TOPIC 1 - The current situation: overview and main features of interest. Flashcards
Shock Covid
It was a major shock to the global economy with severe economic consequences. This resulted in a deep and uneven recession.
Shock War
The war between Russia and Ukraine has led to increasing pressure on inflation.
Covids impact on trade
The decline in trade was less severe due to:
- Fiscal and monetary policies
- Increases in demand for technology
- Trade police restirants
European recovery plan
A plan on how the EU members could recover from Covid shock
- Rapidly bring people back to work
- Minimize the impact of a shortfall in investments
- Compensate for differences in policy impact on member states
Covid & impact on EU members
Despite being a symmetric shock, it impacted members differently in regards to:
- The severity of the pandemic
- Lockdowns / Effect of stringency
- Different exposures (ex. size, sectors)
- Availability of fiscal response
Covid & Uncertainty
During covid mesures of unceritany (ex. world pandemic uncertainty index & world uncertainty index) reached an all-time high. But this decreased rapidly.
Historiccaly high uncertainty has coincided with periods of lower growth.
Covid & Uncertainty
During covid measures of uncertainty (ex. world pandemic uncertainty index & world uncertainty index) reached an all-time high. But this decreased rapidly.
Historically high uncertainty has coincided with periods of lower growth.
Banking sector
- EU implemented measures to provide liquidity.
- A ressetion in borrowers
Private consumption
- A lower demand
- Increase in savings
(Due to uncertainty in employment)
Business investment
- Decline in investment
- Impact of Covid is easing out
Net exports
- EU faces a weakening in foreign demand
Labor markets
- Unemployment has increased, but to different extents across EU
Trade and GDP
Trade declined 1,5 times more than the decline in output
Actions at EU level taken after the pandemic
support scheme, next generation funds 750 billions euro in grants and loans
GDP deflator
shows how much change in the base year gdp relies upon changes in the price level