Exchange Rates Flashcards
What effects does an increase in inflation have on exchange rates?
Causes a depreciation due to PPP
What impact does a depreciation in the exchange rate have on imports and exports?
Stimulated exports and makes imports more expensive
What impact does an appreciation in the exchange rate have on imports and exports
Decrease exports and increase imports as they become relatively cheaper
What factors influence the exchange rate? (8)
- Inflation - low inflation = appreciation
- Interest rates - high r/i = appreciation
- Speculation - if anticipation of a rise in r/e in future, there will be demand which will cause an r/e apprecitation
- Change in competitiveness - more competitive = appreciation
- Relative strength of other currency
- Balance of payments - deficit can cause depreciation
- Government debt - if investors thing govt will default on debt, they will sell bonds which can depreciate the r/e
- Govt intervention - influencing r/e
What is a floating exchange rate?
Where the government doesn’t intervene and the r/e is determined by market forces
What is a fixed exchange rate?
Where a government intervenes to try and keep the value of the currency at a certain level against other currencies
What are the 4 benefits of a fixed exchange rate?
- Avoid currency fluctuations which can help stabilize trade
- Stability encourages investment
- Keep inflation low
- Can help stabilize the current account
What are the 7 negatives of a fixed exchange rate?
- Conflict with other macro objectives
- Less flexibility to respond to temporary shocks
- Can join at the wrong rate - if too high exports will be uncompetitive
- Requires high interest rates
- Current account imbalances e.g. from an overvalued r/e
- Difficulty in keeping the value of the currency
- Can encourage speculative attacks