Theme 2.6 Flashcards
What are the 7 main government macroeconomic objectives?
-Economic growth
-Low unemployment
-Low and stable inflation
-Balance of payment equilibrium on the current account
-Balance government budget
-Environmental protection
-Greater income equality
How does the government aim to achieve economic growth?
In the UK, the long run trend of economic growth is about 2.5%. Governments aim to have sustainable economic growth for the long run. In emerging and developing economies, governments might aim to increase economic development before economic growth, which will improve living standards, increase life expectancy and improve literacy rates.
Why does the government aim for low unemployment?
Governments aim to have as near to full employment as possible. They account for frictional unemployment by aiming for an unemployment rate of around 3%. The labour force should also be employed in productive work.
Why does the government aim for low and stable inflation?
In the UK, the government target is 2%, measured by CPI. This aims to provide price stability for firms and consumers and will help them make decisions for the long run. If the inflation rate falls 1% outside the target, the Governor of the Bank of England has to write a letter to the Chancellor of the Exchequer to explain why this has happened and what the Bank intends to do about it.
Why does the government aim for a balance of payments equilibrium on the current’s account?
This is important to allow the country to sustainably finance the current account, which is important for long term growth.
Why does the government aim to balance the government budget?
This ensures the government keeps control of state borrowing, so the national debt does not escalate. This allows governments to borrow cheaply in the future should they need to and makes repayments easier.
Why does the government aim to protect the environment?
This aims to provide long run environmental stability. It ensures resources used are not exploited, such as oil and natural gas, and that they are used sustainably, so future generations can access them too. Moreover, it means there is not excessive pollution.
Why does the government aim for greater income equality?
This minimises the gap between the rich and poor. It is generally associated with a fairer society.
What are demand-side policies?
Demand side policies are policies designed to manipulate consumer demand. Expansionary policy is aimed at increasing AD to bring about growth, whilst deflationary policy attempts to decrease AD to control inflation.
What is monetary policy?
Monetary policy is where the central bank or regulatory authority attempts to control the level of AD by altering base interest rates or the amount of money in the economy.
What is fiscal policy?
Fiscal policy is use of borrowing, government spending and taxation to manipulate the level of aggregate demand and improve macroeconomic performance.
How are interest rates used in monetary policy?
The interest rate is the price of money and the MPC are able to change the official base rate in order to tackle inflation. This is called the repo rate, the rate the Bank of England will charge for short-term loans to other banks or financial institutions. A change in the repo rate affects market rates offered by banks to consumers and businesses as the Bank of England is the lender of last resort. If they are short of money, they will have to borrow from the Bank at the repo rate and therefore they need to make sure that their interest rates are based on this rate so that they are able to make a reasonable return.
What are the 4 key mechanisms interest rates use to cause a fall in AD?
● The rise in interest rates will increase the cost of borrowing for firms and consumers. This will lead to a fall in investment and consumption, reducing AD. Two particular areas of consumption that will decrease are consumer durables and houses. Higher interest rates require higher rates of return for investment. It also makes savings more attractive, as the interest earnt on them will be higher.
● Since less people are borrowing and more are saving, there is a fall in demand for assets such as stocks, shares and government bonds. This leads to a fall in prices for these assets. Therefore, consumers will experience a negative wealth effect since the value of their assets fall, which will lead to a fall in consumption. Moreover, investment is less attractive since firms are likely to see lower profits if prices fall. AD falls because of the fall in consumption and investment.
● People will become less confident about borrowing and spending if interest rates rise. The fall in consumer and business confidence leads to a fall in consumption and investment, causing a fall in AD. On top of this, other loans, such as mortgages, will become more expensive to repay and so consumers have to dedicate more of their income to paying back these debts. This means they have less income to spend on goods and services, so consumption will fall, causing AD to fall.
● Higher rates will increase the incentive for foreigners to hold their money in British banks as they can see a higher rate of return. As a result, there will be increased demand for pounds and the value of the pound will rise. This means that imports will be cheaper, and exports will be more expensive. This decreases net trade and therefore AD.
What are the issues with using interest rates for demand management?
-Firstly, the exchange rate may be affected so much that exports fall significantly and
imports rise significantly, causing a balance of trade deficit.
-Moreover, changes in interest rates take up to 2 years to have their full effect and
small changes in interest rates may not affect people’s decisions.
-Sometimes, interest rates are so low that they cannot be decreased any further to stimulate demand. This is a particular issue for many countries today, and something
most people never thought would be a problem.
-There are a range of different interest rates and not all of them are affected by the
Bank of England base rate.
