Topic 1 Correlation, determination and regression analysis Flashcards
definition correlation analysis
analysis of statistical relationship/coherance/consistence between variables x and y
independent variable
x
dependent variable
Y
correlation coefficient =
r
correlation does not equal
causation
determination coefficient
explained correlation which is r² (square correlation)
function to find correlation
=correl()
2 questions that can be solved with the regression analysis
how is the relation between income and monthly savings
can we predict the monthly savings if we know the income?
how is the relation between income and monthly savings?
step 1: put data in chart
step 2: add trendline to chart
can we predict?
=forecast.linear()
time series
evolution of a variable during the time
seasonal pattern
short term fluctuations
pattern repeats itself
seasons or social habits
cyclic pattern
tendency in the medium or long term
trend
movement that runs through the cycle
moving average
the average of fixed number of consecutive elements in a time series