TOPIC 1 - INVESTMENT DECISIONS & UNCERTAINTY Flashcards
Real asset
used to produce goods and services (buildings, machines, IP, land)
financial assets
claims to the income generated by real assets/claims on income from gov (stocks, bonds)
do financial assets directly contribute to economy’s productive capacity?
No –> not fundamental sources of value
financial assets = sum of
all of the claims conceptually on the real assets (ie the dif sectors like manufacturing/wholesale) to the extent that the claims are distributed through financial assets can ultimately only be the total value of the real assets
types of financial assets
1) fixed income/debt securities
2) equity
3) derivative securities
2 steps in portfolio investment
1) asset allocation (choice among broad asset classes)
2) security selection (choice of securities within each asset class)
approaches to security analysis
1) top down (determine asset allocation then securities)
2) bottom up (choose attractively priced securities w less concern for asset class)
risk-return tradeoff
higher-risk assets are priced to offer higher expected returns than lower-risk assets
efficient market hypothesis
prices of securities reflect available information (if true, then there’d be no under or over priced securities)
passive management
- highly diversified portfolio
- no attempt to improve performance by searching for mis-priced securities
active management
focus on improving performance by finding mis-priced securities or by timing the performance of broad asset classes
what does active management profit from
movements in markets/fluctuations on economic activity experienced in countries around the world
what’s the closest thing we can find to the risk free rate?
short-term LIBOR and Treasury bill rates
TED Spread (Treasury euro dollar)
= dif. btw short-term LIBOR and Treasury bill rates
what does TED S[read reflect?
default risk in banking system (both rates in period up to GFC were higher due to higher default risk)
LIBOR =
interbank lending spread
–> the average interest rate that banks charge each other for short-term, unsecured loans
(the volume weighted av of all possible funding costs for associated banks & dealers in London)
T Bills are secured by what
reserves
Money market
trading in very short-term debt investments. At the wholesale level, it involves large-volume trades between institutions and traders.
very liquid and considered extraordinarily safe. Because they are extremely conservative, money market securities offer significantly lower return than most other securities.
Investments that can be made in money markets
1) Treasury bills
2) Certificates of Deposit
3) Commercial Paper
4) Bankers’ acceptance
5) Eurodollars
6) Repurchase agreements
7) Federal funds
8) Brokers’ calls
Treasury bills
gov raises $ by selling bills to public
- ask price = price u pay to buy Tbill from securities dealer
- bid price = slightly lower price you would receive if you wanted to sell a bill to a dealer
- bid-ask spread is the dif in these prices, the dealer’s source of profit
certificates of deposit
- bank pays interest & principal to depositor only at maturity
- time deposit can’t be withdrawn on demand
commercial paper
short-term unsecured debt notes, often issued by largem, well known firms and banked by bank line of credit
commercial paper makes larger firms kind of like
banks.
Smaller firms turn to banks for financing but larger firms in the markets can issue commercial paper to raise short term working cap for their firm
eurodollars
dollar denominated deposits at foreign banks/branches of US banks