-A lack of confidence in the economy may mean that, no matter how low interest
rates are, consumers and businesses do not want to borrow or banks do not want to
lend to them.
-High interest rates over a long period of time will discourage investment and
decrease LRAS.
What is quantitative easing?
This is when the Bank of England buys assets in exchange for money in order to increase money supply and get money moving around the economy during times of very low demand. ‘Quantitative’ means a set amount of money is being created and ‘easing’ refers to reducing pressure on banks. It can prevent the liquidity trap, where even low interest rates cannot stimulate AD.
One way of buying assets is for the Bank of England to simply increase the size of banks’ accounts at the Bank of England, called the ‘reserves’, which encourages them to lend money. Following the financial crisis, the Bank of England found that many banks preferred to keep their money in reserves rather than lending it out so buying assets from the bank did not have the effect they wanted. As a result, the Bank bought securities or bonds from private sector institutions such as insurance companies, pension funds and banks.
What 3 ways does quantitative easing cause AD to increase?
● Since the bank is buying assets, there is a rise in demand and so asset prices rise. This causes a positive wealth effect since shares, houses etc. are worth more so people will increase their consumption. Moreover, the cost of borrowing will decrease as higher asset prices mean lower yields (money earnt from assets), making it cheaper for households and businesses to finance spending.
● Moreover, the money supply increases. Private sector companies receive more money which they can spend on goods and services or other financial assets, which may increase investment or consumption and therefore increase AD. It may also push asset prices up further. Banks have higher reserves, meaning they can increase their lending to households and businesses so both consumption and investment increase as people can buy on credit.
● Commercial banks may lower their interest rates as they are receiving so much money from the Bank of England and so can offer very low interest deals to their customers. The increased money supply will mean that the price of money falls; interest rates are the price of money. This will encourage borrowing, and therefore increase investment and consumption so increase AD. If many banks decide to lower their interest rates, the same mechanisms will apply as those following a reduction in the base rate.
What are the issues with using quantitative easing?
-It is very risky and, if not controlled properly, could cause high inflation and even
hyperinflation.
-Others say it would only lead to increased demand for second hand goods which
pushes up prices but does not increase aggregate demand. For example, it would not lead to more new houses being built but only second hand houses becoming more expensive.
-There is no guarantee that higher asset prices lead into higher consumption through the wealth effect, especially if confidence remains low.
-It had a large effect on the housing market by stimulating demand and leading to rapid price rises since 2013, helping to worsen the issues of geographical mobility. It also led to rising share prices which increases inequality, since the rich grow richer whilst the poor see none of the gains.
-It was not meant to be permanent and there are concerns that banks and economies are too dependent on quantitative easing, particularly within the Eurozone
What is the role of the Bank of England in monetary policies?
● Monetary policy is controlled by the Bank of England rather than the government. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) makes the most important decisions, including the Bank of England base rate and the actions over quantitative easing.
● Their main aim is keep inflation at 2% and if it goes below 1% or above 3% the governor of the Bank of England has to write a letter to the Chancellor of the Exchequer explaining why this is happened and what the Bank of England is doing to bring it back to the target. They use CPI in order to see whether this target has been met.
● Since 2009, the MPC has kept the bank rate at 0.5% and policy has become focussed on boosting economic growth and employment. It was reduced to 0.25% following the Brexit vote but rose again in November 2017 due to the inflation that the weak pound brought about. They plan to raise the interest rate once the negative output gap has been eliminated and the economy is growing strongly.
● The Committee is made up of nine people: five are from of the Bank of England, including the Governor of the Bank of England, and the other four are independent outside experts, mainly economists.
What are the two main ways that governments can increase AD through fiscal policy?
● A rise in income tax will cause a fall in disposable income. This will lead to a reduction in consumption and thus decrease AD. Alternatively, a rise in corporation tax will decrease a firm’s post-tax profits. This will lead to a reduction in investment and thus decrease AD.
● A rise in government spending will increase AD since it is one component.
What are government budgets?
The government’s fiscal (spending, borrowing and taxation) plans are outlined in the budget. A budget deficit is when the government spends more money than they receive. A budget surplus is when the government receives more money than they spend.
What are direct and indirect taxes?
Direct taxes are paid directly to the government by the individual taxpayer. An indirect tax is where the person charged with paying the money to the government is able to pass on the cost to someone else i.e. the supplier can pass on the burden to indirect tax to the consumer. The four highest revenue raising taxes are income tax, national insurance, VAT and corporation tax. Other taxes include council tax, excise duties, capital gains tax, inheritance taxes and stamp duty land tax.