The Multiplier Model Flashcards
What are the 2 types of expenditure in the multiplier model?
- Consumption
- Investment
How is consumption spending modeled in the multiplier model?
C = C0 + C1Y , where c0 is autonomous consumption and c1 is the marginal propensity to consume out of income
What is autonomous consumption (c0) and what does it depend on?
Consumption independent of income coming from the desire to smooth consumption. It depends on expectations of future income, if a future income decrease is expected to be permanent autonomous consumption will decrease.
What does the C1 component of consumption spending represent and what dos it depend on?
C1 = marginal propensity to consume out of income, the level of consumption that is based on income
Depends on households weakness-of-will and credit constraints. If either of these worsen, then the marginal propensity to consumer out of income will increase
Describe the multiplier diagram?
y-axis = aggregate demand (AD)
x-axis = output/income (Y)
45 degree line where AD = Y
A line intersecting 45 degree with c0+c1Y+I
Describe what happens when investment falls by £1.5bn using multiplier diagram?
Original line shifts downwards by£1.5bn when investment falls, the decrease in output is greater than the increase in AD (£1.5bn) due to the multiplier
What is the multiplier equation when using consumption and investment spending?
1/(1-c1)
What does the multiplier show?
How much GDP would change in response to an initial change in spending
What 3 reasons caused autonomous spending to fall during the Great Depression?
- Uncertainty
- Pessimism about future income
- Tightening of credit
What do households do if target wealth is above expected wealth?
Decrease consumption and increase savings
What do household do if target wealth is below expected wealth?
Decrease savings and increase consumption
Explain the credit cycle for households?
Family A sells their house which lowers the price of houses, which lowers the value of other households’ collateral, reducing their ability to borrow, with lower ability to borrow other households reduce their demand for property purchases and consumption which continues the cycle
What is the incentive for firms to invest?
Firms will have a greater incentive to invest if the investment projects earn a higher return than their opportunity cost - IF RATE OF RETURN TO NEW INVESTMENTS IS HIGH RELATIVE TO MARKET INTEREST RATES FIRMS WILL HAVE AN INCENTIVE TO INVEST
What are 3 opportunity costs of investment?
- Pay down debt
- purchase financial securities
- return funds to shareholders (pay dividends)
What is the multiplier model equation when govt expenditure and net exports are included?
Y = c0 + c1(1-t)Y + I + G + X -mY
where t = income tax rate, m=marginal propensity to import