an
average period over multiple periods - Geometric average – average compounded
return per period over multiple periods - The geometric average will be less than the arithmetic average unless all the returns are equal
Which is better?
* The arithmetic average is overly optimistic for long horizons
* The geometric average is overly pessimistic for short horizons
The characteristics of individual securities that are of interest are
- expected return
- variance and standard deviation
- covariance and correlation (to another security or index)
Sharpe’s market model
- the covariances between pairs of assets could be caused by the covariance of each asset with a common variable
- if this common variabe is the so-called Market Portfolio, we could explain the return on each assets as a linear function of the return on the market portfolio
ri = αi + βi . rm + εi
Systematic and Non-systematic risk
- Systematic risk: any risk that affects a large number of assets each to a greater or lesser degree
- Non-systematic risk: risk that specifically affects a single asset or a small group of assets
- Non-systematic risk can be diversified away
- Total risk = systematic + non-systematic risk
- For well-diversified portfolios, nonsystematic risk is very small
- Consequently, the total risk for a
diversified portfolio is essentially
equivalent to the systematic risk
Diversification and Portfolio Risk: Additional insights
- Diversification can substantially reduce the variability of returns without an equivalent reduction in expected returns
- This reduction in risk arises because
worse than expected returns from one
asset are offset by better than expected returns from another - However, there is a minimum level of
risk that cannot be diversified away,
and that is the systematic portion