Topic 2: CFs and Cash Mgmt Flashcards
Cash flow forecast
Two Types: SHort term and Log Term
1. Describe
Short Term
- assist liquidity mgmt in ST ensuring day to day inflows/outflows are identified and efficiently mgd
Long Term
- More strategic and more of a longer term planning tool.
General guidance for CF forecast
- Generally forecast daily for 1st 5 - 6 weeks
- Weekly out to 3 months
- Produced weekly
- Extend beyond 1 month in the daily component, and beyond one turnover cycle in the weekly component
- Will need to smooth the ST forecast into the LT forecast
Items to include in forecast:
for INFLOWS & OUTFLOWS
- Cash / EFT receipts
- Acc rec / payable
- Other income / dividend pmts
- Tax receipts / tax pmts
- Interest receipts / pmts
- Treasury settlements
- Investment maturity / placement
- Debt issuance proceeds / maturity
- Asset divestment or acquisition/investment
Difficulties for CF forecasting
- Timing of pmts, receipts, clearing of pmts & receipts
- Multiple systems
- Care of broader business / lack of ownership
- General quality of data
- Level of granularity
- Knowing what to include
- Technical skills / experience / judgment of preparer
- Systems used to prepare forecast
- Measuring / improving accuracy
- How far to forecast
- global difficulties/complexities (bank accounts, # accounts, structure, time zones, currencies, in-country restrictions, multiple currency forecasting, systems, quality of data)
Implications of inaccurate forecasting
- Default on pmts (or late pmts)
- Fines, penalties, loss of value
- Loss of credibility
- Shorter pmt terms or loss of credit terms
- -ve impact on credit rating
- Higher costs
- Loss of investment income
- HIgher borrowing rates
- Missed deals or business opportunities
Bank accounts - Pooling & sweeping
- notional vs physical sweep
Notional vs physical sweep:
Physical
- Physically sweep end of day balances from local accounts to one central cash pool.. Local accounts left with zero cash balance. Balances swept back next morning.
- Intercompany loans and deposits are maintained for balances swept into centre
- All bank accounts do NOT need to be with one bank
-
NOTIONAL
- No physical movement. Balances are notionally aggregated.
- Can only be done with account with the one bank
- Bank calculates interest on net balance but funds remain in local bank account at end of day.
- Intercompany loans not required
- Some countries restrict this for tax reasons
Advantages of cash sweeping
- Reduced borrowing costs
- Increased investment returns
- Reduced transaction & bank account administration costs
- Improved line of site over Group cash
- More effective management of cash balances
- Improved control over group cash
Funding short term shortfalls in cash
- Overdraft
- Uncommitted facilities
- CP
- Revolving credit facility (backstop to CP facility)
- Bridge to bond
- Committed facilities
- Factoring
- Floor plan financing
- Early redemption / sale of investments
- Repurchase agreement
- Bank Bill Facility
Short Term FUnding Options
OPERATIONAL
OPERATIONAL
- Sweep / pool balances
- Access to non-centre cash
- Restructure accounts payable / receivable
- Reduce operational expenditure
- Reduce capex
ST Funding Options
OVERDRAFT
OVERDRAFT
- Maintain bank account in overdrawn position
- Committed facility generally used on ST basis
- Higher cost than alternatives
- Repayable on demand
ST Funding Options UNCOMMITTED FACILITY (6)
- Loan provided on availability basis
- Cannot be relied on as a reliable source of funds
- Generally done on a bilateral basis
- No commitment fees
- Cheaper to arrange
- Drawings generally short term (
ST Funding options
CP
COMMERCIAL PAPER
- Unsecured borrowing facility
- Discount securities are issued in the market
- Overnight to 270 days
- Highly liquid market
- Strong credit rating required
ST Funding Options
REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY
REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY
- Backstop (support) to commercial paper
- Secured backstop enables the issuer to borrow in adverse conditions
- Committed facility
- Required by ratings agencies
- Generally syndicated
- Fees paid upfront for commitment as well as when funds are drawn
- Restrictions on drawdown of funds
ST Funding Options
BRIDGE TO BOND FACILITY
BRIDGE TO BOND FACILITY
- ST bridging finance
- Utilised until capital markets issues can be put in place
- Generally used for acquisition financing
- Fees are payable but are often incorporated as a package in the bond issue
- ST facility, generally less than 1 month
ST Funding Options
COMMITTED FACILITY
COMMITTED FACILITY
- GUaranteed amt of funds available to be drawn down.
- Can be done bilateral, club or syndicate basis
- Commitment fees are payable regardless of whether facility is used
- More onerous to establish in terms of documentation
- Drawings generally longer term (up to 7 years)