Theme 2: The UK economy – performance and policies Flashcards
What are the macroeconomic indicators TIGER?
Trade
Inflation
Growth (economic)
Employment
Distribution of income
What are the macroeconomic objectives of each indicator?
Trade - balanced, imports = exports
Inflation - low and stable - 2% (range from 1-3%)
Economic growth - steady, sustained, sustainable
Employment - full employment, low unemployment
distribution of income - ‘fair’ distribution
What are leakages in the circular flow of income and give examples.
Leakages are ways money is spent :
Savings (s)
Taxation (t)
Imports (m)
What are injections and give examples.
Injections are ways money can enter the economy outside of consumer expenditure:
Investment (i)
Government funding (g)
Exports (x)
formula for index number
(raw number/ base year raw number) x 100
What are the 4 measures of economic growth?
-GDP - value of all goods and services produced in an economy in a year.
-GDP/capita
-GNI (per capita) - gross national income
-Green GDP (Accounts for environmental costs for production)
What are the 4 stages of the economic cycle
Boom
Recession
Slump
Recovery
Features of an economic boom
AD very high
unemployment decreases
trade deficit more likely
inflation increases
What is Real GDP?
The value of all final goods and services produced in an economy in a year adjusted for inflation
Features of economic recession
Aggregate demand starts to decrease (bad)
Unemployment increases (bad)
Trade deficit starts to improve
Inflation slows, disinflation (?)
what is disinflation ?
When inflation slows down, inflation at a slower rate
Features of economic slump/trough
Aggregate demand is very low (bad)
unemployment very high (bad)
trade deficit increases further (worsens)
Inflation very low (bad)
Features of economic recovery
Aggregate demand increases (good)
Unemployment decreases (good)
trade deficit starts to get better (?)
Inflation increases (good but depends)
meaning of aggregate demand
The total amount of goods and services demanded in the economy at a given time and price level
What is economic growth?
An increase in real GDP in an economy in a year caused by an increase in aggregate demand or LRAS
What is the formula for aggregate demand ?
AD = C + I + G + (x-m)
aggregate demand = consumer spending + investment + government spending + net exports
What are factors of short run growth?
- Lower interest rates
- Lower income/cooperation tax
- Higher consumer/business confidence
- Higher government spending
- Weaker exchange rate
**What are the 4 benefits of economic growth?
-Higher disposable income - Workers are getting paid more or are more productive so they can demand higher wages
-Higher employment - If a country is producing more goods and services it will need more workers to produce the goods and services
-Higher profit for firms - Firms make more money if people are spending more
-Fiscal dividend for gov (increased tax revenue) - Gov get more money through taxes if people are earning and spending more
4 **Costs **of economic growth
-Inflation - It erodes purchasing power
- Income inequality- income isn’t distributed equally because of ; One sector dominance (oil economies), capital intensive, rural vs urban, lack of welfare state and poor quality job
-Environmental costs - destruction to the environment through air pollution or deforestation
-Current account deficit
**Explain Demand pull inflation
When demand increases, firms respond by increasing their prices
Explain Cost push inflation
When prices increase due to an increase a firms cost of production
What causes demand pull inflation?
-Interest rates low - cheaper for consumers to borrow + spend
-Income tax low - increase disposable income
-High consumer/business confidence
-Government spending high
-Weak exchange rate
What causes cost push inflation
-High wages
-High raw materials price
-High business tax
-High price of imported raw materials due to exchange rate
Explain how Inflation can cause fiscal drag
Higher inflation means higher wages therefore workers are pushed into the next tax bracket meaning they are worse off as they are being taxed more. (tax brackets have to stay fixed for drag to occur)
What are the costs of high inflation?
-Lower purchasing power
-Erosion of savings
-Lower export competitiveness
-Wage/consumer price spirals
-Fiscal drag
-Inflationary noise
Explain how high inflation leads to low purchasing power for consumers
-Means that people are less able to buy what they need if wages and real incomes dont rise in line with inflation
Explain how high inflation leads to erosion of savings
As inflation increases, money in savings decreases in value. Nominal value of savings is eroded. Savings cant grow at the same rate that inflation does.
Explain how low/stable inflation improves gov finances
Government get more tax money as workers are earning more money so they are pushed into next tax band (Fiscal drag)
Explain how high inflation leads to lower purchasing power
People are less able to buy what they need if wages and incomes dont rise in line with inflation.
Explain deflation
Prices are falling, inflation rate is negative
Explain disinflation
Inflation at a slower rate
What are the benefits of low/stable inflation
-Workers with higher wages - happier workers
-Consumption is natural - consumption isn’t delayed
-Firms encouraged to increase output
-Can keep unemployment low in a recession
-Reduces real value of debt
-Improvement of government finances
Explain how low/stable inflation reduces real value of debt
-Debt becomes easier to pay back. Debt is always fixed. The debt is now a smaller percentage of your income because wages are increasing due to inflation
Definition of unemployment
Those who are willing, of a working age, able to work and are actively seeking work but do not have a job.
Formula for unemployment rate
Unemployed/economically inactive x 100
What are the 6 types of unemployment?
Cyclical unemployment - Lack of demand in the economy therefore there is less demand for firms to hire labour
Structural - Occupational - Workers dont have skillset to change profession. Geographical - Workers are not willing to move.
Frictional - People who have just finished a job and are looking for a new one.
Seasonal - Workers have jobs which depend on the season. e.g. Farmers
Casual - Workers that have a contract maybe unemployed till they get a new contract
Real wage - Where wages are fixed above equilibrium rate causing excess supply of labour
What makes up the current account?
-Trade in goods
-Trade in services
-Investment income
-Transfers
What causes a current account deficit?
When the value of imports > value of exports
Demand side causes of a current account defecit
Strong exchange rate - Makes our exports more expensive to buy as another country has to buy more of our currency to buy our g/s which is unattractive.
Recession in another country - Causes exports to decrease as their demand decreases so they will buy less exports from us
Growth domestically - Consumers and firms have higher demand so they import more g/s to satisfy the demand
Supply side reasons of a current account defecit
Lack of competitiveness of price and quality. Lack of investment means less efficiency so costs increase. Lack of productivity of inputs and outputs so there is a higher cost per unit
High relative inflation can cause prices of exports to be higher
Poor quality exports -> poor imports
Resource depletion
Demand side causes of a current account surplus
High income abroad
Lower incomes at home
Weak exchange rate
Supply side reasons of a current account surplus
Low relative inflation
Strong investment
Gains in comparative advantage
New resource discoveries
Consequences of a current account surplus
Higher net exports, high AD, increased growth, increased inflation
Appreciation of the exchange rate
Financial account deficit
Sign of an unbalanced economy
5 determinants of consumption
Level of real disposable income - Higher disposable income means higher MPC as people have more purchasing power
Lower interest rates - Low cost of borrowing leads to a greater incentive to borrow money to spend
Consumer confidence - High consumer confidence means higher MPC
Asset prices - They link to how wealthy people feel. More wealthy feeling -> higher MPC
Household indebtedness
How do interest rates affect investment?
Firms will borrow to invest -> lower interest rates so cost of borrowing is low so there is a greater MPI.
How does business confidence affect investment?
Expected profit is high so firms will invest as there us the incentive.
If expected profit is lower then there will be less investment.